I agree but what's really been the total let down so far is not only the lack of weather but the fact that there was cold weather if not bitterly cold forecasted in the models back in December - and this has been constantly downgraded each run and we are starting the New Year/Jan how we started December with cold start and then milder with cold weather forecasted to return mid month - yet this was due to happen last month and never arrived and we had the warmest Christmas on record (well some of us). Now let's see if the cold weather will return mid- month.
Winter 2015/16 was always forecasted zonal and mild due to the strong El Nino super, as well as very wet but the fact this year has had some very cold air to the east in the GFS model runs and has constantly looked to be heading our way then only a few hours later to find that it keeps being back dated and downgraded is a big disappointment. - Last year the runs never really showed deep easterly or scandi block. I would rather the models show zonal and something of a surprise if it turns milder.
Just so disappointing, especially given the quiet North Atlantic and solar minimum. I really had high hopes watching Gav's weather videos - also showing the extent of rapid build up of Siberian snowcover in October to increase the chance of Northern blocking, not to mention all those (a good 80%) of Gav's Christmas day forecast updates were pointing towards a cold Christmas with a good 30% of his video updates showing an easterly with snow.
So New Year, old weather and we start as how December 2016 started. - Cold then becoming milder again and staying that way!! - That's if the cold doesn't return at or around mid month - which was due to return middle of December, then 2nd week of January !! We can only hope it doesn't keep getting pushed back. I have repeated myself a lot here but it does show how frustrated I am.
Maybe the cold will arrive in April or May - just when we want some warm sunny weather.
Originally Posted by: tallyho_83