9 seats left to declare, and nearly all pretty easy to call.
St Ives - CON gain from LD
The Cotswolds - CON hold
Warwick & Leamington - CON hold
Kenilworth & Southam - CON hold
Luton South - LAB hold *
Hexham - CON hold
Berwick-upon-Tweed - CON gain from LD
Wansbeck - LAB hold
Blyth Valley - LAB hold
*A small chance of an upset here as a swing of less than 3% from LAB to CON could see a CON gain
Assuming that the above is correct, we have
CON - 331
LAB - 232
LD - 8
UKIP - 1
SNP - 56
Green - 1
PC - 3
Northern Ireland - 18
A Conservative Majority of 12. (Or 14 if they win Luton South)
So the Exit Poll underestimated the Conservatives by 15 seats, and the call of a hung parliament was wrong, though the Exit Poll was an awful lot closer than any of the other polling.
Originally Posted by: Darren S