Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 1 Jul 2016 to Sunday 10 Jul 2016:

The changeable and often unsettled weather is likely to continue across most parts through this period. Bands of rain are expected to push eastwards across the country, these interspersed with drier and brighter periods, but also some showers, perhaps some heavy ones at times. The wettest weather is always more likely in the north and west where it will occasionally be windy too, whilst the south and east will see the best of any drier spells along with generally lighter winds. Temperatures on the whole are expected to be near, or somewhat below average for the time of year, but feeling cool more generally in the northwest in any wetter and winder spells. Conversely, it will feel warm in any drier and sunnier periods, especially in the south and east.

UK Outlook for Monday 11 Jul 2016 to Monday 25 Jul 2016:

Further changeable conditions are likely to persist at first with rain or showers across many areas, particularly the north and west, and temperatures near average. Around the middle of July there is a possibility of a more settled spell of weather to develop, potentially bringing longer dry periods to much of the country. With this change there would most likely be more in the way of sunshine with some locally warm temperatures and lighter winds. However there is also the possibility of more humid continental air moving up across the southeast at times, bringing a risk of some thundery showers here.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 27 June—Sunday 3 July
A mixed bag for all this week

Wimbledon starts this week on a dry and bright note, but northern areas are likely to see some showers in places. From Tuesday onwards we are likely to see spells of rain move eastwards across the country at times, but in-between there will be some sunnier interludes. The heaviest of the rain is always likely to the west, where it will be windy at times too, with the southeast seeing the best of any drier and brighter weather. Temperatures are likely to be close to the seasonal average, so certainly a contrast to this time last year when we experienced the hottest July day on record, with 36.7C recorded at Heathrow on 1st July last year.

Monday 4 July—Sunday 10 July
Wimbledon continues, but will the sun shine?

As we head into the first full week of July we see plenty of fetes and festivals taking place across the UK, including T in the Park in Perthshire. At the moment we can expect the changeable theme to continue across the UK. The most frequent spells of rain are likely towards the northwest with the southeast seeing the best of the drier and brighter weather. In the strong July sunshine it will feel warm but under the rain it will tend to feel rather cool for the time of year.

Monday 11 July—Sunday 31 July
Any signs of the weather settling down?

At first, the changeable theme seems set to continue, with the northwest seeing the most unsettled weather whilst the best of the drier and brighter conditions remain closer to the southeast. We may see a more settled spell of weather develop for a time across the UK bringing some warmer and more humid conditions, especially in the south but this in turn may trigger a few thunderstorms.

Next week

As we approach the summer holidays, will the temperatures begin to rise?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 2 Jul 2016 to Monday 11 Jul 2016:

The changeable and often unsettled weather is likely to continue across most parts through this period. Bands of rain are expected to push eastwards across the country, these interspersed with drier and brighter periods, but also some showers, perhaps some heavy ones at times. The wettest weather is always more likely in the north and west where it will occasionally be windy too, whilst the south and east will see the best of any drier spells along with generally lighter winds. Temperatures on the whole are expected to be near, or somewhat below average for the time of year, but feeling cool more generally in the northwest in any wetter and winder spells. Conversely, it will feel warm in any drier and sunnier periods, especially in the south and east.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 12 Jul 2016 to Tuesday 26 Jul 2016:

Changeable conditions are likely to persist at first, with rain or showers across many areas, particularly the north or northwest, and temperatures near average. Around the middle of July there is the possibility that a spell of more settled weather will develop, potentially bringing longer dry periods to much of the country. With this change there would be more in the way of sunshine with generally warm temperatures and lighter winds. However there is also the possibility of more humid continental air moving up across the southeast at times, bringing very warm temperatures and a risk of some thundery showers here.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Jul 2016 to Tuesday 12 Jul 2016:

Remaining changeable and often unsettled for most through this period, with bands of rain expected to push across much of the country, interspersed with sunshine and showers. The wettest weather is always more likely in the north and west where it will occasionally be windy too, whilst the south and east will see the best of any drier and brighter spells along with generally lighter winds. Temperatures on the whole are expected to be near, or slightly below average for the time of year, but feeling cool more generally in the northwest in any wetter and winder spells. Conversely, it will feel warm in any drier and sunnier periods, especially in the south and east.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 13 Jul 2016 to Wednesday 27 Jul 2016:

