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tallyho_83
13 January 2017 21:56:34


The type of synoptics that in the past would have delivered frequent heavy snow showers giving a good accumulation yet again, in the most lame and pathetic era for weather in recorded history, produce practically nothing 


Must have been about five showers all day which have produced the thinnest of coverings and now there is a pile of precipitation to the north that is just stuck there while we are stuck with more mind-numbing windy dross that's stopping the temperature getting much below freezing 


Once this useless totally dire "cold spell" comes to an end there's more grey mild crap next week to endure as if there hasn't been enough over the past seven weeks. The wait for even a half decent winter snowfall, of the type that the vast majority of winters in the past, would have produced multiple times, just goes on and on


 


Originally Posted by: richardabdn 


 


Yes ...that's it  - get it out your system Rich.,!


At least your saw some snow  - we only had light ice pellets and soft hail with sleety flakes for a few seconds but the temperature rose as these showers approached last night and it never got below +2c it was +3c last night in Exeter - The northerly wind made it feel cold today but still we had a high of 7c....which is average. Like now for instance we are still at +2.5c in Exeter. It was a non - event for the SW especially lowland areas too. Actually it was more of a north westerly wind for the SW. This is a deja vu of NYD in fact. Also the break down to milder weather...doesn't look like it will produce anything wintry or snow except for higher grounds of Scotland and next week looks rubbish for snow.


The south needs an easterly for sustained cold spell and to last. - Ironic how Heathrow cancelled 80 flights due to a bit of sleet!! haha! 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


and......relax
13 January 2017 21:57:12

Personally I'm enjoying looking out at the frozen snow covered ground with snow showers forecast for tonight but I guess I am easy to please.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


Wrong thread Doc!!


This is the moaning thread not the gloating thread


 


doctormog
13 January 2017 21:58:48


 


 


Wrong thread Doc!!


This is the moaning thread not the gloating thread


 


Originally Posted by: and......relax 


Sorry 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 



Chunky Pea
13 January 2017 22:01:29


 


 


Matt Hugo tweeted:


 


Matthew Hugo ‏@MattHugo81 14m14 minutes ago



12Z EC holding the main centre of gravity of the high next week further south meaning the colder continental flow is less likely too...


 



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


 


Why is it that we can't seem to get an easterly - no matter what the gfs, ecm, operational run or charts etc show it always fails ..why!?


Does this mean the block will collapse!? - I remember this failed in December and now it's failing again!? Why?


As for the cold spell - it's been a non event for the SW. only higher moorland areas saw snow. But it was never cold, only the wind made it feel colder and to be frank the temperature never fell below +2c and the winds were west to north westerly NOT northerly.


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


As a professional forecaster, I don't think it is M.H place to be analysing each model run publically like this because 1. they rarely show consistency at that range and 2. people listen to him and pin their hopes on his musings. At least the UK Met Office stick to their guns despite what the models show with each run. M.H just seems to make an ass of himself.


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


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bluetriangle
13 January 2017 22:10:23
I know many of you envy (relatively) snowy Scotland, but in the central belt we as usual got only a dusting of snow, less than an inch in most places, while the higher ground to the north and south got the lion's share of it. Livingston got a half inch or less. On the other hand many places further south got a half-decent fall. When north or northwesterly winds blow we are in the rain shadow and are lucky to catch a shower or two. We only get real snow from an east or northeast wind, particularly cold polar maritime air, or the rare polar low. We do seem to be colder than most other places though, particularly further south. We're sitting below -3C at the moment and have been since 6pm. With a strong wind blowing it's a penetrating frost here tonight.


Livingston, West Lothian 148m (485 ft) asl
Winter 2016-17 to date: 10 days with falling snow, 5 days with lying snow, 1 ice day.
Bolty
13 January 2017 23:00:02

The problem is we're in a polar maritime air mass. More often than not Pm air means that dew points are either just about cold enough, or just slightly too mild for snow, hence the marginality we've seen. Furthermore, those dew points also mean that during the day snow will often melt fairly quickly. It's actually not because of the sun like a lot of people think.

To get proper long lasting snow that lies for days, you need a proper Arctic air mass or a cold continental air mass in place. Those air masses have much lower dew points. That's why during December 2010, snow lay on the ground for days, even though it was extremely sunny.


Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
tallyho_83
13 January 2017 23:59:15


The problem is we're in a polar maritime air mass. More often than not Pm air means that dew points are either just about cold enough, or just slightly too mild for snow, hence the marginality we've seen. Furthermore, those dew points also mean that during the day snow will often melt fairly quickly. It's actually not because of the sun like a lot of people think.

To get proper long lasting snow that lies for days, you need a proper Arctic air mass or a cold continental air mass in place. Those air masses have much lower dew points. That's why during December 2010, snow lay on the ground for days, even though it was extremely sunny.


