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cultman1
16 January 2016 16:57:45
Very interesting article in today's Telegraph Back pag.e Weather article by Joe Shute and an interview with the Forestry commission. He is convinced the cold snap will continue beyond Tuesday. HIs final paragraph reads as: The Met Office says this cold snap will last until Tuesday but don't believe a word. You read it here first: Winter is here to satay. Anyone who can read the article, comments welcome.
John p
16 January 2016 17:02:30
Cold here to satay?

Maybe the Atlantic will tikka it's time to bhaji the block out of the way?

;-)
Camberley, Surrey
Gooner
16 January 2016 17:06:48

Cold here to satay?

Maybe the Atlantic will tikka it's time to bhaji the block out of the way?

;-)

Originally Posted by: John p 



Your just joshing


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Rob K
16 January 2016 17:10:48
Here to satay? I think he's nuts.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
David M Porter
16 January 2016 17:21:05


 


Sad to say his Dad passed away a few days ago :-(


Gav posted the news on his twitter account.


Originally Posted by: John p 


I'm really sorry to hear this- my condolences to Gavin & his family.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Gusty
16 January 2016 17:25:31

Cold here to satay?

Maybe the Atlantic will tikka it's time to bhaji the block out of the way?

;-)

Originally Posted by: John p 


I've heard from IF that the cold is likely to curry on longer than originally expected 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Whether Idle
16 January 2016 17:31:52

Stop chickin' tiikkin the mickey!


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
cultman1
16 January 2016 18:29:54
apologies everyone forgetting to implement spell check.....
Charmhills
16 January 2016 20:20:31

As snow falls past the window in E Lancs the good news is a return to Dec weather is not expected. Feb and Mar could be very interesting.


https://twitter.com/MattHugo81


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Gooner
16 January 2016 22:00:52

21:55


The Beeb having the High to the East dominating all week, J Wynne saying its all finely balanced, next weekend could see the Atlantic win, where the air masses meet there will be snow


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


tallyho_83
16 January 2016 22:09:44
So not warning for heavy snow or ice or frost etc...no possibility of disruptive snow?! Bit of a let down.
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


David M Porter
16 January 2016 22:26:30


21:55


The Beeb having the High to the East dominating all week, J Wynne saying its all finely balanced, next weekend could see the Atlantic win, where the air masses meet there will be snow


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


That sounds somewhat at odds with what the UKMO model showed in it's 12z run earlier this evening.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Gooner
16 January 2016 22:28:52


 


That sounds somewhat as odds with what the UKMO model showed in it's 12z run earlier this evening.


Originally Posted by: David M Porter 


Completely , It was surprising


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Hippydave
16 January 2016 22:29:00


 


That sounds somewhat as odds with what the UKMO model showed in it's 12z run earlier this evening.


Originally Posted by: David M Porter 


Might just be a case of the MetO 'Op' run we see sitting in a mild cluster with a significant cluster of their ens (MOGREPS?) showing colder solutions


 


Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
Gooner
17 January 2016 13:34:30

H Willet seems very confident about wet and windy weather later in the week


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Charmhills
17 January 2016 13:46:21


H Willet seems very confident about wet and windy weather later in the week


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


That's what most models are showing.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Gooner
17 January 2016 13:50:03


 


That's what most models are showing.


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


I'm not disputing that but was massively at odds to what J WYnne showed last night , thats all


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gavin D
17 January 2016 14:03:14
Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 22 Jan 2016 to Sunday 31 Jan 2016:

During the course of this Friday, wet and windy but milder weather is expected to spread eastwards across all parts, followed by brighter conditions from the west later. The rain perhaps proceeded by snow across north-eastern Britain, but any snow becoming confined to the Scottish mountains by the end of the day. The weekend then looks set to be generally bright and breezy with scattered showers. The wind stronger and the showers most prevalent and heaviest towards the north and west, where more prolonged spells of rain are likely at times. Next week looks unsettled with spells of wet and windy weather, especially towards the north and west. Some frost can be expected at night during quieter interludes, with temperatures about average for the time of year.

