Remove ads from site

Matty H
13 August 2015 14:04:43

Possibly the worst forecast event of recent times. Ferguson is getting pelters on Twitter as if it's his fault. I'm loving it. Any day it doesn't rain is a good one. 


Stormchaser
13 August 2015 14:17:51
Well then... No sun here, cloud had no trouble filling that in!

This really is one of those take and keep on taking days.

Unless... some action over N France has developed, further west than I was expecting to see. Still time for some interesting conditions here before the day is out, keeping expectations low though.
If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
SnowyHythe(Kent)
13 August 2015 14:18:33

Hardly....the forecasts I saw were VERY keen to stress that these storms could be up to 200 miles east or west of where they were forecast at any given time.

"Uncertainty" was the buzz word, I thought?


EDIT: Storms kicking off over the channel ready for the 1700 forecast of further storms for here..

Lucy J
13 August 2015 14:22:43
Odd day today - dry in London until about 12, then the rain began to set in with some tropical bursts. Almost flat calm apart from 10 minutes when we had two rumbles of thunder and the wind really got up - at one point I thought my big umbrella might blow out. Dry by not long afte 2pm and now (I've come on the train to Croydon) it's dry sunny and warm. Is that it for today??
Lucy J
13 August 2015 14:25:08
Just seen the storms between Amiens and Calais on Raintoday but they look to be clipping Kent??
sunny coast
13 August 2015 14:30:43
40 mm rain here today in eastbourne thuinder from 3am till around miid day
Matty H
13 August 2015 14:40:19


Hardly....the forecasts I saw were VERY keen to stress that these storms could be up to 200 miles east or west of where they were forecast at any given time.

"Uncertainty" was the buzz word, I thought?


EDIT: Storms kicking off over the channel ready for the 1700 forecast of further storms for here..


Originally Posted by: SnowyHythe(Kent) 


Nah, Ferguson admitting the models have completely botched it. He's not a happy bunny 


Polar Low
13 August 2015 14:43:51

Perhaps James "Expected between 1700 0nwards for s/England A level 1 has been issues for large hail.


"Over England, storms may be elevated due to a colder boundary layer. Excessive precipitation is expected to be the main threat, but isolated large hail cannot be ruled out, especially in eastern England.


Zoom!


 


 

Russwirral
13 August 2015 15:07:02
BTW - ive found the German version of Sat24 to be superior for sat data

http://de.sat24.com/hd/de/eu 

Set it to 9x speed and HD, then zoom in on the uk, watch those storms erupt
picturesareme
13 August 2015 15:13:45
Some sunshine at the moment breaking through down here, also with some of our highest dew points of the year 19.4C currently. Temps are slowly rising and are hovering just shy of 23C as i type, i think there is enough atmospheric 'soup' currently to give a rapid energy boost to any shower/ storm that does break out.
Stormchaser
13 August 2015 15:21:54

Spotted the more substantial convection erupting well east of the stuff I was referring to earlier... that may only manage to clip the far-eastern reaches of England unless it gets caught up in the circulation around the LP and heads WNW.


Not convinced the stuff well south of the IOW will hold together right the way across The Channel, but we'll see.


I have featureless low cloud here now... this has become one of what I call 'god fudge the weather' days. You can guess what fudge has replaced. It's a good thing yesterday was glorious (until 2pm at least), it's so dreary here today.


Apologies for being more irritable than usual today - I've been up at 5:30 each day this week to put together forecasts for interests in The Solent. I'm looking forward to a bright, fresh weekend with some deep sleep at night!


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Weathermac
13 August 2015 15:22:30
Very poor forecast for here in Warwickshire ...No torrential rain in fact no rain at all just been dry windy and cloudy .
colin46
13 August 2015 15:22:58
storm cells over northern France look to be tracking northeast towards Belgium and missing the U.K.
shine on you crazy diamond
192.104 m / 630.262 feet ASL
Retron
13 August 2015 15:36:13
34mm of rain today back home in Leysdown - and a small power cut too. That's already one of the wettest days of the decade and there's potential for more "fun" later on this evening...

It's positively steamy out there though - a 19C dewpoint and a bit of hazy sun. The roads are dry and the ground is still very firm, the rain hasn't soaked in much.
Leysdown, north Kent
Arcus
13 August 2015 15:36:13

storm cells over northern France look to be tracking northeast towards Belgium and missing the U.K.

Originally Posted by: colin46 


Philip Hammond on Radio 5 just now saying that those storms in NE France would affect the SE and London area. Can't really see it myself.


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Retron
13 August 2015 15:36:44


 


Philip Hammond on Radio 5 just now saying that those storms in NE France would affect the SE and London area. Can't really see it myself.


Originally Posted by: Arcus 


In my view they're making a beeline for Kent. We'll see later this evening, anyway!


Leysdown, north Kent
Arcus
13 August 2015 15:40:12


 


In my view they're making a beeline for Kent. We'll see later this evening, anyway!


Originally Posted by: Retron 


I would expect them to shift sightly more to the west of north so may be Kent clippers, but to affect the London area they would have to to a handbrake turn to the west. As you say we'll see!


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Phil G
13 August 2015 16:04:14
Lightning radar going nuts over NE France. Maybe a good job it may miss.

http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/mobile.php 
stophe
13 August 2015 16:08:53

Looks pretty impressive over the channel. Will it make over ??


http://www.sat24.com/en/nl

Charmhills
13 August 2015 16:12:35

Very poor forecast for here in Warwickshire ...No torrential rain in fact no rain at all just been dry windy and cloudy .

Originally Posted by: Weathermac 


Indeed.


Just overcast and breezy with the odd spot of rain.


Hoping for a good soaking for my garden tonight.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
picturesareme
13 August 2015 16:22:07
I still think some more home grown stuff will kick off down here, it's already gotten much darker in the last 40 minutes or so, the sun has disappeared now.
Retron
13 August 2015 16:26:18


Looks pretty impressive over the channel. Will it make over ??


Originally Posted by: stophe 


Well, a tendril from it has - the 17:!5 radar shows landfall just north of Dover.


Whether it's just the first drop of many or whether that's as close as it gets remains to be seen - I still fancy that Kent will see some more rain from this though!


Leysdown, north Kent
Jive Buddy
13 August 2015 16:46:41

Skies darkened rapidly, and rain arrived again. I thought I saw a flash of lightning out the corner of my eye, but no sound of thunder....


Lots of power cuts down on the marshes! Been tied up for the last 3 hours organising responses. The downside to this interesting weather malarky


It's not over, until the fat Scandy sinks.....

Location: St. Mary Cray, S.E. London border with Kent.
colin46
13 August 2015 16:50:59
creeping towards Folkestone and Dover now
shine on you crazy diamond
192.104 m / 630.262 feet ASL
Arcus
13 August 2015 16:51:13
The pattern of lightning strikes certainly showing a more NNW push now, with sferics showing north of Calais. Storms pushing into the east of Kent and thence into Essex/Suffolk possible if they hold together.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl

Remove ads from site

Ads