Originally Posted by: Bolty 


Yes, that is the issue (polar maritime air mass!) - The ground was not cold enough before and it never got that cold.


Unlike in December 2010 for instance when the snow fell and stayed for several weeks in many parts and almost a month over the moors.


This cold snap/ especially yesterday was a bit of a deja vu of what happened in the south NYD - - again - the SW had more of a North westerly wind than an Arctic blast of northerly wind - which only resulted in temporary coverings of wet snow over Moors whilst rain/hail with soft hail/ice pellets fell at lower levels and as you rightly said it never got that cold either - It was only the wind that made it feel cold - not even a frost - in fact now as I type it's still 1.5c above freezing. Also when we did have showers last night, the temperature rose by 0.5 of a degree to above +2c to give rain/sleet or soft hail. It's only a 2 day event for many and the south west never really got cold. Today's high was 7c - Which is average.


I saw some webcam's in Aviemore - doesn't look like a lot of snow fell there either - Can't tell the depth but perhaps 5cm or 2 inches"? 


Now we have milder weather coming on Saturday night pushing in from the NW bringing rain instead of a wintry breakdown of snow first is frustratingly annoying. I saw photos and the cold in eastern and south eastern Europe and the amount of snow Italy and Greece had - which puts out slushy deposit of wet snow and +1c to shame.


I use to remember some classic wintry breakdowns to milder weather with precipitation starting off as snow back in 90's and early 00's but with this utterly crap cold snap we have had - it never really got that cold enough anyway to start off with.


What was very interesting - John Hammond compared this cold snap with January 1987 when daytime temperatures never rose above -6c in many parts and we were talking over a foot of snow with blizzards. 


What's even more sad and embarrassing was that Heathrow had to cancel over 80 flights because there was sleet. Ok, it's better to be safe than sorry, I get that! But come on!? The rain turned to sleet at Heathrow and the temperature fell to +2c? I mean really? in mid-winter!?  Yet we had the news reporters there as if there's no tomorrow.


Apart from the storm surge for N. AND Eastern coast - this cold spell was too over hyped. - I can go on for ever but I think I have contributed to this winter rant thread enough for now.


We can only hope that this SSW will deliver a proper block to bring us a deeper and more prolonged spell of colder weather (more than a couple days) where it snows and lasts all day and temperatures actually fall below freezing for once.


 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Foghorn
14 January 2017 02:50:39
The 18z gfs tonight is utter rubbish - just supporting the met o's forecast of mild grey westerly stuff for days on end, the ice days have gone even from FI and most of the frosty nights too except in SE. The only hope is that the skies will clear when the high is over us - with light winds those high temps will never by sustained but it seems there is a lot of warmth in the system which'll mean bright days, cold evenings then overcast mild nights.
Best rule is too find he mode giving the mildest solution and go with it - you'll rarely be far wrong.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
14 January 2017 05:21:48

Yesterday morning I posted that we hadn't had a flake of snow but my sister tells me we did!  She looked out at 2am and it had been snowing. But there was no sign of it at 5am.  I think she'd been dreaming. 


But just as I set off for work at 7.15am we had some squally heavy sleet, the stuff that sticks to your windscreen and makes driving difficult. It lasted the whole 20 minute drive, then turned to rain!  An hour later, the sun was out with a bitterly cold wind blowing.  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
tallyho_83
14 January 2017 08:12:13
Rubbish spell = 1/10

No snow - even last nights low fail to reach freezing! Pathetic. - it was never that cold.

Very few places in the UK reached freezing or dipped below by night. No frost either.
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Solar Cycles
14 January 2017 09:35:32
Worst cool snap ever.
doctormog
14 January 2017 09:43:20

Rubbish spell = 1/10

No snow - even last nights low fail to reach freezing! Pathetic. - it was never that cold.

Very few places in the UK reached freezing or dipped below by night. No frost either.

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Re. your second point, I have already shown that not to be true. A large swathe of the UK was below freezing last night!


http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&REGION=0003&SORT=3&UD=1&INT=06&TYP=tmin&ART=kartealle&RUBRIK=akt&DATE=1484382600&CEL=C&SI=mp


noodle doodle
14 January 2017 11:30:53

Disappointing spell really considering the oompah over in the model thread


 


I got a bit of snow (about 1cm), but not as much as the metoffice reckoned wed night and not as much as xcweather (gfs forecast) on thursday night, got the lower end of both forecasts 😛 - plus it came at night, I saw more actual falling snow on boxing day


 


As for cold it was colder at the end of november by a good margin (-4 to -5 at night then, last night just about pipped below freezing)


 


The next few days the met office has plumped for maxes of 10c and mins of 7c - 7 is edinburgh's normal january max. As we know, after that we might as well inspect chicken guts for the weather.


 


Very Poor as Vic Reeves was wont to say

Saint Snow
14 January 2017 11:47:45

Worst cool snap ever.

Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 


 


It has many rivals for that dubious accolade!



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Solar Cycles
14 January 2017 12:17:22


 


 


It has many rivals for that dubious accolade!


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Lol, can't argue with that.

fairweather
14 January 2017 15:58:45


 


 


Wrong thread Doc!!


This is the moaning thread not the gloating thread


 


Originally Posted by: and......relax 



S.Essex, 42m ASL
richardabdn
15 January 2017 09:01:57

After the most dire and inadequate cold spell it's back to the mild, grey and depressing dross which have characterised this hideous winter. Snow completely washed away now which isn't surprising as there wasn't much to begin with.


Can't emphasise just how useless it was. I didn't get any more snow than I already had seen this winter (on Boxing Day) and temperatures barely got below average. Again there had been much lower readings earlier in the winter. In fact I've seen more snow and lower temperatures in May before 


Did enjoy yesterday though which was the first sunny weekend day in almost two months  Had to go out to Aboyne though, where there was not that much snow but enough (5-6cm or so) to give decent wintry scenes and the loch was completely frozen over, which was really surprising given that the temperature only managed to get down to about -3C/-4C. Truly woeful for an area where a January cold spell should be giving minus double digits without too much difficulty.


A beyond lamentable total of five air frosts here this non-winter which is the second worst in my records, at this point, with last year the only worse winter. Even 2013/14 had managed nine by now  However last winter saw a change in fortunes at this point with a frosty week of weather and the second half turning out colder than average. With more absolutely disgusting, frost free muck lying ahead, by the end of this week this car crash of a winter will be sitting in its rightful place at the bottom of the pile 


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything


2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November
2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits
Saint Snow
15 January 2017 11:23:05

Right, that's me done for now. Not saying we won't get any cold spell, but I have lost interest in following every run trying to search for one.


 


Incidentally, it's 9c here & raining. It's the worst conceivable sort of weather in winter. Because of that stubborn block to the SE, the rain band can't move through so it's sliding N-S, giving us a period of sh*teness today that's longer in duration than we otherwise would have had.


 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Joe Bloggs
15 January 2017 11:25:50


Right, that's me done for now. Not saying we won't get any cold spell, but I have lost interest in following every run trying to search for one.


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Aye. If it happens, it happens. 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Jiries
15 January 2017 13:35:49


Right, that's me done for now. Not saying we won't get any cold spell, but I have lost interest in following every run trying to search for one.


 


Incidentally, it's 9c here & raining. It's the worst conceivable sort of weather in winter. Because of that stubborn block to the SE, the rain band can't move through so it's sliding N-S, giving us a period of sh*teness today that's longer in duration than we otherwise would have had.


 


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Should had been heavy snow all day today while NE America is mild.  At least when it mild there it doesn't rain always so there some nice sunshine days.

PFCSCOTTY
15 January 2017 14:56:17
So just a very quick review of the last 7-10 days temps in my part of the world, which included a cold spell, a bitter northerly blast and much hype on the BBC and in the national press. I have managed 1 frost ( a bone chilling -2c) my 2nd of the winter so far, although there were more in NOvember and as today is at 9c, in those 10days the max temps have reached at least 8c every day except one, when the temp maxed at 6.2c. ....so if the so called Cold snaps cannot deliver cold to this part of the world, then it really is worth a Winter moan!
Solar Cycles
15 January 2017 15:44:49


 


Aye. If it happens, it happens. 


Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 

It just goes to show it matters not what may appear favourable conditions for blocking and cold if the block doesn't migrate northwards enough. I'm ready to write the second half of winter off as I think February will be mild and mobile which leave us with the prospects of a cold spring, again.

cultman1
15 January 2017 16:06:40
in Fulham SW London the temperature has shot up to 10 degrees and is very mild now. I thought here in the SE we were meant to be around 4-5 degrees today.
I wouldn't be at all surprised if this temperature remains around this level all through this coming week and the supposed continental Edrift doesn't make it to these shores. It is now drizzling and the zonal muck with leaden skies has returned, which has been a common feature of our winters over the last few years. The big question is will it be pushed away westwards after Tuesday or remain?
JACKO4EVER
15 January 2017 16:09:37
A sprinkling of snow that melted within the first hour, a handful of frosts,,,, yet according to The Express it was supposed to be a bitter arctic blast,,,,,,
Yes this is the UK winter nowadays ,,,,, much over hyped and Synoptics that never deliver. Time for a break in model watching.
PFCSCOTTY
15 January 2017 17:00:17
I guess the theme Is that the cold spell that was seen by us amateurs in the models, predicted by the experts of the met office, forecasted by the professionals, over-hyped by the media was not even cold at all and January is heading the way of December in being one of the warmest on record, despite the November predictions of so many ...and completely renders the long range forecasts as useless and a waste of time and money, for if those experts can't get the trends right then why bother at all and whip the general public into such a frenzy. ...roll on those summer thunderstorms or more likely a cool and changeable summer

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