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ScientificOregon
Monday, April 18, 2016 11:38:02 AM

Final Cet of 7.5-7.7 looking likely.


My Question is as to Weather Forecasting: Is the Future Always set in stone or can Events in the Present Change the course of the Future?
Saint Snow
Monday, April 18, 2016 3:24:37 PM

Looks like the CET is going to creep southwards instead of towards my 8.6 prediction... rudeness.

Originally Posted by: Twister 


 


Could be worse, you could have gone for something daft like 9.3c



 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
Tuesday, April 19, 2016 9:21:47 AM

On 6.2C (-1.5C) here so far.
Considering the chilly forecast, definitely another well below average month.


ScientificOregon
Tuesday, April 19, 2016 10:55:57 AM


On 6.2C (-1.5C) here so far.
Considering the chilly forecast, definitely another well below average month.


Originally Posted by: four 

I think some very cold mean's to come for your area from Saturday. I travelled in that area on Saturday just gone and there was quite a bit of snow!


My Question is as to Weather Forecasting: Is the Future Always set in stone or can Events in the Present Change the course of the Future?
Gavin D
Tuesday, April 19, 2016 11:21:01 AM
ARTzeman
Tuesday, April 19, 2016 11:38:45 AM


Met Office Hadley         8.1c.      Anomaly     0.8c.     provisional to 17th.


Metcheck                     7.78c.    Anomaly    -0.24c.


Netweather                  8.43c.    Anomaly     0.34c.


Peasedown St John       9.0c.      Anomaly     -1.6c.


 


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 

All the same as Yesterday the18th... 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
KevBrads1
Wednesday, April 20, 2016 7:16:40 AM
Maybe worth looking at the coldest last week (24th-30th) of April in the records.
MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
Rob K
Wednesday, April 20, 2016 9:26:08 AM


Final Cet of 7.5-7.7 looking likely.


Originally Posted by: ScientificOregon 


That'll do for me!


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
ScientificOregon
Wednesday, April 20, 2016 11:09:35 AM

Maybe worth looking at the coldest last week (24th-30th) of April in the records.

Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 

 


1906-5.0


The famous 1981-6.1


Estimate 2016-5.4 


If this year did have a last week of 5.4 that would be the coldest since 1906. Interestingly the cold spell of 81 looks a shorter spell than this to come.


My Question is as to Weather Forecasting: Is the Future Always set in stone or can Events in the Present Change the course of the Future?
Gavin D
Wednesday, April 20, 2016 11:10:13 AM
ARTzeman
Wednesday, April 20, 2016 2:04:53 PM

For the 3rd day.   that 8.c.   Anomaly 0.8c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
Wednesday, April 20, 2016 3:56:16 PM


For the 3rd day.   that 8.c.   Anomaly 0.8c.


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


 


It's crackers. Up here, we've had a great few days with temps getting into the teens. Yes, the nights have been a bit chilly, but not excessively so. I'd be surprised if the daily 'CET' IMBY hasn't been close to 10c for at least the last 2/3 days.


 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
Thursday, April 21, 2016 11:16:41 AM

Met Office Hadley          8.2c.      Anomaly        0.8c.    Provisional to 20th.


Metcheck                      7.89c.    Anomaly        -0.13c.


Netweather                  8.54c     Anomaly         0.454c.


Peasedown St john       9.1c.      Anomaly         -01.5c.    






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
Friday, April 22, 2016 1:38:58 PM

Met Office Hadley          8.3c.         Anomaly         0.7c. provisional to 21st.


Metcheck                       7.98c.       Anomaly        -0.04c.


Netweather                    8.61c.       Anomaly         0.52c.


Peasedown St John         9.2c.         Anomaly        -1.4c.


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
springsunshine
Friday, April 22, 2016 5:43:11 PM

Well the cet for April looks like it has reached its high watermark and looks like only going south now.


Question is,by how much? An interesting last week of this month to come

ScientificOregon
Friday, April 22, 2016 6:29:23 PM


Well the cet for April looks like it has reached its high watermark and looks like only going south now.


Question is,by how much? An interesting last week of this month to come


Originally Posted by: springsunshine 

A quick update how it looks:


8.3 to the 22nd


8.2 to the 23rd


8.1 to the 24th


8.1 to the 25th


8.0 to the 26th


7.9 to the 27th


7.8 to the 28th


7.7 to the 29th


7.7 to the 30th


7.6-7.7 after corrections.


 


 


My Question is as to Weather Forecasting: Is the Future Always set in stone or can Events in the Present Change the course of the Future?
rickm
Friday, April 22, 2016 11:51:13 PM


 


 


Could be worse, you could have gone for something daft like 9.3c



 


 Thing is Saint - sitting at 8.3c on the 21st with 9 days to go 9.3c doesn't look at all daft - in many years it could be very close.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Gavin D
Saturday, April 23, 2016 10:16:44 AM
ARTzeman
Saturday, April 23, 2016 12:03:28 PM

Not good results at all ....


Met 0ffice  Hadley        8.3c.    Anomaly    0.7c. provisional to 22nd.


Metcheck                    7.89c.   Anomaly   -0.13c.


Netweather                 8.6c.     Anomaly    0.51c.


Peasedown St John      9.1c.     Anomaly    -1.5c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
Saturday, April 23, 2016 6:56:01 PM

Oh dear!  And I thought I'd gone fairly safe with 9c.     


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Gavin D
Sunday, April 24, 2016 10:33:56 AM
8.2c to the 23rd 0.6 above the 61 to 90 average

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html 


ARTzeman
Sunday, April 24, 2016 11:41:29 AM

Top 3 +mine.


Met Office Hadley        8.2c.    Anomaly      0.6c.   provisional to 23rd.


Metcheck                    7.83c.   Anomaly      -0.19c.


Netweather                  8.52c.   Anomaly      0.43c.


Peasedown St John         9.1c.    Anomaly      -1.5c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Darren S
Sunday, April 24, 2016 8:01:06 PM

I just noticed that according to this (the Estimated CET means for the year to date; the real CET means for April won't be available until May), the warmest CET average so far this year was on 25th January, with 27th January in second place.


http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_mean_est_2016


I wonder how often the warmest day of the first four months of the year is in January? Not very often I would guess.


Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
Edicius81
Monday, April 25, 2016 10:24:23 AM


I just noticed that according to this (the Estimated CET means for the year to date; the real CET means for April won't be available until May), the warmest CET average so far this year was on 25th January, with 27th January in second place.


http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_mean_est_2016


I wonder how often the warmest day of the first four months of the year is in January? Not very often I would guess.


Originally Posted by: Darren S 


And... of the 6 month spell Nov15-Apr16, Dec 16 will have been the warmest month!

ARTzeman
Monday, April 25, 2016 10:25:58 AM

Met Office Hadley           8.2c.         Anomaly     0.4c.      Provisional to 24th


Metcheck                        7.9c.         Anomaly     -0.23c.


Netweather                     8.45c.       Anomaly      0.36c.


Peasedown St John          9.0c.         Anomaly     -1.6c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

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