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sizzle
10 October 2015 12:35:36

lol  the met office are uncertain for November because of a number of possibilities but still took a punt on what MIGHT be. north wet south dry.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
11 October 2015 18:47:38

Country file forecast had a couple of points of interest:



  • Big northerly plunge over NE America will cause jet stream to run north to iceland and then south over Scandinavia )I don't quite see the logic, but still...) Hence big HP cell in mid Atlantic and LP over Scandi causing northerlies here in a week or so

  • Blob of heavy snow over central N Germany

War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
11 October 2015 19:04:34


The express not wanting to be out done have gone for four months worth. The usual suspect being quoted.


http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/611100/Winter-2015-Heavy-Snow-record-cold-weather-forecast-UK


Originally Posted by: stophe 

Ahh, that's where it came from.  Some people at work were saying snow was forecast, though their stories differed and according to one, it was due today.  I wondered which papers they'd been wasting their money on.  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
nsrobins
12 October 2015 08:29:20


lol  the met office are uncertain for November because of a number of possibilities but still took a punt on what MIGHT be. north wet south dry.


Originally Posted by: sizzle 


Why lol? That's exactly what it is at the moment!

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
sizzle
12 October 2015 08:42:37


 


Why lol? That's exactly what it is at the moment!


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

met office said wet and mild winter its changed since then going for colder than average from others, why forecast that far ahead unless they know for certain change is going to happen, stick to a weekly forecast so people know where we are at unless its JFF forecast which I like of GAVIN P. weather always changing, so to say a wet and mild winter so early on is just a punt, especially with the EL NINO in place which no knows how it will behave, as I read it never behaves the same way twice, I say stick to NOW casting weekly bases, instead of monthly guess work,  but I must say looking ahead is exciting when there is weather worth watching,

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
12 October 2015 13:27:59


Country file forecast had a couple of points of interest:



  • Big northerly plunge over NE America will cause jet stream to run north to iceland and then south over Scandinavia )I don't quite see the logic, but still...) Hence big HP cell in mid Atlantic and LP over Scandi causing northerlies here in a week or so

  • Blob of heavy snow over central N Germany


Originally Posted by: DEW 


FAX charts still supporting the first point above at extreme end of run but GFS & ECM having none of it with HP cell much closer if not actually over us.

War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Maunder Minimum
13 October 2015 06:11:23

I bring you the most accurate, the most celebrated, the most detailed long range weather forecaster of them all, the Siberian swan:


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/weather/11926752/Britain-faces-longest-winter-in-50-years-after-earliest-ever-arrival-of-Siberian-swan.html


And there was me thinking that science had supplanted folk law and sheeps entrails in the forecasting business.

New world order coming.
Jonesy
13 October 2015 08:04:23


I bring you the most accurate, the most celebrated, the most detailed long range weather forecaster of them all, the Siberian swan:


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/weather/11926752/Britain-faces-longest-winter-in-50-years-after-earliest-ever-arrival-of-Siberian-swan.html


And there was me thinking that science had supplanted folk law and sheeps entrails in the forecasting business.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


They just read this out on talksport news 

Medway Towns (Kent)
The Weather will do what it wants, when it wants, no matter what data is thrown at it !
mat
13 October 2015 21:22:21

Oh dear... I don't post on here often, but this article is truly bad...  the people making comments generally have some common sense! 


http://www.yorkshireeveningpost.co.uk/news/trending/weather-warning-yorkshire-set-for-months-of-snow-1-7511317 


 


 

sizzle
13 October 2015 21:29:58


Oh dear... I don't post on here often, but this article is truly bad...  the people making comments generally have some common sense! 


http://www.yorkshireeveningpost.co.uk/news/trending/weather-warning-yorkshire-set-for-months-of-snow-1-7511317 


 


 


Originally Posted by: mat 

and if this comes off ill eat my laptop.

doctormog
13 October 2015 21:46:22


and if this comes off ill eat my laptop.


Originally Posted by: sizzle 


That would be a lot of bytes 

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
sizzle
13 October 2015 22:06:18


 


That would be a lot of bytes 


Originally Posted by: doctormog 

 

doctormog
16 October 2015 17:52:19
I can think of a few better options than snow.
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
sizzle
16 October 2015 18:12:01

I can think of a few better options than snow.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

would,nt it be funny if he turned out to be right


 


 

doctormog
16 October 2015 18:21:17


would,nt it be funny if he turned out to be right


 


 


Originally Posted by: sizzle 


Well to be honest by the laws of probability and random occurrence he is bound to be right on some occasion that he forecasts snow. It won't negate the hundred other times where he has got the forecast wrong though.


 


Perhaps a quote from Far from the Madden Crowd (with apologies to Thomas Hardy) and am wondering if James the Obscure may be more apt?


" It is safer to accept any chance that offers itself, and extemporize a procedure to fit it, than to get a good plan matured, and wait for a chance of using it"


 


 


 

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
Solar Cycles
16 October 2015 18:27:56


 


Well to be honest by the laws of probability and random occurrence he is bound to be right on some occasion that he forecasts snow. It won't negate the hundred other times where he has got the forecast wrong though.


 


Perhaps a quote from Far from the Madden Crowd (with apologies to Thomas Hardy) and am wondering if James the Obscure may be more apt?


" It is safer to accept any chance that offers itself, and extemporize a procedure to fit it, than to get a good plan matured, and wait for a chance of using it"


 


 


 


Originally Posted by: doctormog 

The guy is a publicity seeking whore of the highest order and the fact that he copy's and pastes  every winter forecasts means he's bound to be right with one of them.

doctormog
16 October 2015 18:32:12


I was trying to be subtle (but you won't get an argument from me re. your post )

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
tallyho_83
17 October 2015 00:55:13
What do you make of this?

http://veryweather.co.uk/2015/10/uk-winter-2015-severe-snow-cold/ 

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


sizzle
17 October 2015 07:48:39

What do you make of this?

http://veryweather.co.uk/2015/10/uk-winter-2015-severe-snow-cold/

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

I read that some time ago, no one really knows how EL NINO will behave, but will be interesting when winter actually starts. before then still HP rules

Gooner
17 October 2015 08:54:47

What do you make of this?

http://veryweather.co.uk/2015/10/uk-winter-2015-severe-snow-cold/

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Not alot Tally too be honest

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


ARTzeman
18 October 2015 12:25:39

Normal Weather is resumed.....





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Jonesy
19 October 2015 13:20:38

I'm Dreaming of a White .....


http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/britain-set-white-christmas-36-6659114?ICID=FB_mirror_main

Medway Towns (Kent)
The Weather will do what it wants, when it wants, no matter what data is thrown at it !
Russwirral
19 October 2015 21:00:38
looks like Nathan Rao is also working for the Mirror now... and he is still running the same stories .... which is odd

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/britain-facing-snow-within-two-6601591 

Weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWIRRAL24#history 
Global Warming
20 October 2015 05:43:45

The Met Office has announced the names that will be used for Atlantic storms this autumn and winter


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2015/Name-our-storms-list

Solar Cycles
20 October 2015 07:40:50


The Met Office has announced the names that will be used for Atlantic storms this autumn and winter


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2015/Name-our-storms-list


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 

Sexing up our gales, oh dear what's become of the world.😜

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