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nsrobins
  • nsrobins
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
05 December 2015 11:50:54

Some weather to discuss.


Currently no Severe Flood Warnings for Cumbria at present but that will almost definitely change later as over 120mm rain in some areas falls on an already saturated catchment.


RED level warning issued by the Met Office.


Environment Agency warnings here: https://flood-warning-information.service.gov.uk/warnings


UPDATE: As I post this several Severe Warnings have been issued for the Keswick area.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Essan
05 December 2015 11:56:42

The Eden at Temple Sowerby is now at record levels.   Near record at Appleby.

The previous records date to Jan 2009 - when Carlise suffered severe flooding.

Lune also at near record levels in the Tebay area.


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
ISPISP
05 December 2015 11:58:47
Living close to Levens (Near Levens Bridge) - This is going to be a major event. Still raining heavily, loads of roads closed, Kendal reports of starting to flood.
doctormog
05 December 2015 11:59:39
It's great to see some of the flood defences working but I'm still not sure how I would feel walking alongside here

https://mobile.twitter.com/EnvAgencyNW/status/673103786739638272?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet 

nsrobins
  • nsrobins
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
05 December 2015 12:01:55
The E4 accumulated rainfall up to 09.00hrs Sunday has a grid point of 170mm over the Lake District.
Orographic enhancement along near-stationary front.
No wonder the MetO have a red out for this.
Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
noodle doodle
05 December 2015 12:20:54

The River Petteril outside Carl;isle is recording record* levels, this is the one that floods the football ground


http://apps.environment-agency.gov.uk/river-and-sea-levels/120711.aspx?stationId=5100


UserPostedImage


 


 


*, a weird thing is, I've seen it on the EA site go past that record level (25/9/12) before, but it never gets set to the new mark.... ?

05 December 2015 12:36:49

The E4 accumulated rainfall up to 09.00hrs Sunday has a grid point of 170mm over the Lake District.
Orographic enhancement along near-stationary front.
No wonder the MetO have a red out for this.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Latest forecast on BBC News had 150mm+ across Cumbria with Chris Fawkes saying some places (such as Seathwaite) could see up to 300mm in the next 18 hours. That would be similar to the Nov 2009 flooding event. The ground is already saturated so this could be a very serious situation developing.

ISPISP
05 December 2015 12:52:54
Just see Fire Engines coming in from Lancashire
Whether Idle
05 December 2015 13:02:57

 


 


Latest forecast on BBC News had 150mm+ across Cumbria with Chris Fawkes saying some places (such as Seathwaite) could see up to 300mm in the next 18 hours. That would be similar to the Nov 2009 flooding event. The ground is already saturated so this could be a very serious situation developing.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


These long fetch southwesterlies with embedded fronts are really dangerous for the north west.  Its like a conveyor belt of moisture dumping on those hills, with extra orographic enhancement.  Crazy stuff.


The NW desperately needs a pattern change.


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Bagfish
05 December 2015 14:07:30

It's really awful, the river Kent in Kendal is incrediby high, higher than it was in 2009. Two houses at the bottom of my road are suffering from surface water flooding as the water is coming up out of the drains.  The police have closed a number of bridges, and I'm really concerned about the railway bridge across the Kent, it's taking a huge amount of force from the flood water.  Worried that it might not be able to stand the strain.  Can't quite comprehend we have another 18 hours of rain to come





Near Kendal, Cumbria
Home 180m asl
Weather Station 
Bagfish
05 December 2015 14:08:51
Sorry, have no idea why these photos have come out black and white.

My OH has just been called out with the Mountain rescue team to go house to house to evacuate people.
Near Kendal, Cumbria
Home 180m asl
Weather Station 
doctormog
05 December 2015 14:18:02

Sorry, have no idea why these photos have come out black and white.

My OH has just been called out with the Mountain rescue team to go house to house to evacuate people.

Originally Posted by: Bagfish 


Sounds really nasty, and as you say another 18hrs is very bad news. Stay safe.


(The photos are fine and in colour for me)


ChrisJG
05 December 2015 14:24:14
We're cut off here. Every road flooded. We're just down from temple sowerby and the Eden looks incredible. It just looks so vast...
Home - near Penrith 150m ASL
Work - North/Central Cumbria
pnepaul
05 December 2015 14:30:00

The new flood defences in Keswick have been breached - not good news.

tinybill
05 December 2015 14:31:33

seen reports on other weather forums that the flood barries at Keswick! have been breeched

Bagfish
05 December 2015 14:34:56


 


Sounds really nasty, and as you say another 18hrs is very bad news. Stay safe.


(The photos are fine and in colour for me)


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


Thanks.  I'm jsu watching my local friends' Facebook Feeds and it's got to the point where there is flooding of houses that weren't flooded in 2009 which means that it's now worse than that storm.  The EA weather guages are now saying that their measurements are invalid as the levels have surpassed the highest measured.  Can't believe that we're not on Severe Flood Warning.



Have also just seen that the river Greta has just overtopped the new flood defences in Keswick - it's horrendous - so scary!!!


 



 


Near Kendal, Cumbria
Home 180m asl
Weather Station 
Whether Idle
05 December 2015 14:35:58
This episode could be worse than 09 for some. I hope all the emergency services are geared up. The rainfall radar is mental for the lakes.
Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
JACKO4EVER
05 December 2015 14:44:03
BBC now going for an unbelievable localised foot of rain in some places in Cumbria in the next 24 hours. Red warning out, I am sorry to hear about flooding that is only going to get worse
Fothergill
05 December 2015 14:51:23

This looks bad, I mentioned similarities to 2009 the other day but this looks like it could be worse now. Severe flooding already and it's only just started. Going to be chaos by tomorrow. Stay safe.

Whether Idle
05 December 2015 14:51:29
It is terrifying and awful. More public money needs to be invested in flood defences that are up to the job of coping with the extreme of our changing weather and climate! What was 1 in 100 years is now a 1 in 10 year event to my eye. People need to think hard and think ahead.

In the present moment the emergency services are, I trust ready to help save lives.
Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
tinybill
05 December 2015 15:04:48
Parts of Keswick being evacuated now ..Cumbria crack face book page is a good source of information .
tinybill
WMB
  • WMB
  • Advanced Member
05 December 2015 15:22:19

River looking like its starting to break it's banks here - that's bad news for Cockermouth and Keswick.  Will be a few hours yet before the worst of it reaches here.


Good site here to see river levels:


http://www.gaugemap.co.uk/#


I suspect a few of them on the Cumbrian rivers may cease to record permanantly today!

Patrick01
05 December 2015 16:42:30

Nowhere near as bad as up north but my parents have told me they aren't able to get off Anglesey this evening. Apparently all routes to the bridges are flooded, and it took them ages to get there (with many detours) due to floods in the first place. I didn't even think it had been raining much over there, so it looks like NW Wales might be quite badly affected too. 


Incredible images from Cumbria - and incredible to think this is happening again so soon after 2009. 


 


 

RobR
  • RobR
  • Advanced Member
05 December 2015 16:43:22
Raintoday shows relentless rain for a small corner of Wales too, so probably why!
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