http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook
Monday 21 December Published at 10:00
Monthly Outlook
Summary
It's beginning to look a lot like....
...winter will never arrive! With Christmas week upon us however, there are signs that this week we will get a few chillier spells, and while we're not talking picture postcard territory, a few spots could possible even see a white Christmas*.
The bigger picture though, remains one in which the Atlantic still maintains its dominance over our weather patterns so the milder spells will never be far away. Crucially, with it being a busy travel period, windier and wetter days may have an impact on your plans so stay tuned to the latest BBC TV and Radio forecasts for updates.
*don't dig out your sledges yet though
Monday 21 December—Sunday 27 December
Driving home for Christmas?
Monday starts a bit cooler than recent days, but milder southwesterly winds strengthen (with coastal gales) before a spell of rain sweeps southeastwards during the day. Heaviest rain on western hills, followed by drier and clearer conditions spreading to all parts by the end of day.
More windy weather for all on Tuesday, with gales expected. Most will see some rain too, but heaviest will always be on western hills, and this may bring the risk of some minor flooding to areas where the ground remains saturated and rivers high. The winter solstice and shortest day of the year it might be, but across the south and east it'll also be the mildest day of the week.
Cooler, but clearer weather for most then through the night and into Wednesday. Blustery winds should prevent a frost for most, but bring in showers (wintry over northern hills) to punctuate the sunnier spells. Driest/sunniest in south and east.
Christmas Eve is a day to keep a close eye on the forecast if you're on the move across the UK. Blustery weather is expected UK-wide, but we could start the day with severe gales (lower chance storm force winds) in the north of Scotland. A spell of heavy rain will sweep southeast, followed by clearer conditions and also the coldest weather of the week, just in time to coincide with...
...CHRISTMAS DAY. Potentially a crisp start in northern and eastern areas, with some frost in places. Looks like most of you will open the curtains to sunny spells. Showers in northern England, Scotland and Northern Ireland could even bring some brief flurries of snow...over the hills! Before the day is out cloud, rain and a strengthening wind.
Boxing Day, and Sunday takes many back to square one, with milder weather and spells of wind and rain. The exception possibly being parts of Scotland.
Monday 28 December—Sunday 3 January
Should auld acquaintance be forgot...
...Mother Nature could bring us a brief reminder of what drier, sunnier weather is like. It appears that high pressure may build over Europe and exert its influence over us here in the UK (especially eastern areas). However, with a southerly flow dominating at first expect the unseasonably mild weather to continue. As strong winds weaken there's a greater chance of some cooler nights with a touch of frost. Northwestern areas of the UK always run the chance of being clipped by Atlantic weather fronts, and later in the week and into the New Year winds may start to return to a more west to southwesterly direction. Yes! More spells of wind and rain.
Monday 4 January—Sunday 17 January
Talk about the resolution...
If yours is to be not still mowing the lawn at the start of January you may have to be strong! Above-average temperatures are the most likely outcome to begin with. Computer models are keen to bring the changeable Atlantic weather back in. Colder spells are likely to be brief, and be between windy Atlantic low pressure systems. How much these will impact southeastern parts of the UK remains open to question as high pressure will never be too far away, and there are hints the high pressure may extend a little further northwards towards mid-month.
Next week
More details on whether you'll be welcoming in the New Year in your short-sleeves or gloves.
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com