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Bugglesgate
30 June 2015 20:19:50

I'm looking with increasing interest at the area forming around Salisbury.  Just become electrified and seems to be heading straight for us here  !


Chris (It,its)
Between Newbury and Basingstoke
"When they are giving you their all, some stagger and fall, after all it's not easy banging your heart against some mad buggers wall"
RUBBERDUCK
30 June 2015 20:31:49

Lots of cloud about including a llovely looking anvil to my south west.


 


When at work I could be anywhere delivering fuel......
idot
  • idot
  • Advanced Member
30 June 2015 20:43:23
It's the Rah Band here 😎😎🌀
30 June 2015 20:49:47


I'm looking with increasing interest at the area forming around Salisbury.  Just become electrified and seems to be heading straight for us here  !


Originally Posted by: Bugglesgate 


Must be close to you now. I am getting a great display of forked lightning and thunder here at the moment.

30 June 2015 20:53:01


 


Must be close to you now. I am getting a great display of forked lightning and thunder here at the moment.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Storm getting closer only a couple of miles away now

Bugglesgate
30 June 2015 21:00:51


 


Must be close to you now. I am getting a great display of forked lightning and thunder here at the moment.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


 


Had a couple of  flashes -  one  strike extremely close and a short period of torrential rain.  Gone quiet again now, but looks like another cell is forming  around Winchester.


 


Generally, it looks like the remains of the decayed storms are being rejuvenated  as the air is forced up by the downs - interesting !


 


 


Chris (It,its)
Between Newbury and Basingstoke
"When they are giving you their all, some stagger and fall, after all it's not easy banging your heart against some mad buggers wall"
idot
  • idot
  • Advanced Member
30 June 2015 21:12:00
Out in he garden and jus spotted a flash of the west of here.
Scooter
30 June 2015 21:19:14

Just had a high level storm scrape past Hook.


Dropped 2 lovely CG's, and some rain. Stood out in the rain, huge freezing cold drops, was just what I needed

Bow Echo
30 June 2015 21:21:15

Estofex has a large portion of the UK under a level2 tomorrow. Oooer missus...


http://www.estofex.org/


Steve D. FRMetS
Burton Latimer, Kettering, Northants


doctormog
30 June 2015 21:21:36

A rather interesting outlook from Estofex for tomorrow. I don't think I have seen a "Level 2" extend to northern parts of the UK http://estofex.org


edit: Beaten to it 


LeedsLad123
30 June 2015 21:23:00

Estofex have Level 2 for Northern England, Southern Scotland and parts of the north Midlands. Level 1 for the rest of the UK.


LOL, looks like we all had the same idea.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
nsrobins
30 June 2015 21:38:11

Out in he garden and jus spotted a flash of the west of here.

Originally Posted by: idot 


There is a dedicated phone line to report that sort of incident


High theta-e bubble (up to equiv. 60C in places - impressive) currently maintaining elevated level convection moving NNE across the South.
Had a few flashes here too plus some rain getting to ground level.


Tomorrow it looks particularly lively from the Midlands North later.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
NickR
30 June 2015 22:07:57


 


There is a dedicated phone line to report that sort of incident


High theta-e bubble (up to equiv. 60C in places - impressive) currently maintaining elevated level convection moving NNE across the South.
Had a few flashes here too plus some rain getting to ground level.


Tomorrow it looks particularly lively from the Midlands North later.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


During the daytime?


 


Nick
Durham
[email protected]
nsrobins
30 June 2015 23:22:38


 


During the daytime?


 


Originally Posted by: NickR 


Yep but probably not until quite late.
The biggest issue for initiation is overcoming the cap due to the already very high surface to 900mb air temps. Having said that, any storm(s) that do fire late afternoon have the potential to become severe quite quickly. Large hail the primary risk IMO.


Best guess would be cells firing from 4pm North of the A14 and moving/developing Northwards into the evening.


Possible imports from France later in the night.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Arcus
01 July 2015 05:26:35

Nothing much has changed in my mind since I posted about the severe threat to N. England/Scotland yesterday morning, but I suspect the emphasis remains slightly further west, so Pennine areas and NW England (rather than areas E of Pennines) into much of the central areas of Scotland.

CF still remains sluggish on most models, with temperatures progged to get a 1 or 2 degrees higher in my neck of the woods than forecast yesterday.

Other localised storms in other areas also possible ofc. Interesting to see this morning the LP cells showing sferic returns in central areas.


The comparison I made yesterday with the June 2005 supercell outbreak still holds, but several parameters still need to come together for it to come to fruition.


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Charmhills
01 July 2015 07:28:07

Some big towers in a very unstable looking sky here this morning and very humid.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Charmhills
01 July 2015 07:46:10


That's a classic thundery trough moving into hot/humid air for late Friday.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
01 July 2015 08:12:25

Light thundery shower here for all of two minutes last night, but followed by some attractive-looking decaying cumulus highlighted by the full moon.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Jiries
01 July 2015 08:26:33



That's a classic thundery trough moving into hot/humid air for late Friday.


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


That the BBC are dismissing this another hot air on Friday and Saturday as the models showing 30C and over on both days.

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
01 July 2015 08:31:24

Cloudy this morning with what could be some showery rain soon. As yesterdays showers formed so fast I wouldn't be surprised if we see more today.  Yesterdays surprise rainfall and attractive cumulo nimbus with a high level rainbow and evening sunshine was a bonus. No camera though.


Nick


Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
Arcus
01 July 2015 08:35:39
Only homegrown sferics appear to be on a couple of cells that formed in Morecambe Bay and are now in the Kendal area.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
picturesareme
01 July 2015 10:11:34
Shower clouds are building rapidly all around, maybe a downpour & bang within the next hour or so.
nsrobins
01 July 2015 10:59:21
A cheeky line of cells leaving the Cotswolds heading for Coventry now. Lively sferics on these.
Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Arcus
01 July 2015 11:31:00
Revised warnings out from the MetO, with the warning area pushed a bit further W as suspected.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1435705200 


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Zubzero
01 July 2015 11:52:45

Revised warnings out from the MetO, with the warning area pushed a bit further W as suspected.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1435705200

Originally Posted by: Arcus 


http://www.estofex.org/ have a level 2 warming out for that area to.


 


I hope it's wrong and the storms are further south and east 

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