theweatheroutlook

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nsrobins
15 February 2016 16:27:09
'Will late winter have a sting in its tail?'

Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't it have to have a tail in the first place to have a sting? 🤔😎
Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Bertwhistle
15 February 2016 20:15:19

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2633858


Interesting that this forecast (you need to click the TV forecast window) shows weather conditions for Wednesday and Friday in the south but subtly skips any details for Thursday, at a time when the models are hinting at a snow risk.  Very diplomatic.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Gooner
16 February 2016 00:00:26

J Hammond


Wednesday night , could see snow down to low levels  in Central and Eastern parts

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gandalf The White
16 February 2016 00:39:10


J Hammond


Wednesday night , could see snow down to low levels  in Central and Eastern parts


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


On the 00.30 forecast on Radio 4 he said "potentially disruptive snow is possible for central and eastern areas on Wednesday night and into Thursday."


He did imply a level of uncertainty, as you'd expect.


Not sure what 'potentially disruptive' means in terms of amounts but I guess 5-10cm or more.  I guess if there are signs of the trough pepping up and stalling that's quite possible.


 

Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


tallyho_83
16 February 2016 12:17:27
Spot where the typo is!?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20160216 

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


JimC
  • JimC
  • Advanced Member
16 February 2016 12:53:54


 


On the 00.30 forecast on Radio 4 he said "potentially disruptive snow is possible for central and eastern areas on Wednesday night and into Thursday."


He did imply a level of uncertainty, as you'd expect.


Not sure what 'potentially disruptive' means in terms of amounts but I guess 5-10cm or more.  I guess if there are signs of the trough pepping up and stalling that's quite possible.


 


Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


I thought 'potentially disruptive snow' in this country was anything around half an inch.

Polar Low
16 February 2016 13:03:11

Half a millimetre sounds about right, thou that might be a bit large for British Rail


 



 


I thought 'potentially disruptive snow' in this country was anything around half an inch.


Originally Posted by: JimC 

Whiteout
16 February 2016 13:16:25

Latest BBC forecast looks a lot more snowy 

Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Gandalf The White
16 February 2016 13:34:23


 


I thought 'potentially disruptive snow' in this country was anything around half an inch.


Originally Posted by: JimC 


I think it depends where in the country, in terms of experience of driving in snow.  In London and the Home Counties my experience of roads becoming gridlocked suggests your 1-2cm might be close...



 

Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Gavin D
16 February 2016 13:48:35
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Sunday 21 Feb 2016 to Tuesday 1 Mar 2016:

On Sunday southern and eastern areas will start mild with a band of rain moving southeastwards across England and Wales, this probably not clearing away from southeastern England until early Monday. Colder, brighter, showery conditions will follow from the northwest, the showers wintry in the north. It will initially be very windy, with gales likely at times in the north, but the wind should ease off as we head towards the middle of the week as the weather settles down for a while. However, the latest indications are for further wind and rain to return from the Atlantic some time later in the week, with the rain most prevalent over western areas. Thereafter conditions are likely to be changeable with temperatures probably averaging out close to or slightly below normal.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 2 Mar 2016 to Wednesday 16 Mar 2016:

The latest indications are that changeable weather conditions are likely to continue through the first half of March. We are expecting northwestern areas to have the wettest and windiest conditions while the southeast should have the best of any drier, brighter spells. There will probably be large day to day variations in the temperature, although it will probably average out to be near or slightly below normal, with some frosty nights likely at times.
Sinky1970
16 February 2016 14:39:49
My local bbc forecast going for rain all day, then some sleet overnight, so it won't be white over, but it will be dripping wet.
tallyho_83
17 February 2016 12:26:18

The Weather Online update: - Love how it shows **Ends** and the fact that the jet stream will become stronger...haha as if it never was strong enough at the first place! LOL.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=205&DAY=20160215 

Month ahead - February 15, 2016

Valid from 15/02 to 13/03 2016

Changeable & chilly

Cold and frosty late February, otherwise changeable and chilly

A month dominated by a west to northwesterly airflow. This brings cooler conditions, but also wet weather, especially to the north. Perhaps cooler mid month.

*15/2/16 - 19/2/16*
A chilly week across all parts of the country. There will be some s[ells of rain at times and the risk of some sleet mid-week. Temperatures rising int Scotland and Ireland by the end of the week.

