They mention wet snow to lower levels. Also matt hugo on his twitter mentions a possibility. 

To be honest, the metoffice is largelly at odds with what I am seeing at the moment in the models, and I can only assume that is because the unified model isn't concering. Having said that, the metoffice maps are now more widely showing snow;  which I assume is based on one of their models. The text forecasts are the expert oppinions of met forecasters which as you say discard the risk of snow to all areas except the mountains of scotland. I don't know, I'm either not seeing data the met has, or I'm missing something in my intepretation. 

GFS soundings now out, and they are perhaps the definition of marginal. Rain/snow borderline for basically everyone north of the midlands. 

Still the snow risk on Tuesday for parts of Ireland, Wales the spine of England and into Scotland. 

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2014/02/09/basis06/ukuk/rart/14021112_2_0906.gif

Still wintry into Wednesday's early hours 

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2014/02/09/basis06/ukuk/rart/14021200_2_0906.gif

GFS going for a heavy snow event for Central parts of the UK into Thursday 

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2014/02/09/basis06/ukuk/rart/14021300_2_0906.gif

Some people might wake up to a very white scene, as ever a waiting game 

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2014/02/09/basis06/ukuk/rart/14021306_2_0906.gif

Ive changed the title of this thread in view that snow is going to be non existant away from higher ground tommorow, and the increasing risk of snowfall between wednesday and thursday. 

Improving trend on the text forecasts metoffice. For instance (tuesdaywise) for NE england we have gone from:

Rain -> Rain and hill snow -> Rain, sleet and hill snow. 

Just seen Helen Willetts on news 24 she said "significant snow for Scotland and the hills of Northern England into Tuesday, which will cause disruption"

Areas of the UK probably most likey to see a covering of snow over the next few days.

http://oi59.tinypic.com/e8rbyc.jpg

As it probably represents my best chance of joining in with a 'snow' thread this winter, there was some sleety stuff in a shower here earlier today

I guess it could have been melted hail but I'm still going to claim it as a hint of sleetiness

I'll go back to the rain threads now

Apparantly parts of wales have seen quite a bit of snowfall? Tommorow's marginal situation should provide plenty of interest. If you don't get snow out of the front, don't be too dissapointed; heavy snow showers follow.

Ignore this post if you live in the south. 

I'll do a snow risk map tonight aswell based on the 12Z suite. 

Just had a thought, if we were to forecast a possible couple of inches of snow in about five days time, there'd be panic buying with supermarkets running dry within hours. Yet there are absolutely no problems with the food shopping during this current stormy type weather with gales and widespread flooding.

They think they are not going to get out and will starve

Surprisingly, the Met Office snow warning covers here too - quite comfortably. We'll see.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/data/PWSCache/WarningsImage/Image/NSWWS-f9f04adf-3f48-434f-b8b3-b5b67dfacb2c/uk/2014-2-11

A big upgrade in warnings from the Met office for my locality this afternoon, possible will actually see a few flakes in the wind or even some slush on the grass over the next few days.

Martin

Something moving in from the Irish sea but the temp and dew point here still a bit marginal albeit dropping, 2.4C and 1.1C respectively. A degree or two lower would be better.

The moment MattyH has been looking forward too :S

Snow risk map for tommorow, based on ECMWF, GFS, WRF, EURO4 models. Variety of parameters used, including soundings. Probability is for 0:01 Tuesday to 23:59 Tuesday for snow to fall at some point during the day.

Models indicate an extremely high risk of snow for NW parts of N ireland, and Ireland in general. I think the front will contain a bit of snow on it for these parts too. 

Note, the map is not intended to be a guide for the hills, this is useful for urban sites, or rural sites below about 200m. Cairngorns and higher parts of the pennines will have close to a 100% chance of seeing snow for instance rather than the 50:50 odds indicated. 

Feel free to copy this map wherever, but please credit me :) 

Few adendums:

For yorkshire, there is a higher probability of snow in central yorkshire than indicated here (concentric contours would be appropiate); the resolution is perhaps not high enough to show it; York for instance probably has closer to a 50% chance of seeing snow. 

The probability of snow in wales dramatically shifts from north to south, there would be a dividing line perhaps half way down wales where the probability of snow massivly increases to the north of that. 

Full sized version avalible here: http://oi59.tinypic.com/2n0q24p.jpg

Click to zoom in. 

Yes, with roughly equal opportunites to get snow from the front in the morning and the showers in the afternoon. 

That's assuming you can get hold of a boat to row your way there.

Met Office forecast actually mentions snow to low levels across the Midlands tonight 

So, a disturbed night of lampost watching then in case we get a little sleet mixed in with the rain at 2am .......

Surprised this thread is so quiet.

Snow chances for the North and some Central/Southern areas over the next couple days - the best we have had all winter!