The moment MattyH has been looking forward too :S
Snow risk map for tommorow, based on ECMWF, GFS, WRF, EURO4 models. Variety of parameters used, including soundings. Probability is for 0:01 Tuesday to 23:59 Tuesday for snow to fall at some point during the day.
Models indicate an extremely high risk of snow for NW parts of N ireland, and Ireland in general. I think the front will contain a bit of snow on it for these parts too.
Note, the map is not intended to be a guide for the hills, this is useful for urban sites, or rural sites below about 200m. Cairngorns and higher parts of the pennines will have close to a 100% chance of seeing snow for instance rather than the 50:50 odds indicated.
Feel free to copy this map wherever, but please credit me :)
Few adendums:
For yorkshire, there is a higher probability of snow in central yorkshire than indicated here (concentric contours would be appropiate); the resolution is perhaps not high enough to show it; York for instance probably has closer to a 50% chance of seeing snow.
The probability of snow in wales dramatically shifts from north to south, there would be a dividing line perhaps half way down wales where the probability of snow massivly increases to the north of that.
Full sized version avalible here: http://oi59.tinypic.com/2n0q24p.jpg
Click to zoom in.
Edited by user
10 February 2014 20:39:23
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Reason: Not specified
Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.