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Rob K
Thursday, November 14, 2013 11:33:20 AM
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BYXqoHOCUAANkKm.jpg:large 


 


(Harwood is about 450m, so high but not really mountain territory!)


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Thursday, November 14, 2013 11:38:34 AM




C Fawkes, big change next week


" yes it will be cold enough for some snow and not just over the hills"



Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


Low levels of Scotland too

I don't really get what all the excitement is about.


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


I think your being a bit NIMBY and not looking at the bigger picture.


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


I'm sorry but most of the UK's population don't live up hills or mountains.

Essan
Thursday, November 14, 2013 11:41:11 AM


UK In Average Late Autumn Weather Shocker.

The most disturbing thing that always comes to my mind when reading this sort of tripe in the Press (not just the usual suspects either) over the past 10 years or so is that given I have the knowledge to know they are talking tripe in a meteorological context, what other supposed factual items in other so-called news that I don't have the equivalent knowledge in, are equally filled to the brim with the same pungent effluent?

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


That is disturbingly likely Ben, which is why I like to have a reasonable handle on most issues and those I don't I can make an educated guess.


 

Originally Posted by: Arcus 



It's why I've become increasingly cynical of anything I read in the media

When it comes to weather/climate stories, even the BBC is not always accurate.


btw I see the Daily Mail have a side story today on how couples argue at least 3 times a week over the heating!


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Rob K
Thursday, November 14, 2013 11:53:03 AM
Don't tar all the media with the same brush. I'm a sub-editor and therefore responsible for fact-checking, and believe me neither I nor any of my colleagues would let any of that sort of tripe through. Of course, the trouble is that by the time I'd removed all the inaccuracies, there would be a large white space on the front page...
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
nsrobins
Thursday, November 14, 2013 12:55:47 PM

Don't tar all the media with the same brush. I'm a sub-editor and therefore responsible for fact-checking, and believe me neither I nor any of my colleagues would let any of that sort of tripe through. Of course, the trouble is that by the time I'd removed all the inaccuracies, there would be a large white space on the front page...

Originally Posted by: Rob K 



If you did the same to this forum, it would be mostly blank . . .


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
nsrobins
Thursday, November 14, 2013 12:58:31 PM


I'm sorry but most of the UK's population don't live up hills or mountains.


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


With respect, if you prefer to be geo-centric then Netweather have dedicated threads based on regions. That way you can moan about your own area without having to consider what's going on in the rest of the country.

For what it's worth, I am interested in the weather - regional, national and global - so don't see a problem talking about it regardless of who lives where.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Whiteout
Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:06:03 PM

Getting intrested now:


UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Nov 2013 to Thursday 28 Nov 2013:


Frequent showers in the north will spread south through Tuesday, and continue into the middle of week one. These showers will be a wintry combination of rain, sleet and snow, giving locally significant snow accumulations over higher ground, and perhaps locally to lower levels in the north. There is a risk these showers could merge into longer spells of rain, sleet or snow, especially in the west, and later the south. Cold, with more widespread overnight frosts likely, although becoming less cold later. The best of any drier, more settled weather in central and eastern areas. Showers gradually dying out during Thursday of week one. Thereafter generally becoming drier especially across the north and west, with variable cloud and scattered showers elsewhere. Windy at first, gradually becoming lighter.



Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:29:11 PM



I'm sorry but most of the UK's population don't live up hills or mountains.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


With respect, if you prefer to be geo-centric then Netweather have dedicated threads based on regions. That way you can moan about your own area without having to consider what's going on in the rest of the country.

For what it's worth, I am interested in the weather - regional, national and global - so don't see a problem talking about it regardless of who lives where.


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


As I said, MOST OF THE UK'S POPULATION DON'T LIVE UP HILLS OR MOUNTAINS. That is not just Kent, is it?

Rob K
Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:33:19 PM


As I said, MOST OF THE UK'S POPULATION DON'T LIVE UP HILLS OR MOUNTAINS. That is not just Kent, is it?


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


And this is not just hills or mountains either!


 There is a risk these showers could merge into longer spells of rain, sleet or snow, especially in the west, and later the south.

The Met Office wrote:


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
GlenH
Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:35:20 PM


 


I'm sorry but most of the UK's population don't live up hills or mountains.


