theweatheroutlook

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Gavin P
06 March 2014 14:28:32

Hi all,


Here's today's video update:


Spring Heatwave Coming Up?


http://www.gavsweathervids.com


Hint: Not quite, but looks very pleasant non the less.

Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
briggsy6
06 March 2014 15:58:27
H.P. spell in March means one thing to me - warm days and cold, clear nights. i.e. big diurnal temp. variations. That's assuming too much cloud doesn't get trapped into the circulation of course.
Location: Uxbridge
David M Porter
06 March 2014 16:15:05



Think the winter lovers need to let it go now, some already have (Gooner etc)


 


Looks like a decent spell weather in the next 7-10 days, although never especially mild here - nice to see a prominent azores high and a northerly jet stream this time of year, last year of course the jet was through the azores into Spain


Originally Posted by: kmoorman 


 


I'm a lover of proper (cold / snowy) winter weather, but first and foremost I'm a weather lover.


I like winter weather in the winter (so last spring was not welcome), so at this stage I'm looking for the sort of weather we've got now, light overnight frosts, with warm / sunny days; in other words spring weather.


 


In my eyes, winter is over - it was horrible - let's enjoy spring.


Originally Posted by: JoeShmoe99 


Describing it as horrible is putting it mildly IMO. It was a 100% unmitigated disaster IMO for those that like proper winter weather. A total joke it how I'd describe it.

Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Russwirral
06 March 2014 16:47:16
http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20140306/12/348/h850t850eu.png 

Anniversary snow storm?

Pretty much a year to date when alot of snow fell
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-21907837 

The idea of a fine dry settled spell followed by a week of winter is gathering pace. would really be a kick in the teeth though.

Weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWIRRAL24#history 
WMB
  • WMB
  • Advanced Member
06 March 2014 18:00:17

http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20140306/12/348/h850t850eu.png

Anniversary snow storm?

Pretty much a year to date when alot of snow fell
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-21907837

The idea of a fine dry settled spell followed by a week of winter is gathering pace. would really be a kick in the teeth though.

Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


I think that's pretty much the best FI chart I have seen this winter.

Gooner
06 March 2014 18:02:59

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2641.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn26417.gif


 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2881.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn28817.gif


 


Quite a difference in the space of 24 hours


 


 


 


 

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gooner
06 March 2014 18:04:28

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3601.gif


Something much cooler and more unsettled in the offing for last 1/4 of March


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn36017.gif


 

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gusty
06 March 2014 20:00:42

This is great news for the south 


http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014030612/192-777UK.GIF?06-12


 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



idj20
06 March 2014 20:09:38


This is great news for the south 


http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014030612/192-777UK.GIF?06-12


 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 



Finally, the Folkestone Rain Deflector is up and running again. Thank goodness. I'll try not to fiddle about with it.

Folkestone Harbour. 
Gusty
06 March 2014 20:17:07



This is great news for the south 


http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014030612/192-777UK.GIF?06-12


 


Originally Posted by: idj20 



Finally, the Folkestone Rain Deflector is up and running again. Thank goodness. I'll try not to fiddle about with it.


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Fiddle with anything you like Ian..just don't touch the deflector . A welcome dry up and warm up is just the tonic after what we have been through. 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Matty H
  • Matty H
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
06 March 2014 21:20:23

This is great news for the south 


http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014030612/192-777UK.GIF?06-12


 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 



Long overdue, mate 👍

Most optimistic I've felt about the weather for a long time.
Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
Steam Fog
07 March 2014 07:34:05
Still looking very pleasant for the next 10 days.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png 

Tomasz Schafernaker on the radio suggesting it could "possibly reach 18C" on Sunday.
Russwirral
07 March 2014 11:11:14
remarkable consistency out to FI.

Probably explains how quiet this board has been over the past few days. Fine and dry - long over due.

That cold spell keeps rearing its head in various forms later in the month. Will it arrive as a Cold Northwesterly or will we be closer to the HP which will just bring us 1-2 nights of sever frosts? would be nice to at least see some snow fall from the sky this year.



Weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWIRRAL24#history 
ARTzeman
07 March 2014 11:52:13

Meto UKNOMMSLP Analysis t140 charts are looking good. 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Rob K
07 March 2014 12:02:39

Still looking very pleasant for the next 10 days.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

Tomasz Schafernaker on the radio suggesting it could "possibly reach 18C" on Sunday.

Originally Posted by: Steam Fog 


Lovely stuff. Shame it coincides with a weekend that I have tons of work to do. 


 


Quite a drop-off in FI, though!

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Quantum
07 March 2014 12:21:49

http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/ecmimages/20140307/00/ecm500.240.png


High pressure starting to dominate the atlantic, few signals in recent days of stuff going to greenland; one to watch closley. A northerly can be still very cold at this time of year especially for scotland. 

Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Gavin P
07 March 2014 13:36:26

Hi all,


Here's Fridays longer range loo-ahead;


JMA Friday + Cooler April prospects


http://www.gavsweathervids.com


Looks like some typically contrasting spring weather through the next month.


 

Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Gooner
07 March 2014 13:43:10


Hi all,


Here's Fridays longer range loo-ahead;


JMA Friday + Cooler April prospects


http://www.gavsweathervids.com


Looks like some typically contrasting spring weather through the next month.


 


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 


Excellent


http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/gefs/gefsens850London0.png


Bit of a cooling off after the 17th

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


JoeShmoe99
07 March 2014 15:20:46

Still looking nice, just as well as its snow/hail in the heavy showers here today, then warm in the sun when theyre away

Sevendust
07 March 2014 16:04:46



Hi all,


Here's Fridays longer range loo-ahead;


JMA Friday + Cooler April prospects


http://www.gavsweathervids.com


Looks like some typically contrasting spring weather through the next month.


 


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


Excellent


http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/gefs/gefsens850London0.png


Bit of a cooling off after the 17th


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 


Far from excellent but it is a repeating trend. Just hope we don't end up a in a wet pattern like April 2012

Charmhills
07 March 2014 16:46:51


Hi all,


Here's Fridays longer range loo-ahead;


JMA Friday + Cooler April prospects


http://www.gavsweathervids.com


Looks like some typically contrasting spring weather through the next month.


 


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 


Cheers Gav.

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Hungry Tiger
07 March 2014 16:52:03




This is great news for the south 


http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014030612/192-777UK.GIF?06-12


 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 



Finally, the Folkestone Rain Deflector is up and running again. Thank goodness. I'll try not to fiddle about with it.


Originally Posted by: idj20 


Fiddle with anything you like Ian..just don't touch the deflector . A welcome dry up and warm up is just the tonic after what we have been through. 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Gusty
07 March 2014 20:22:48

Somewhere could pull off 17-18c out of this. 


http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014030712/51-778UK.GIF?07-12


 


 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Crepuscular Ray
07 March 2014 21:42:59

Somewhere could pull off 17-18c out of this.UserPostedImageUserPostedImage
http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014030712/51-778UK.GIF?07-12 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Only 7 or 8 up in Edinburgh on that chart!

Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
Stormchaser
07 March 2014 22:11:07

A 1-2*C undercook of maximum temperatures by GFS today makes the high teens look even more achievable on Sunday 


 


Signs in the longer term of the PV finally departing from Canada, that potentially leading to higher heights to the NW of the UK, which is what CFS has been tending to run away with lately.


 


On the other hand, today has seen a bit of a hint that the old 'residual energy' situation could occur, with the PV refusing to vacate Canada entirely - we saw that on a number of occasions last winter, with the models struggling to handle it more than a week in advance.


Unlike back then, such residual energy would then feed an Atlantic storm track that's more to the NW of the UK, so promoting a continued drier theme in the SE, though perhaps not entirely.


...or it could just go the way of GEM instead  That run is vastly different as early as day 6 - way, way more progressive with those Atlantic storms moving N of the UK.

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On

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