*20/2/16 - 26/2/16*
A milder weekend as fronts move in from the Atlantic turning the winds into a west to southwesterly direction. Periods of rain, mostly in Scotland, with drizzle in the west.
Pressure may start to build into the new week, possibly bringing drier conditions to the south, and perhaps colder and frosty for a time too. Rain in Scotland may turning to sleet and snow.

*27/2/16 - 4/3/16*
High pressure and the risk of some frost through the new weekend.
This collapses southwards as winds turn back to the west during the week, bringing a return of milder weather and periods of rain, some heavy, together with drong winds.

*5/3/16 - 11/3/16*
Hints of an unsettled, wet and windy week. The jetstream may become stronger once again with periods of rain and strong winds.

**ends** .

Simon Keeling
Email me at [email protected]
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gavin D
17 February 2016 12:58:06
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Monday 22 Feb 2016 to Wednesday 2 Mar 2016:

Cloud and rain will soon clear the far southeast on Monday, otherwise through the first half of next week it will be cold with sunny spells and blustery showers, some of these are likely to be wintry, with snow to low levels in parts of the north. Later next week it looks like a return to changeable conditions with further wind and rain from the Atlantic, interspersed with colder, showery interludes. Winds are likely to be strong at times with a risk of gales or severe gales at times. There will be some snow, mainly over higher ground in the north. Temperatures will initially start rather cold or cold, but eventually returning to near or slightly below normal during the second half of next week.

UK Outlook for Thursday 3 Mar 2016 to Thursday 17 Mar 2016:

The latest indications are that changeable weather conditions are likely to continue through at least the start of March, with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed with colder, showery periods. There will be a risk of transient snow in places, either from showers in the colder outbreaks or due to frontal systems running into cold air, predominantly in the north. As we go further into March, there is a sign that drier conditions may develop in the north, with changeable conditions continuing in the south. There will be large day to day variations in temperature, but on the whole temperatures will average out below normal, with some frosty nights at times. Overnight frost is likely to be more prevalent in the north.
Ally Pally Snowman
17 February 2016 13:16:39

I'd be amazed if I got snow tnite but the Meto still seem to think it's possible upto 5cm. Still a large area covered by the warning so still some hope.


 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
phlippy67
17 February 2016 13:36:24
I see the METO have snow warnings covering all the Yorkshire and Humber region...apart from my corner of the East Riding...where there's no warnings atall...now there's a surprise...not
Arcus
17 February 2016 13:56:25

I see the METO have snow warnings covering all the Yorkshire and Humber region...apart from my corner of the East Riding...where there's no warnings atall...now there's a surprise...not

Originally Posted by: phlippy67 


There's no snow warning out for any part of Yorkshire - just one for Ice.

Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
JimC
  • JimC
  • Advanced Member
17 February 2016 16:05:10

I see that the Met Office yellow snow warning that was issued for tonight for parts of the south west and south have downgraded to icy roads, although saying there maybe a chance of some hill snow.

Gooner
17 February 2016 18:29:27

L Lear mentioning " Sunday's LP could cause a headache, with rain on the South of the LP and Snow on the Northern side "

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


tallyho_83
17 February 2016 18:46:31
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Monday 22 Feb 2016 to Wednesday 2 Mar 2016:

Cloud and rain will soon clear the far southeast on Monday, otherwise through the first half of next week it will be cold with sunny spells and blustery showers, some of these are likely to be wintry, with snow to low levels in parts of the north. Later next week it looks like a return to changeable conditions with further wind and rain from the Atlantic, interspersed with colder, showery interludes. Winds are likely to be strong at times with a risk of gales or severe gales at times. There will be some snow, mainly over higher ground in the north. Temperatures will initially start rather cold or cold, but eventually returning to near or slightly below normal during the second half of next week.

UK Outlook for Thursday 3 Mar 2016 to Thursday 17 Mar 2016:

The latest indications are that changeable weather conditions are likely to continue through at least the start of March, with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed with colder, showery periods. There will be a risk of transient snow in places, either from showers in the colder outbreaks or due to frontal systems running into cold air, predominantly in the north. As we go further into March, there is a sign that drier conditions may develop in the north, with changeable conditions continuing in the south. There will be large day to day variations in temperature, but on the whole temperatures will average out below normal, with some frosty nights at times. Overnight frost is likely to be more prevalent in the north.



