theweatheroutlook

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ARTzeman
06 June 2016 11:26:40

Met Office has put out weather warnings for Tuesday for This area heavy rain which could be torrential and maybe have hail with it. 20mm-50mm but could miss here System coming from the Atlantic and meeting up with warm moist air from the continent.......





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
06 June 2016 15:58:58
Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 11 Jun 2016 to Monday 20 Jun 2016:

Generally unsettled, and somewhat cooler weather is expected to start this period, with organised bands of rain drifting across the UK. There will also be some sunshine and drier weather for most areas in between the rain bands, although afternoon showers will also be possible. Winds will remain quite variable but will become breezier than of late with a low likelihood of gales at the country's fringes. It will then remain rather unsettled through the middle part of June, though there will still be drier, sunnier periods for most, between bands of cloud and rain. The southeast may begin to become more settled towards the end of the period. Temperatures fresher than of late; so perhaps still warm in sunny spells, but rather cool in the most unsettled periods.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 21 Jun 2016 to Tuesday 5 Jul 2016:

Into late June and early July, the most unsettled weather should increasingly become confined to northwestern areas. Generally drier, warmer and sunnier conditions should continue to develop further south and east, although still with a risk of some rain or showers at times. Temperatures generally near normal at first, but perhaps cool in most unsettled spells. Warmer conditions may then develop later in the period, perhaps becoming very warm at times in the south.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
SJV
06 June 2016 16:25:25

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 11 Jun 2016 to Monday 20 Jun 2016:

Generally unsettled, and somewhat cooler weather is expected to start this period, with organised bands of rain drifting across the UK. There will also be some sunshine and drier weather for most areas in between the rain bands, although afternoon showers will also be possible. Winds will remain quite variable but will become breezier than of late with a low likelihood of gales at the country's fringes. It will then remain rather unsettled through the middle part of June, though there will still be drier, sunnier periods for most, between bands of cloud and rain. The southeast may begin to become more settled towards the end of the period. Temperatures fresher than of late; so perhaps still warm in sunny spells, but rather cool in the most unsettled periods.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 21 Jun 2016 to Tuesday 5 Jul 2016:

Into late June and early July, the most unsettled weather should increasingly become confined to northwestern areas. Generally drier, warmer and sunnier conditions should continue to develop further south and east, although still with a risk of some rain or showers at times. Temperatures generally near normal at first, but perhaps cool in most unsettled spells. Warmer conditions may then develop later in the period, perhaps becoming very warm at times in the south.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast


Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Certainly no need for moomin's ark just yet 


 

Rob K
07 June 2016 14:56:03
The "very warm" part has disappeared from the end but still not too bad:

UK Outlook for Sunday 12 Jun 2016 to Tuesday 21 Jun 2016:
Generally unsettled and somewhat cooler with bands of rain pushing eastwards to start the period. These will be interspersed with some brighter, but showery conditions which may be heavy with thunder too. It will become breezier than recently too, with stronger winds likely across southwestern parts later. Towards the middle of the first week, largely drier and sunnier conditions should become established across northwestern parts and gradually extend further south and east and it will become warmer at times too. Into the weekend and the start of the following week a north-south split is expected with the most unsettled and cooler weather in the north and drier, more settled spells in the south and southeast, though still a risk of showers at times with temperatures trending around normal.

Updated at: 1402 on Tue 7 Jun 2016

UK Outlook for Wednesday 22 Jun 2016 to Wednesday 6 Jul 2016:
Through late June and into early July, the most unsettled weather is likely to remain confined to north and northwestern areas. Drier, warmer and sunnier conditions are should continue across southern and southeastern parts, again still with a risk of the odd shower at times though probably a trend to more in the way of drier conditions later. Temperatures generally near normal to start and perhaps cool at times in more unsettled weather, though most likely to see a tendency towards warmer conditions later.

Updated at: 1402 on Tue 7 Jun 2016
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Gavin D
08 June 2016 10:44:41
Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 13 Jun 2016 to Wednesday 22 Jun 2016:

It is looking unsettled from the start of this period, with spells of rain or showers, some of these turning heavy with a risk of thunder. The showers may also merge into longer periods of rain, with some heavier bursts possible. Winds are likely to be brisk, mainly across southern areas. As the first week progresses, more in the way of bright spells could develop, mingled with showers, however generally drier conditions are expected to become established into the southwest by Friday. Through the weekend and into the second week the northwest is likely to see much of any further rain, with the southeast expected to see drier conditions. Temperatures should be around normal for the time of year, but possibly falling below average in any extended periods of rain.