Changeable conditions are likely to persist at first, with rain or showers across many areas, particularly the north or northwest, and temperatures near average. From around the middle of July there is the possibility that a generally more settled spells of weather may develop, potentially bringing longer dry periods to much of the country. With this change there would be more in the way of sunshine with generally warm temperatures and lighter winds. However there is also the possibility of more humid continental air moving up across the southeast at times, bringing very warm temperatures and a risk of some thundery showers here.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 4 Jul 2016 to Wednesday 13 Jul 2016:

Remaining changeable and often unsettled at first, with bands of rain pushing across the country, interspersed with sunshine and showers. The wettest weather is most likely in the north and west where it may be occasionally windy too, whilst the south and east will see the best of any drier and brighter spells along with generally lighter winds. Through the period, a generally more settled spell of weather may develop across the south, giving more in the way of drier, brighter periods here. Temperatures are expected to be on the cooler side of normal though it'll feel warm in any drier, sunnier periods especially in the south and east. Perhaps returning to normal or locally warm and humid in the south later.

UK Outlook for Thursday 14 Jul 2016 to Thursday 28 Jul 2016:

The changeable weather is likely to persist at first in the north, with rain or sunshine and showers and temperatures near average, however the more settled conditions initially in the south may then spread north. This should bring longer dry periods to much of the country, along with warmer temperatures and lighter winds. There is also a chance of more humid continental air moving up across the south and southeast at times, bringing very warm temperatures and perhaps a risk of some thundery showers.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 5 Jul 2016 to Thursday 14 Jul 2016:

The latest indications are that the weather during early to mid July will remain changeable and often unsettled with bands of rain pushing eastwards across the British Isles, interspersed with intervals of sunshine and showers. In general the wettest weather is most likely to occur across the west and north, where it will also be windy at times, while the south and east should see the best of any drier and brighter spells, along with generally lighter winds. The temperature is expected to be mostly on the cool side for the time of year, particularly in western and northern parts. However it will feel warmer in any drier, sunnier periods, especially in the south and east.

UK Outlook for Friday 15 Jul 2016 to Friday 29 Jul 2016:

Initially in mid July changeable weather is likely to persist across the north, with spells of rain or sunshine and showers, and temperatures close to or below average for the time of year. However as we head towards the latter part of the month there are signs that a spell of generally more settled weather may start to take hold, which would bring longer dry periods along with warmer temperatures and lighter winds, especially across southern areas. There is also a chance of more humid continental air moving up across the south and southeast at times, bringing very warm temperatures and perhaps a risk of some thundery showers.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Hahaha. Met Office keep pushing this settled spell back. Early July then mid July now LATTER July. Face it guys this summer will be a write off.

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 6 Jul 2016 to Friday 15 Jul 2016:

Conditions look to remain on the changeable side and often rather unsettled as bands of cloud and rain try to push eastwards across the UK, these interspersed with drier and brighter periods with sunshine but also some showers. In general the wettest weather is most likely to occur across the west and northwest, where it will also be windy at times, while the south and east is favoured to see the best of any more prolonged drier and brighter spells, more especially towards the middle of the month. The temperature is expected to be mostly on the cool side for the time of year, particularly in western and northern parts. However it will feel warmer in any drier, sunnier periods, especially in the south and east.

UK Outlook for Saturday 16 Jul 2016 to Saturday 30 Jul 2016:

It is likely that the changeable weather will persist for many parts of the UK through the second half of July, with spells of rain pushing in from the west, interspersed by drier spells with sunshine, but still some showers. The wettest and most unsettled conditions are most likely across north-western parts, whilst the southeast should see more in the way of the drier and brighter weather, however there is also a chance of more humid continental air moving up across the south and southeast at times, which would bring very warm temperatures and perhaps a risk of some thundery showers. Temperatures will generally be close to, or below normal for the time of year, but with some warm, or very warm conditions possible in the south at times.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

And now they write off the whole of July. Hmmm. Maybe we should shoot them down as well eh?

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If you want my opinion, medium-long range forecasting in this country is about as much use as a chocolate teapot.

Matty H always said that long-range forecasts were a waste of time in this country, and I'm starting to come round to that view as well.

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At least they haven't written off August as well as July, not yet anyway!

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Agreed! Fun to read and follow but if you're looking for accuracy, you're in the wrong place 

Just seen a teacher friend share an Exacta weather post on Facebook proclaiming the heat to return next week 

I know high pressure due to warm things up a bit but I didn't have the heart nor the energy to explain to this friend that Exacta's forecasts are complete BS 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 7 Jul 2016 to Saturday 16 Jul 2016:

Conditions look likely to remain changeable and often unsettled as bands of cloud and rain push eastwards across the British Isles, these interspersed with drier and brighter periods with some sunshine, but also some showers. In general the wettest weather is most likely to occur across the west and northwest, where it will also be windy at times, while the south and east are more likely to see the best of any more prolonged drier and brighter spells. The temperature is expected to be mostly on the cool side for the time of year, particularly in western and northern parts. However it will feel warmer in any drier, sunnier periods, especially in the south and east.

