When was the last time we had a dry October? They must be as rare as hen's teeth. Can't help feeling we're in for another washout winter of endless Atlantic conveyor belt of storms: yuck!

Originally Posted by: briggsy6 

When was the last time we had a dry October? They must be as rare as hen's teeth. Can't help feeling we're in for another washout winter of endless Atlantic conveyor belt of storms: yuck!

Originally Posted by: briggsy6 

The run-to-run consistency at the moment is just staggering. Three op runs in a row from GFS have had a northerly lining up in around 10 days time.

The 12z is the best effort so far and it remains on the chilly side with the HP sticking to the west for a number of days after:

Even on day 16 the pattern looks capable of reloading to some extent.

Incidentally, I joined late in October 2008 in response to an increasingly cold outlook that offered a chance of snow on my birthday (31st). As it happened, I missed out, but I seem to recall that London had some falling for a time.

Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 

October 2008 was a rather dry and increasing cool October - the following winter was at the time one of the coldest in the south for many years.

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

Incidentally, I joined late in October 2008 in response to an increasingly cold outlook that offered a chance of snow on my birthday (31st). As it happened, I missed out, but I seem to recall that London had some falling for a time.

Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 

The pics were taken in my garden in Berkhamsted and Regents Park, London. We also a light snow shower in October a few years later.

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoother/twocontent.aspx?type=bg&id=1680
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoother/twocontent.aspx?type=bg&id=1681

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

It would appear so James, but were we not saying a route to a zonal October looks likely back in late Sep?
The future is veiled, but the next week remains high pressure dominated. The lack of rain here is getting 'interesting' now.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

It would appear so James, but were we not saying a route to a zonal October looks likely back in late Sep?
The future is veiled, but the next week remains high pressure dominated. The lack of rain here is getting 'interesting' now.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

Well it's nice to see the return of the -5 850 line anyway. Almost time for the seasonal Dance of the Receding Easterly, teasing us with its -5 uppers.

In the meantime, a nice New England style run into autumn right now. Here's hoping for a frosty November 5th first - time to worry about White Christmas or not later.

Originally Posted by: eddied 

Severe weather for parts of Europe over the next few days with unusually cold air already giving significant snowfall

https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/653592267219955712

its started will we see some of this,

Originally Posted by: sizzle 

A remarkably dry outlook with high pressure pretty much rooted to the UK for the foreseeable. There are always exceptions. The far north of Scotland could fall under the influence of the atlantic at times from brushing fronts and the far SE appears to become prey to the North Sea Convection Machine.

Here's hoping the weather has a memory in the next few months. 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

After a long awaited for a decent week or 2 of HP in summer had finally arrived this month, way too late but at least no rain for a while and nice to see drying up the ground well as it been soggy most of the time since late July.  Looking good for car boot sales this Autumn so far without a single cancellation since BH washout and might stretch to November as they hoped for after the last 3 years they gave up by mid to late October due to very wet ground.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

It must be rare that a 240h accumulated precipitation chart shows zilch for large areas of the UK.

And, again very unusually, IMBY it looks like being one of the wettest at 13mm.

Originally Posted by: RobN 

It must be rare that a 240h accumulated precipitation chart shows zilch for large areas of the UK.

And, again very unusually, IMBY it looks like being one of the wettest at 13mm.

Originally Posted by: RobN 

HP in charge throughout

Originally Posted by: Gooner