UK Outlook for Thursday 23 Jun 2016 to Thursday 7 Jul 2016:

Unsettled weather is most likely across north and northwestern areas through late June and early July. Southern and southeastern areas are more likely to see drier, warmer and sunnier conditions. Through the period this trend to more settled conditions is then expected to extend to most parts of the country. Temperatures are likely to be around normal for most, but possibly slightly below in the northwest and in more prolonged spells of rain. There is a signal that temperatures could gradually move to slightly above normal as the period progresses.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
Gavin D
09 June 2016 15:04:00
Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 14 Jun 2016 to Thursday 23 Jun 2016:

A generally unsettled picture for many parts through the middle of June, with showers or longer spells of rain possible just about anywhere, and some heavier bursts with a risk of thunder at times too. There will also be some drier and brighter weather interspersed, especially towards the end of the week. Through the weekend and into the following week, conditions will most probably take on more of a northwest/southeast split with the northwest likely to see more in the way of unsettled weather with rain, whilst the southeast is expected to be drier and brighter overall. Temperatures should be around normal for the time of year, but possibly falling below average in any extended periods of rain.

UK Outlook for Friday 24 Jun 2016 to Friday 8 Jul 2016:

Unsettled weather is most likely across north and northwestern areas through late June and early July. Southern and southeastern areas are more likely to see drier, warmer and sunnier conditions. Through the period this trend to more settled conditions is then expected to extend to most parts of the country. Temperatures are likely to be around normal for most, but possibly slightly below in the northwest and in more prolonged spells of rain. There is a signal that temperatures could gradually move to slightly above normal as the period progresses.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
PFCSCOTTY
09 June 2016 17:00:26

So the promised washout 24 hours ago for Friday-Sunday in the south, now changed to dry on Friday/sAturday and some drizzle pushing through on Sunday! ...not sure why any of us bother changing plans based on what we are told by the experts! 

Gavin D
10 June 2016 10:31:18
Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 15 Jun 2016 to Friday 24 Jun 2016:

Generally unsettled for all parts through the later part of next week, with fairly frequent showers, heavy and thundery at times. There will be some drier and brighter weather, which will become more prevalent towards the weekend, when showers will be more isolated and largely confined to the south. Temperatures will be close to or a little below average at first, but will become near or a little above normal over the weekend. Into the following week a northwest/southeast split is likely to develop, with the northwest seeing more in the way of unsettled weather with rain or showers, whilst the southeast is expected to be drier and brighter overall. Temperatures will be close to average generally, but may be a little above at times in the south.

UK Outlook for Saturday 25 Jun 2016 to Saturday 9 Jul 2016:

Unsettled weather is most likely across north and northwestern areas through late June and early July, with rain or showers, but also some occasional dry and bright weather. Southern and in particular southeastern areas are likely to see more lengthy spells of drier, warmer and sunnier weather, but still with some occasional rain or showers. Temperatures are likely be around normal for most, but perhaps a little above at times in the south. Towards the end of the period there is a chance that the drier and sunnier weather in the south may spread to affect much of the UK. If this happens temperatures are likely to become a little above normal for most parts.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
Solar Cycles
10 June 2016 10:53:36
Let's hope the latter part of the forecasts comes to fruition.🙂
ARTzeman
10 June 2016 11:22:47

Going to love the dryness. Hoping for long clear evenings as well ... 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
11 June 2016 10:20:45
Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 16 Jun 2016 to Saturday 25 Jun 2016:

Generally unsettled for most parts through Thursday and Friday, with fairly frequent showers, heavy and thundery at times. There will be some drier and brighter weather too, which should become more prevalent towards the weekend, when most places are likely see fine and dry weather, although a few showers are still possible in the south. Into the following week, unsettled and breezier conditions looks to return. Bands of cloud and rain are expected to move across the UK, interspersed with brighter, showery conditions. The most frequent spells of rain are likely across the north, whilst the south should see more in the way of drier weather. Temperatures will generally be near average, but perhaps on the cool side at first, and turning locally warm in sunnier spells.