Thank you for sharing this - Looks like it will be unsettled and cold. NO mention of milder than average weather at all!??

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


phlippy67
17 February 2016 22:21:26
Just seen BBC report about Spain where the same cold plunge that affected the UK during past few days has given the N+W of the country temps of -10degC and 30cm of snow since the w/end...!! go figure...I seem to recall it was the same last winter too...
Gavin D
18 February 2016 12:16:01
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Tuesday 23 Feb 2016 to Thursday 3 Mar 2016:

During Tuesday, it will be cold with sunny spells and some blustery showers, some of these are likely to be wintry, with snow potentially to low levels in parts of the north. From Wednesday, it looks like a return to changeable conditions with further wind and rain from the Atlantic, interspersed with colder, showery interludes. Winds are likely to be strong at times with a risk of gales or severe gales. There will be some snow at times, mainly over higher ground in the north. Temperatures will initially start cold with widespread overnight frost, and strong winds accentuating the cold feel, particularly in the north and east. Temperatures then returning to near or slightly below normal during the second half of next week.

UK Outlook for Friday 4 Mar 2016 to Friday 18 Mar 2016:

The latest indications are that changeable weather conditions are likely to continue through at least the start of the period, with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed with colder, showery periods. There will be a risk of transient snow in places, either from showers in the colder outbreaks or due to frontal systems running into cold air, predominantly in the north. As we go further into March, there is a sign that drier conditions may develop in the north, with changeable conditions continuing in the south. There will be large day to day variations in temperature, but on the whole temperatures will average out near or below normal, with some frosty nights at times. Overnight frost may become more prevalent in the north later in the period.
Gavin D
19 February 2016 13:02:53
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Wednesday 24 Feb 2016 to Friday 4 Mar 2016:

Cold conditions are likely to persist in the north during Wednesday, with wintry showers in places. Further south, cloud and rain may spread in from the west, perhaps bringing snow along the northern edge of this area. There will then be a drier, brighter interlude, before unsettled conditions spread eastwards across the UK later next week. This will herald a return to changeable conditions with wind and rain from the Atlantic, interspersed with colder, brighter and showery interludes. Often windy, with gales at times. There will also be some sleet or snow at times. Drier conditions may develop in the north by early March. Temperatures will generally be below normal for the time of year.

UK Outlook for Saturday 5 Mar 2016 to Saturday 19 Mar 2016:

There is currently significant uncertainty on the likely weather type through this period, but the latest indications are that unsettled conditions are likely to continue, with spells of wet and windy weather, interspersed with colder, brighter, showery periods. There will be some sleet or snow in places, either from showers in the colder outbreaks or due to frontal systems running into cold air. There are some signals that more prolonged, drier and cold conditions may affect the north for a time. There will be large day to day variations in temperature, but on the whole temperatures will average out somewhat below normal, with some frosty nights. Overnight frost may become more prevalent in the north for a time.
tallyho_83
19 February 2016 18:42:51
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Wednesday 24 Feb 2016 to Friday 4 Mar 2016:

Cold conditions are likely to persist in the north during Wednesday, with wintry showers in places. Further south, cloud and rain may spread in from the west, perhaps bringing snow along the northern edge of this area. There will then be a drier, brighter interlude, before unsettled conditions spread eastwards across the UK later next week. This will herald a return to changeable conditions with wind and rain from the Atlantic, interspersed with colder, brighter and showery interludes. Often windy, with gales at times. There will also be some sleet or snow at times. Drier conditions may develop in the north by early March. Temperatures will generally be below normal for the time of year.

UK Outlook for Saturday 5 Mar 2016 to Saturday 19 Mar 2016:

There is currently significant uncertainty on the likely weather type through this period, but the latest indications are that unsettled conditions are likely to continue, with spells of wet and windy weather, interspersed with colder, brighter, showery periods. There will be some sleet or snow in places, either from showers in the colder outbreaks or due to frontal systems running into cold air. There are some signals that more prolonged, drier and cold conditions may affect the north for a time. There will be large day to day variations in temperature, but on the whole temperatures will average out somewhat below normal, with some frosty nights. Overnight frost may become more prevalent in the north for a time.


No sign of any spring like weather in this udpate then?

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gooner
19 February 2016 22:04:51

T Sclkb[wrokgbker is going for the outside chance of snow mid week in the Midlands and then a milder end to the week

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


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