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


 


Well, I live in one of the biggest population centers in the UK and I fully expect to see snow from what is currently forecast.

Whiteout
Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:36:23 PM



As I said, MOST OF THE UK'S POPULATION DON'T LIVE UP HILLS OR MOUNTAINS. That is not just Kent, is it?


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


And this is not just hills or mountains either!


 There is a risk these showers could merge into longer spells of rain, sleet or snow, especially in the west, and later the south.

Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


The Met Office wrote:


Indeed Rob.


Matt if you haven't got anything sensible to post don't bother, we need this thread kept as 'junk' free as possible in the winter - and that is hard enough.


Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:36:56 PM



As I said, MOST OF THE UK'S POPULATION DON'T LIVE UP HILLS OR MOUNTAINS. That is not just Kent, is it?


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


And this is not just hills or mountains either!


 There is a risk these showers could merge into longer spells of rain, sleet or snow, especially in the west, and later the south.

Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


The Met Office wrote:


Transient stuff maybe but unless I'm missing anything I don't see much to be excited about, and I am not just talking about my area as some have assumed and decided to have a pop at me for.

Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:40:41 PM




As I said, MOST OF THE UK'S POPULATION DON'T LIVE UP HILLS OR MOUNTAINS. That is not just Kent, is it?


Originally Posted by: Whiteout 


And this is not just hills or mountains either!


 There is a risk these showers could merge into longer spells of rain, sleet or snow, especially in the west, and later the south.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


Indeed Rob.


Matt if you haven't got anything sensible to post don't bother, we need this thread kept as 'junk' free as possible in the winter - and that is hard enough.


The Met Office wrote:


All I've said is that I don't see much away froom high ground or the low ground of Scotland. Not my fault people have wrongly accused me of focusing only on my own area.

All I can see is a pretty standard mid/late November spell of weather. I'm sorry if people don't like my take on things but I don't see why I should be vilified for expressing my opinion in a reasonable way.

nsrobins
Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:45:04 PM




I'm sorry but most of the UK's population don't live up hills or mountains.


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


With respect, if you prefer to be geo-centric then Netweather have dedicated threads based on regions. That way you can moan about your own area without having to consider what's going on in the rest of the country.

For what it's worth, I am interested in the weather - regional, national and global - so don't see a problem talking about it regardless of who lives where.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


As I said, MOST OF THE UK'S POPULATION DON'T LIVE UP HILLS OR MOUNTAINS. That is not just Kent, is it?


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


No need to shout. I might be old but my ears still work

To significant credit this forum has avoided going the route of regional discussion, largely I feel because of the common sense shown by the vast majority of members here. Yes there are occasional differences (have a look in Up In Arms for instance), but whilst we are still one nation I would like to hear about and comment on the weather over the entire nation, which in case your geography is lacking does not exclude hills, mountains, lakes, cities, coasts, islands, forests or indeed Sunderland.

Why should we not comment or debate the possibilities for anywhere in the UK and Ireland, regardless of the chances of snow on our shed?


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
nsrobins
Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:50:15 PM


I'm sorry if people don't like my take on things but I don't see why I should be vilified for expressing my opinion in a reasonable way.


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


Matt I don't want you to feel that way as I know you contribute a lot to this site.
What has generated comment is the rather sarcastic tone of your post 'Low levels of Scotland too?', which implies that you feel the SE will not see any wintry ppn next week and therefore it comes across as why should we bother as it's just Scotland?
I'm sure you didn't mean it like that -  perhaps you could expalin your reasoning?


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:51:09 PM





I'm sorry but most of the UK's population don't live up hills or mountains.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


With respect, if you prefer to be geo-centric then Netweather have dedicated threads based on regions. That way you can moan about your own area without having to consider what's going on in the rest of the country.

For what it's worth, I am interested in the weather - regional, national and global - so don't see a problem talking about it regardless of who lives where.


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


As I said, MOST OF THE UK'S POPULATION DON'T LIVE UP HILLS OR MOUNTAINS. That is not just Kent, is it?


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


No need to shout. I might be old but my ears still work

To significant credit this forum has avoided going the route of regional discussion, largely I feel because of the common sense shown by the vast majority of members here. Yes there are occasional differences (have a look in Up In Arms for instance), but whilst we are still one nation I would like to hear about and comment on the weather over the entire nation, which in case your geography is lacking does not exclude hills, mountains, lakes, cities, coasts, islands, forests or indeed Sunderland.

Why should we not comment or debate the possibilities for anywhere in the UK and Ireland, regardless of the chances of snow on our shed?


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


Not saying you shouldn't discuss it. I just don't see it being anything particularly significant with most snowfall being for areas that normally would expect snowfall at this time anyway. Doesn't mean its not worth discussing of course. I just don't get some of the great excitement being shown unless I am missing something in the model output (?)

Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:52:23 PM



I'm sorry if people don't like my take on things but I don't see why I should be vilified for expressing my opinion in a reasonable way.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Matt I don't want you to feel that way as I know you contribute a lot to this site.
What has generated comment is the rather sarcastic tone of your post 'Low levels of Scotland too?', which implies that you feel the SE will not see any wintry ppn next week and therefore it comes across as why should we bother as it's just Scotland?
I'm sure you didn't mean it like that -  perhaps you could expalin your reasoning?


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


It was more that the lucky buggers in Scotland almost always get snow around now anyway

Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:58:22 PM

To be honest, I'm partly panicking because on my page I told people that any significant snow will likely be across high ground, mianly in the north and perhaps to some low levels in the north at times, mainly Scotland yet I see others getting excited about the prospect of something more widespread and its got me wondering if I'm missing something

Gooner
Thursday, November 14, 2013 2:17:08 PM



C Fawkes, big change next week


" yes it will be cold enough for some snow and not just over the hills"



Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


Low levels of Scotland too

I don't really get what all the excitement is about.


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


He wasn'y specifically talking about Scotalnd mentioned many parts of the NW


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


nsrobins
Thursday, November 14, 2013 2:20:22 PM


To be honest, I'm partly panicking because on my page I told people that any significant snow will likely be across high ground, mianly in the north and perhaps to some low levels in the north at times, mainly Scotland yet I see others getting excited about the prospect of something more widespread and its got me wondering if I'm missing something


Originally Posted by: ManUtdMatt1986 


NWP taken a few days ago would support your forecast, but there's been a definite shift towards not only colder for a time but with precipiation in the mix too.
Even at this early stage given the right set-up, evap cooling supressed air temps can easily provide a wet snow event even for lowland England.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Whiteout
Friday, November 15, 2013 8:19:08 AM

The cold spell/snap showing it's hand on the 5 dayers in Scotland:


Aviemore:


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/aviemore-highland#?tab=fiveDay



Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Gooner
Friday, November 15, 2013 8:19:40 AM

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:


Sunday, scattered showers in the north. Cloudy elsewhere with outbreaks of rain, clearing Monday. Becoming colder across all areas from Monday, with showers, turning increasingly wintry in north and west.


Issued at: 0400 on Fri 15 Nov 2013


 



Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


moomin75
Friday, November 15, 2013 11:53:27 AM

Matt Taylor has produced this masterpiece on the BBC weather website.


Really well explained for laymans and one of the better presentations I've seen.


http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/24954812


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
White Meadows
Friday, November 15, 2013 12:16:05 PM

MET OFFICE UPDATE 12.10 HRS


UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Nov 2013 to Thursday 28 Nov 2013:


Frequent showers in the north will spread south through Tuesday, and continue into the middle of week one. These showers will be a wintry combination of rain, sleet and snow, giving locally significant snow accumulations over higher ground, and perhaps locally to lower levels in the north. There is a risk these showers could merge into longer spells of rain, sleet or snow, especially in the west, and later the south. Cold, with more widespread overnight frosts likely, although becoming less cold later. The best of any drier, more settled weather in central and eastern areas. Showers gradually dying out during Thursday of week one. Thereafter generally becoming drier especially across the north and west, with variable cloud and scattered showers elsewhere. Windy at first, gradually becoming lighter.


 


Updated: 1210 on Thu 14 Nov 2013

LeedsLad123
Friday, November 15, 2013 12:33:59 PM
The Met have 'Light Snow Shower' for here on Tuesday with a max of 4c!!!!!!1
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
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