UK Outlook for Sunday 17 Jul 2016 to Sunday 31 Jul 2016:

It is likely that the changeable weather will persist for many parts of the British Isles through the second half of July with spells of rain pushing in from the west, interspersed by drier spells with sunshine, but also some showers. The wettest and most unsettled conditions are most likely to occur across northwestern parts, whilst the southeast should see more in the way of drier, brighter weather, although there is also a chance of more humid continental air moving up across the south and southeast at times, which would bring very warm temperatures and perhaps a risk of some thundery showers. The temperature in general will probably be close to or below average for July at first, but tending to become a bit warmer overall later in the month.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 8 Jul 2016 to Sunday 17 Jul 2016:

Eastern and southern parts are likely to start dry and bright on Friday, but outbreaks of rain and strengthening winds should push northeastwards across the country later on Friday and during Saturday. The strongest winds and heaviest rain is expected to occur in the northwest. Brighter weather with showers is then expected to spread across the country from the west later on Saturday and during Sunday. The rest of the period is likely to continue changeable, with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed with some dry and bright interludes. The most unsettled weather probably occurring in the northwest, with the best of the bright spells occurring in the southeast. Temperatures are likely to be near or a little below average, though feeling warm in the brighter spells.

UK Outlook for Monday 18 Jul 2016 to Monday 1 Aug 2016:

It is likely that the changeable weather will persist across the country through the second half of July. Spells of rain are expected to push in from the west, interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. The wettest and most unsettled conditions are most likely to occur across northwestern parts, whilst the southeast should see the best of drier and brighter conditions. However, there is also a chance of more humid continental air moving up across the south and southeast at times, which would bring very warm temperatures and perhaps a risk of some thundery showers. The temperature in general will probably be close to or below average for July at first, but tending to become a bit warmer overall later in the month.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

The back end of July is looking better for our annual family camping trip this year.👍

BBC monthly outlook

Saturday 4 June—Sunday 10 July
Best of the weather in the south

The week starts with scattered showers over northern Scotland, while a humid and rather cloudy air mass spreads across England and Wales. The south will be mostly dry and feel quite warm, but some rain will move across Northern Ireland, northern England and southern Scotland. Tuesday will see a return to fresher conditions with some sunshine, but mainland Scotland and northeastern England can expect some heavy showers to develop.
Wednesday and Thursday will be dry and a bit warmer over much of England and Wales, while patchy rain will eventually spread to Northern Ireland and western Scotland. Friday too will be mainly dry before patchy rain returns to the northwest, and the weekend is set to be mixed, with an increasing threat of rain or showers spreading to most of the country.

Monday 11 July—Sunday 17 July
Winds and weather coming from the Atlantic

For the middle week of July the run of mainly westerly winds will continue. Occasional bands of rain will cross the country, followed by drier spells with sunshine but also showers in places. Over the south and east of the country the rain or showers will be short-lived, with plenty of dry weather, but for the northwest showers or some longer spells of rain can be expected on most days. Temperatures will be close to normal overall, but on the dry days the south will be rather warm. Friday marks St Swithin's day - the legend about forty days of rain or sun is not to be taken literally, but perhaps reflects that British summers do tend to get 'stuck' in the pattern that is prevailing around mid-July.

Monday 18 July—Sunday 31 July
No signs of a change in the weather pattern

So with this rather unsettled weather pattern in place, the most likely outcome for the last fortnight of July is for more of the same. We'll continue to see winds generally from a westerly quarter, occasionally bringing weather systems from the Atlantic eastwards across the British Isles. These will bring their rain or showers to all parts, but especially to Scotland and Northern Ireland where the intervening spells of drier and sunnier weather won't last very long. But over England and Wales there will be some lengthier dry spells giving sunshine and some rather warm days. A short hotter spell can't be ruled out, mainly affecting England, but this would bring an attendant risk of thunderstorms.

