Still looking like a warm week next week.

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/chart.aspx?chart=/charts/gefs/gefsens850brighton0.png?cb=337

Pretty good agreement as far as 11th. Wouldn't take a lot to turn this into a sizzler.

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/chart.aspx?chart=/charts/gfs/00_186_mslp850.png?cb=337

Looking very warm and thundery next week.

Warm and thundery, that will do me.

I knew you'd be summoned to this thread after that chart! 

It does look interesting from a convective viewpoint net week. After this week a bit of humidity and warmth will do me fine 

Who's up for some mid June frost! Horrific later stages on this mornings ECM. Maybe Moomin's nightmare summer prediction will be right after all . 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2402.html

ECM seems determined to take us back to Autumn next weekend. Let's hope GFS is more on the ball as it's much better at the same point.

 http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1921.html

I am expecting a cooler summer than last winter temps and it been the case this week with temps lower than Nov/Dec temps despite 16 hours sunlight.   This week was meant to be a very warm week with some rain on Monday then warming up on Tuesday onward but look what happened despite the ensembles graph was very wrong at 10C when actual temps was just above that, more like -3 to 0C on the uppers temps that deliver such a cold week. Did the models tell us last week we going to face 1 week of nasty cold over cast conditions? Did the TV forecasts mentioned that too for this week? All were wrong!

So no point seeing the models that far our or even 24 hours ahead due to wrongness on all this week.

Also today they were wrong as it still cold and cloudy here because they are so stupid i mean very stupid that they don't notice that Paris in trouble with flooding and rains all week that sent lot of clouds over us.  Now how the hell we going to get the warmth they are boasting early next week if Paris stay wet and cold?  I was in Paris around this time last year and was totally opposite with lot of sunny warm weather and  mid 20's.

Thats what has been incredible about this week down here is that it's been so cold with such warm 850s. Imagine how cold it could have been with even average 850s.

Well the ECM day 10 Mean is much warmer than the Op as you would expect but still very unsettled. Poor!

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2401.html

One run, one model

GFS doesn't support that ECM operational and at 10 days you might as well pxss in the wind

A warm or very warm and humid week ahead with thunder risk

A move to more zonal although not disastrous conditions looks on beyond that

In line with what Matt (MVH) has been going on about from mid June onwards.

Time of course will always tell.

Agreed.  

Just get us some sunshine. Seen none for 7 days now.

Interesting how you completely omit next weeks warm, humid and thundery spell to appease your forecast though 

he's trolling, surely if he wants to continually bang on about his predictions he should be using the other thread?  

I am not trolling, I am commenting on the ECM model, which is showing an extended spell of unsettled weather.

If you don't like discussing models in the model output, then perhaps you should go somewhere else.

I am not trolling, I've been here longer than most people, and am just as entitled to my opinions as anybody else.

If you actually bothered to read previous posts, I said, ECM is showing something very poor, but GFS is different, and so all is to play for.

Is this trolling? No I think not. It's called discussion of the models in the MODEL thread!!!

If you actually looked at some previous comments of mine, I also said that GFS is different and all is to play for.

I am concerned about what it's showing, that's all.

Perhaps after seven days of Vitamin D deficiency due to the dullest start to June I can ever recall, I'm getting a bit cranky!

Its been garbage here.....ok dry(ish) but hardly any sun.......today we are say waiting for the sun but so far just cloudy skies, have to say the Beeb haven't been very good for this location .

A lot of attention has been on how poor its been for the East but MBY has suffered equally

After a mostly fine week, its does turning more unsettled, cooler and wetter, especially the ECM yet again leading the way with the Met/o slowly coming round 144hs.

GFS takes a little longer but turns unsettled into the second/third week of June.

So could be the case of making the most of the fine weather this week.

I'm hoping for something thundery this week

Seconded - indeed in this part of Cumbria I've  being doing far better than Paul temperature and sun wise with easterly winds.  The last month has been really good here, sun and rain wise, just 4.8 mm since 20th May.  We've had more summery like temperatures now than we've had since at least July 2014. But it's only just the beginning of June!

The turn around since the last week of April/very start of May has been impressive, unlike last spring it feels like we've actually gone from winter into summer this year. Rivers are actually running very low, which coinsidering it was by far the wettest winter I've observed here says something.

Probably just guarenteed the coolest/wettest July and August in history now.

If the latest MetO medium ranger update from yesterday is proved accurate, it could be a case of the latter cultman. There have been hints in some GFS op runs in recent days of HP becoming more influential again in the latter part of June.