UK Outlook for Monday 1 Feb 2016 to Monday 15 Feb 2016:

A typically changeable theme is the most likely scenario at this stage, with temperatures close to the seasonal average. The weather probably most unsettled towards the northwest and least unsettled towards the southeast. Frosty at times, though mainly towards the southeast where there is a little more potential for a more prolonged settled, colder period of weather.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
Gusty
17 January 2016 14:21:23


 


I'm not disputing that but was massively at odds to what J WYnne showed last night , thats all


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


Let it go mate, its over 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



nsrobins
17 January 2016 14:28:14


 


Let it go mate, its over 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


My local meeting of Meteologica Annonymous is on tonight Marcus - I can send you details if you like.


'My name is Neil. I'm a compulsive cold weather addict. Not viewed the ensembles since my last meeting. Last search for an easterly was on Dec 28th last year.' 😜


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Gusty
17 January 2016 14:35:27


 


My local meeting of Meteologica Annonymous is on tonight Marcus - I can send you details if you like.


'My name is Neil. I'm a compulsive cold weather addict. Not viewed the ensembles since my last meeting. Last search for an easterly was on Dec 28th last year.' 😜


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 



Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Gooner
17 January 2016 14:41:31

^^^^^^^Pathetic the pair of you ^^^^^^^^^^^


 


 


 


 


 



Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gavin D
18 January 2016 10:03:32
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Monday 18 January—Sunday 24 January
Cold at first, but turning less cold later.

The week will get underway with the stubborn block of cold air across Scandinavia continuing to prevent Atlantic weather systems from making any great progress eastwards across the UK.This means that many eastern and central parts of the UK will start the week on a very cold but mainly dry note, Further north and west, weak weather fronts will try to push in and introduce outbreaks of mainly light and patchy rain, that will fall as snow at times, chiefly over higher ground. Central Scotland and the higher parts of northern England look most at risk of receiving some snow during Monday. In the far west, across Wales, Northern Ireland and the far southwest of England, we can expect slightly less cold, but very damp and cloudy conditions to prevail through Monday.

By Tuesday, high pressure is expected to reassert itself across the majority of the UK, with largely dry and cold weather conditions dominating proceedings. The best of any sunshine will most likely be across eastern areas. Overnight frosts are likely to be harsh, again more especially in eastern areas. Overnight freezing fog patches are possible just about anywhere. Through Thursday a weak weather front is expected to make some eastward progress across the UK, turning conditions cloudier, with the threat of some transient snowfall. Friday is expected to mark the transition back to a westerly air stream and less cold conditions as a weather front and its associated rain sweeps in from the Atlantic, ushering the cold air away to the east.

The following weekend should bring a mixture of sunshine and showers to most parts, with a brisk westerly wind in the west and northwest.

Monday 25 January—Sunday 31 January
Less cold, but still unsettled at times...

For the final week of January, forecasting models and tools are indicating the likelihood of a return to a chiefly westerly Atlantic airstream. Pressure looks like being lower towards the northwest of the UK for much of the period, with signs that pressure may build across southern or southeastern parts of England at times. This scenario would mean that some windy spells can be expected, with a mix of sunshine and showers for much of the period.

Wind strength and the frequency/potency of showers are always likely to be greatest across northwestern areas of the UK, with southeastern areas experiencing the best of any lengthier dry interludes. Temperatures look like they'll be around about the norm for the time of year, with overnight frosts likely just about anywhere in the UK, although perhaps more frequently in the south where winds are generally expected to be lighter. Some early morning patchy fog is also likely on nights when winds fall light.

Monday 1 February—Sunday 14 February
Nothing out of the ordinary...

Looking further into the future, at time of writing the latest computer forecasting model output suggests a continuation of the themes discussed for the last week of January. Low pressure systems likely to move in from the Atlantic across northwestern areas of the UK, with pressure building over the southeast now and then. This will most likely translate as spells of wet and windy weather, interspersed with quieter interludes. The best of any dry weather is most probable across southeastern parts. Temperatures are expected to be around average, with overnight frosts possible at times.

Next week

With the meteorological winter drawing to a close at the end of February, will there be any sign of another cold spell of weather before we move into spring?. Find out next week.
tallyho_83
18 January 2016 10:44:10
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Monday 18 January—Sunday 24 January
Cold at first, but turning less cold later.

The week will get underway with the stubborn block of cold air across Scandinavia continuing to prevent Atlantic weather systems from making any great progress eastwards across the UK.This means that many eastern and central parts of the UK will start the week on a very cold but mainly dry note, Further north and west, weak weather fronts will try to push in and introduce outbreaks of mainly light and patchy rain, that will fall as snow at times, chiefly over higher ground. Central Scotland and the higher parts of northern England look most at risk of receiving some snow during Monday. In the far west, across Wales, Northern Ireland and the far southwest of England, we can expect slightly less cold, but very damp and cloudy conditions to prevail through Monday.

By Tuesday, high pressure is expected to reassert itself across the majority of the UK, with largely dry and cold weather conditions dominating proceedings. The best of any sunshine will most likely be across eastern areas. Overnight frosts are likely to be harsh, again more especially in eastern areas. Overnight freezing fog patches are possible just about anywhere. Through Thursday a weak weather front is expected to make some eastward progress across the UK, turning conditions cloudier, with the threat of some transient snowfall. Friday is expected to mark the transition back to a westerly air stream and less cold conditions as a weather front and its associated rain sweeps in from the Atlantic, ushering the cold air away to the east.

The following weekend should bring a mixture of sunshine and showers to most parts, with a brisk westerly wind in the west and northwest.

Monday 25 January—Sunday 31 January
Less cold, but still unsettled at times...

For the final week of January, forecasting models and tools are indicating the likelihood of a return to a chiefly westerly Atlantic airstream. Pressure looks like being lower towards the northwest of the UK for much of the period, with signs that pressure may build across southern or southeastern parts of England at times. This scenario would mean that some windy spells can be expected, with a mix of sunshine and showers for much of the period.

Wind strength and the frequency/potency of showers are always likely to be greatest across northwestern areas of the UK, with southeastern areas experiencing the best of any lengthier dry interludes. Temperatures look like they'll be around about the norm for the time of year, with overnight frosts likely just about anywhere in the UK, although perhaps more frequently in the south where winds are generally expected to be lighter. Some early morning patchy fog is also likely on nights when winds fall light.

Monday 1 February—Sunday 14 February
Nothing out of the ordinary...

Looking further into the future, at time of writing the latest computer forecasting model output suggests a continuation of the themes discussed for the last week of January. Low pressure systems likely to move in from the Atlantic across northwestern areas of the UK, with pressure building over the southeast now and then. This will most likely translate as spells of wet and windy weather, interspersed with quieter interludes. The best of any dry weather is most probable across southeastern parts. Temperatures are expected to be around average, with overnight frosts possible at times.

Next week

With the meteorological winter drawing to a close at the end of February, will there be any sign of another cold spell of weather before we move into spring?. Find out next week.


Say goodbye to winter then!


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gavin D
18 January 2016 12:38:17
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Saturday 23 Jan 2016 to Monday 1 Feb 2016:

Sunshine and showers for most on Saturday, although southern parts may see more in the way of cloud with patchy rain and drizzle. On Sunday showers are expected to become less prevalent, although cloud will increase across the south and southwest later. This will bring outbreaks of rain and drizzle to these parts. Next week looks unsettled with spells of wet and windy weather, especially towards the north and west. Over northern parts hill snow is expected at times. Some quieter interludes are likely at times, mostly towards the southeast. Although temperatures are expected to be mostly near normal for this time of year, some frost and fog can be expected at night during the quieter interludes.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 2 Feb 2016 to Tuesday 16 Feb 2016:

A typically changeable theme is the most likely scenario at this stage, with temperatures close to the seasonal average. The weather probably most unsettled towards the northwest and least unsettled towards the southeast. Frosty at times, though mainly towards the southeast where there is a little more potential for a more prolonged settled, colder period of weather.

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