Next week

Looking ahead to early August - will summer sizzle or fizzle?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Jul 2016 to Monday 18 Jul 2016:

This weekend is expected to be generally breezy with occasional rain, especially in the north and west. However, south-eastern areas are expected to remain dry, warm and humid on Saturday, before rain arrives on Sunday. All areas turning progressively cooler over the weekend. Low pressure is expected to dominate for the rest of the period, so the weather is most likely to remain rather unsettled with a mix of sunshine and showers, interspersed by longer spells of rain at times. Generally rather cool and breezy for the time of year, especially in the north, though pleasantly warm when the sun's out. The wettest conditions are probably most likely across northern and central parts, with a greater likelihood of longer settled, warmer spells of weather in the south of England.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Jul 2016 to Tuesday 2 Aug 2016:

During this period, low pressure is likely to remain dominant in the northwest but become less dominant in the southeast. The weather probably remaining rather changeable, but with the wettest weather most likely in the northwest, and a greater chance of more prolonged spells of settled weather across southern and eastern Britain. Temperatures generally near normal, but with brief interludes of very warm and humid conditions in the southeast.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 10 Jul 2016 to Tuesday 19 Jul 2016:

Cloud, rain and muggy conditions soon clearing southeastern areas, otherwise a mix of sunshine and blustery showers through Sunday. Showers probably heavy in the north with a risk of thunder. Low pressure is then expected to dominate for the first half of next week, so the weather is likely to remain rather unsettled with a mix of sunshine and showers, interspersed by longer spells of rain at times. The wettest conditions are probably most likely across northern parts, with a greater likelihood of longer settled, warmer spells of weather in the south. Generally rather cool and breezy for the time of year, especially in the north, though pleasantly warm when the sun's out. More prolonged, drier, warmer conditions may develop towards the middle of July.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 20 Jul 2016 to Wednesday 3 Aug 2016:

Conditions probably remaining rather changeable during the second half of July into early August, with drier, settled weather interspersed with occasional bands of rain or showery interludes. The most unsettled conditions probably more likely in the north and northwest, with areas further south and southeast probably receiving the best of the drier, more settled weather. Settled conditions may become more prolonged at times. Temperatures averaging out near or just below normal, but with interludes of warm and humid conditions in the southeast.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Weather for the week ahead shows a SW-NE jet stream pushing areas of cloud and rain across the country alternating with sunny periods, most of the rain in the NW and most of the sun in the SE, for the whole week. Warm in the sunshine, as air is off the S part of the N Atlantic, but an area of storms which has recently affected the mid-US combines with the jet stream to give a more than usually vigorous depression next weekend.

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 11 Jul 2016 to Wednesday 20 Jul 2016:

There will be a rather cool north-westerly breeze across the UK at the start of next week with a mixture of sunshine and scattered showers, these perhaps merging into longer spells of rain in the northwest. Conditions are then likely to remain changeable through the middle of July with a mix of showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed by drier and brighter conditions. The wettest conditions will be most likely across northern and western parts, with a greater likelihood of longer dry and bright spells of weather in the south. Temperatures will start off rather cool for the time of year, especially in the north where winds will be stronger, though becoming pleasantly warm in any prolonged sunshine and lighter winds in the south.

UK Outlook for Thursday 21 Jul 2016 to Thursday 4 Aug 2016:

Conditions are expected to remain rather changeable until the end of July and into early August, with occasional bands of rain trying to move eastwards across the country, interspersed by drier and brighter weather, but still with some showers. The most unsettled conditions are more likely to be in the north and west, with areas further south and southeast favoured for seeing the best of the drier, more settled weather. The more settled conditions may extend to more of the country at times. Temperatures averaging out near or just below normal, but with interludes of warm and humid conditions at times, most likely in the southeast.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 12 Jul 2016 to Thursday 21 Jul 2016:

There will be a rather cool north-westerly breeze across the UK on Tuesday, bringing a mixture of sunshine and scattered showers. Showers may turn heavy and thundery through the afternoon, and will probably be most frequent in the north. Conditions are then likely to remain changeable through the middle of July with a mix of showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed by drier and brighter conditions. The wettest conditions will be most likely across northern and western parts, with a greater likelihood of longer dry and bright spells of weather in the south. Temperatures will start off rather cool for the time of year, especially in the north where winds will be stronger, though becoming pleasantly warm in any prolonged sunshine and lighter winds in the south.

UK Outlook for Friday 22 Jul 2016 to Friday 5 Aug 2016:

Conditions are expected to remain rather changeable until the end of July and into early August, with occasional bands of rain trying to move eastwards across the country, interspersed by drier and brighter weather, but still with some showers. The most unsettled conditions are more likely to be in the north and west, with areas further south and southeast favoured for seeing the best of the drier, more settled weather. The more settled conditions may extend to more of the country at times. Temperatures averaging out near or just below normal, but with interludes of warm and humid conditions at times, most likely in the southeast.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast