ECM looking pretty good, UKMO looks superb at T+144 .
GFS I think is being overly progressive and I think the high pressure will stick around us for longer with the potential for some ridging over Scandi (although that is still to far away at the moment).
The UKMO could well keep the northerly theme going beyond the weekend.
One thing notable about the upcoming colder weather is how cold Scandi is over the next week, which could make an Atlantic breakthrough more difficult.
http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp4.png
Some pretty cold temps forecast here later on in the week, even with what may be an overly progressive GFS.
So yes at this point anything may be borderline where I am (Southampton) but I am pretty happy with how things look.
The prospect of warm air flooding over the UK and a strong Euro high have gone and its looking pretty cold and dry. Its good to see a dry outlook, I was handcycling through the New Forest today and it was very boggy with some minor flooding in areas. So a drier spell is very welcome.
Even if the cold doesn't turn out to be as strong down south who knows, perhaps something better for us may come along later?
Originally Posted by: yorkshirelad89