Met Office press release and video :

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2013/Severe-storm-risk 

Hope you don't mind  if I bung this in about

Explosive Cyclogenesis  weather bomb, meteorological bomb, explosive development, or bombogenesis.

(I like the last one Hey amigo!)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bomb_%28meteorology%29

I thought 74mph was the wind speed that a storm is started to be classed as a hurricane?

Yes, only in the tropics though!

Is it wishful thinking on my part in that the latest updates are showing a slight downgrade on it all - at least for now? I do think it'll become windy and squally on that Monday morning but hopefully doesn't look like attaining damaging storm force status.

Of course, it is still all a long way off as there will be further fine tunings on the model parts. I'd probably see the charts showing a more scary looking output in the next run.

It is

So it wasn't a hurricane that hit New York last autumn?

I think we may be getting into semantics and missing the point, don't you?  If I get 74mph winds here the last thing on my mind will be the official definition, I can assure you...  I'll be too busy watching my fence panels disappearing downwind....

@T96

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?nh=0&ech=96&carte=1021

gfs 90

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=90&mode=0&carte=1

96

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=96&mode=0&carte=1

very close call gfs opp looks like the control from this morning I suspect at the mo most southern districts at most risk thou at least the energy gets a move on and out of the way quickly.

This is statement is disputable if you look at Hurricane Debbie in 1961. It is very possible tropical air was still circulating in this sytem at the time it hit the British Isles.

Now IDJ, this is your chance to make a TWO cartoon.....it would look something like this: Matty chasing a dirty nappy down the street, bits of baby shite flying out everywhere, wheelie bins toppling in front of him, while he shouts at passers by who are clinging for their lives to lamposts "it's still no fecking hurricane you morons, it's just got very dirty air!"

gm at 90

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?&ech=90&mode=0&carte=0

spare a thought to those to the n/e europe as she skips away in full force.#

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?&ech=102&mode=0&carte=0

looks nasty here for some

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/pression/84h.htm

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/pression/90h.htm

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/pression/96h.htm

But S Murr always says u should take ecm in that time frame have to wait and c what ecm says 2 night.

On the subject of Hurricanes, you can not categorically have a 'hurricane' without the system being closed, typically with an eye feature and concentric banding, of tropical characteristics and over seas of no less than 26deg.
The storm that hit New York maintained tropical status until about 24 hours out whence it moved into higher latitudes, opened it's circulation and tranistioned to an ex-tropical storm of hurricane strength.

We do not experience hurricanes at this latitude. We experience plenty of systems with formerly tropical air entrained in the system, which on many occasions assists in maintaining hurricane force winds, but is definately not a hurricane.

Oh, and might I add that for completeness one should include the wheelie bin parameters when quantifying the nappy factor

Now IDJ, this is your chance to make a TWO cartoon.....it would look something like this: Matty chasing a dirty nappy down the street, bits of baby shite flying out everywhere, wheelie bins toppling in front of him, while he shouts at passers by who are clinging for their lives to lamposts "it's still no fecking hurricane you morons, it's just got very dirty air!"

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

You're never going to forget that one are you?

That was about 9 years ago as well

Originally Posted by: Jive Buddy 

There you go, just a quick sketch . . .