UK Outlook for Sunday 26 Jun 2016 to Sunday 10 Jul 2016:

Unsettled weather is most likely across the northern half of the UK through late June and early July, with rain or showers, but also some occasional dry and bright weather. Southern, and in particular southeastern areas are likely to see more lengthy spells of drier, warmer and sunnier weather, but still with some occasional rain or showers. Temperatures are likely to be around normal for most, but perhaps a little above at times in the south. Towards the end of the period there is a low chance that high pressure could build across the UK. If it does develop, then more prolonged spells of drier and sunnier weather are likely nationwide, with temperatures becoming warmer.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
moomin75
11 June 2016 10:38:49

Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 16 Jun 2016 to Saturday 25 Jun 2016:

Generally unsettled for most parts through Thursday and Friday, with fairly frequent showers, heavy and thundery at times. There will be some drier and brighter weather too, which should become more prevalent towards the weekend, when most places are likely see fine and dry weather, although a few showers are still possible in the south. Into the following week, unsettled and breezier conditions looks to return. Bands of cloud and rain are expected to move across the UK, interspersed with brighter, showery conditions. The most frequent spells of rain are likely across the north, whilst the south should see more in the way of drier weather. Temperatures will generally be near average, but perhaps on the cool side at first, and turning locally warm in sunnier spells.

UK Outlook for Sunday 26 Jun 2016 to Sunday 10 Jul 2016:

Unsettled weather is most likely across the northern half of the UK through late June and early July, with rain or showers, but also some occasional dry and bright weather. Southern, and in particular southeastern areas are likely to see more lengthy spells of drier, warmer and sunnier weather, but still with some occasional rain or showers. Temperatures are likely to be around normal for most, but perhaps a little above at times in the south. Towards the end of the period there is a low chance that high pressure could build across the UK. If it does develop, then more prolonged spells of drier and sunnier weather are likely nationwide, with temperatures becoming warmer.

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

">http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast


Subtly starting to change this to more unsettled. Expect big changes over the next few days. 

Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
doctormog
11 June 2016 10:42:33

Have you warned the Met Office so that they can reprogram their supercomputers and models? 

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
picturesareme
11 June 2016 10:44:28


">http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Subtly starting to change this to more unsettled. Expect big changes over the next few days. 



 


looks fairly much status quo to recent days.

picturesareme
11 June 2016 10:45:29


Have you warned the Met Office so that they can reprogram their supercomputers and models? 


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


😂👍🏼

Charmhills
11 June 2016 10:58:06


Have you warned the Met Office so that they can reprogram their supercomputers and models? 


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Moomin is one giant super computer.


 


 
Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Gavin D
11 June 2016 13:12:08


">http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Subtly starting to change this to more unsettled. Expect big changes over the next few days. 




Your desperate for it to stay unsettled aren't you

Gavin D
11 June 2016 15:50:52
ARTzeman
11 June 2016 16:17:39

Weather warning of heavy rain for the morning in NE Somerset.





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
12 June 2016 10:39:22
Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 17 Jun 2016 to Sunday 26 Jun 2016:

Generally unsettled weather will be focussed on southern and central parts on Friday, with fairly frequent showers, heavy and thundery at times. There will be some generally drier and brighter weather too, which should become more prevalent for the start of the weekend, when most places are likely see fine and dry weather. From Sunday and into the following week, unsettled and breezier conditions look to return. Bands of cloud and rain are expected to move across the UK, interspersed with brighter, showery conditions. The most frequent spells of rain are likely across the northwest, whilst the southeast should see more in the way of drier weather. Temperatures will generally be near average, but perhaps on the cool side at first, and turning locally warm in sunnier spells.

UK Outlook for Monday 27 Jun 2016 to Monday 11 Jul 2016:

Unsettled weather is most likely across the northern half of the UK through late June and early July, with rain or showers, but also some occasional dry and bright weather. Southern and in particular southeastern areas are likely to see more lengthy spells of drier, warmer and sunnier weather, but still with some occasional rain or showers. Temperatures are likely to be around normal for most, but perhaps a little above at times in the south. Towards the end of the period there is a low chance that high pressure could build across the UK. If it does develop, then more prolonged spells of drier and sunnier weather are likely nationwide, with temperatures becoming warmer.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
cultman1
12 June 2016 10:50:19
I see that from this coming Sunday according to the Met Office info above breezier and unsettled conditions will return. The current ECM and GFS charts this morning show a probability of a more sustained settled spell from the same period? Which is right?
Essan
12 June 2016 11:44:21

I see that from this coming Sunday according to the Met Office info above breezier and unsettled conditions will return. The current ECM and GFS charts this morning show a probability of a more sustained settled spell from the same period? Which is right?

Originally Posted by: cultman1 



That was yesterdays forecast. 

If model output continues to show the same trend towards only a short spell of unsettled weather, the next update should reflect that

Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Gavin D
12 June 2016 20:26:42
BBC week ahead forecast saying the weather will go down hill again on Sunday / Monday ECM and GFS suggest otherwise

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/36511340 

GFS and ECM say no to that with a lot of high pressure around
moomin75
12 June 2016 21:11:26

BBC week ahead forecast saying the weather will go down hill again on Sunday / Monday ECM and GFS suggest otherwise

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/36511340

GFS and ECM say no to that with a lot of high pressure around

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Although actually, briefly, GFS does turn it wet on Monday, before HP properly builds in.


I must say though, with that BBC forecast, I'm a little dubious about what the models show now - and perhaps we need a few more runs of agreement before we can start feeling more confident.

Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Gavin D
13 June 2016 09:56:38
BBC monthly outlook

Monday 13 June—Sunday 19 June
Keep your umbrella handy

Low pressure will dominate our weather for much of this week with a brief drier, sunny interlude coming our way on Saturday.
Before then, Monday will see a band of rain continuing to move north-eastwards across the country, becoming stationary over southern Scotland and northern England. Heavy showers will follow to much of England, Wales and Northern Ireland with a risk of thunder and it will be warm and humid once again. Northern Scotland will continue dry and much cooler with sunshine. On Tuesday and Wednesday, northeast Scotland will be rather grey and misty with patchy rain. Brighter elsewhere with sunshine, especially during the morning but heavy showers breaking out each afternoon, bringing the risk of thunder again. During Thursday and Friday, the low pressure will move away to the east. This will allow the cool air over northern Scotland to make its way southwards on a freshening northerly wind. There will be more heavy afternoon showers in the south on Thursday but drier, brighter weather extending to all parts during Friday. Saturday looks to be the driest, brightest day of the week with plenty of sunshine. Also feeling warm in the sunshine with light winds. Do make the most of it as we will see cloudy skies and outbreaks of rain spreading from the west during Sunday.

Monday 20 June—Sunday 26 June
Typical British summer weather

There will be a real mix of weather during next week with some warm and sunny weather but also outbreaks of rain and fresher winds.
At the start of the week, the trough of low pressure bringing rain during Sunday will continue to affect many places on Monday and Tuesday. It will also become warm and humid in the south. Fresher Atlantic air will follow on Wednesday and Thursday with rather cloudy skies and some outbreaks of rain, most persistent and heaviest in the northwest. A ridge of high pressure will again follow from the west late in the week and over the weekend bringing drier, warmer weather once again. The highest temperatures and best of the sunshine will be across England and Wales. If this is the case, it will be good news for the festival goers heading to Glastonbury at the end of the week, an event traditionally linked to heavy rain and lots of mud.

Monday 27 June—Sunday 10 July
Good weather for tennis?

As we head into the Wimbledon fortnight, the weather across the British Isles will start off in a changeable phase. There will be a westerly jet stream high up in the atmosphere which is expected to bring weather systems across the Atlantic in our direction. This still brings quite a mix of weather for the latter part of June. There will be bands of rain crossing the country with drier and brighter weather following behind. It looks as though the area of high pressure over the Azores will build northeastwards towards the UK as we move into July. This will bring more in the way of drier, brighter and warmer weather, especially to more south and eastern areas. There will continue to be troughs of low pressure bringing rain into more northern parts and we could still see some of that rain coming southeastwards at times.

Next week

Cautious optimism for some settled weather

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

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