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Nick Gargan @ngargan_police
Following thefts of oil in the flooded area of Somerset, I'm delighted to hear of 3 arrests in Kingsdon at 4am for "going equipped to steal"

 

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Can you provide any more info?

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It's the river Nailbourne, here in Bridge village, plus one or two nearby villages. Pumping in progress, but looking likely to be overwhelmed. Just a waiting game now. All services in attendance.

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9mms from yesterday rain event.

Just a normal winter rains you could say for here.

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2 pumps from kfrs now in attendance, one already deployed for pumping out. focus shifting to Canterbury tomorrow.

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I see MetoGroup Uk Has lows for Thusrday and Friday...

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20mm here in the 24 hours to 6am today. Been dry today though with the odd spell of sunshine, and the small lake that had formed on my driveway (including on top of gravel, which shows how saturated the ground is!) has disappeared,

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If anyone is interested, BBC national news doing a live report from here lunchtime Problem now is sewerage coming up the drainage system. KFRS thinking of upgrading incident.

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Saw this too, and I'm only 100m ASL. Eventually stopped raining here about 9am after 24 hours rain. 100's students and teachers late this morning to my school due to flooding in and around Harpenden & villages.

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Got to say that Liddell-Grainger has been value for money in all of this. His latest foaming at the mouth quote regarding the visit of Lord Smith to Somerset:

Tory Ian Liddell-Grainger, who represents Bridgwater and West Somerset, said he had not been given any details about today's visit and branded Lord Smith a "coward".

He said: “I will tell him what I bloody well think of him – he should go, he should walk.

“I’m livid. This little git has never even been on the telephone to me.

“When I find out where he is, I will give it to him.

“He has not told the local MPs, the local council or the local press where he is going to be.

“He’s a coward.”

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Upgrade to an excrement rotating device incident?

Sounds awful. Think it's going to get very much worse tomorrow Budz

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Another tidal surge is on its way sorry folks last post miles to long

>14 metres at sole expected soon

https://sites.google.com/site/europeanwindstormcenter/waveheights

 

This will be pretty interesting. Hopefully not as damaging as recent events due to the tides, but will be very powerful all the same.

Really odd today, this morning has been very 'Spring Like' with blue skies, sun, gentle winds. Such a change to recently.  Skies have turned over the past half hour to the usual blanket of grey.

 

Edit:

This is 3pm tomorrow. Strange to think that the largest swell in the world at this moment in time is on our door steps.

 

33 mm in total from this event .Looking at TWOs rainfall archive between 1 am and 6 am we had very heavy rain which the river systems cant handle.I expect the River Lee at hertford to beat its all time high record today.

http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/homeandleisure/floods/riverlevels/136490.aspx?stationId=7341

Familer scene around this area.The buildings you see in the pictures are pumping stations for fresh water from the chalk aquifer.

situation starting to improve here now, water starting to recede.

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 Good work. I like coming across little chinks of good news like this. At least what you've done there is working. Hopefully tonight's rainfall totals may not be as high as the past 24 hours.

 

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http://www.sat24.com/en/eu

In the Atlantic storm beauty contest, today's contender is certainly a rival for Wedneday's stunner...

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I don't think events will be too severe at all, away from Wales and the SW. The rain tonight is essentially light and will be pushed on quickly by strong upper winds. Prone locations are at risk of floods of course but in the main, the majority in England will have a good drying day tomorrow with a few light showers (away from W) with fresh to strong winds - gusting to gale force in exposed areas.

So many people are talking in the street about the 'storm'. The extensive media coverage will leave many scratching their heads. The exception will be the already flooded locations and the few places which are on the brink. MetO App shows just gusts to 57 mph.... and this is for the S coast. Vastly overhyped . To be fair, so was Wednesday's system. Again, not meaning to lessen the impact on those affected but in terms of intensity, we have had far, far worse. This is a cumulative situation which has led to the media, incorrectly, portraying each system as near ground breaking.

Just my opinion.

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Sorry for typos! Damn phone 😁

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http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/orthographic=-3.06,53.60,2048 

The consensus is for heavy rain tonight delivering around 10mm generally, followed by swathes of heavy showers and a few more organised features, delivering a further 10mm or so by around 6am Sunday.

EURO-4 shows there to be a very favourable environment for convection Saturday night into Sunday.

 

...so I'm not seeing a good drying day at all.

As for the winds, it doesn't look particularly extreme really. Just persistent - the longevity of the severe gales and the storm surge coming with it is the main cause for concern there.

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Trouble is it doesn't have to be that bad. It's the cumulative impact of successive low pressures which is why the Meto are issuing these warnings.

People were downgrading yesterdays low during the day, well ahead of the extensive convective style rain that continued to flow into the south-east for much of the night.

The Meto know what they are doing. They have more info. than us amateurs and the ongoing flood warnings speak for themselves

1. Tonight's rain will not be light.

2. Tomorrow's showers will not be light

3. 57mph sounds very conservative. Many inland areas will widely reach 50-60mph but south western areas, Wales and the south coast will hit 70-80mph.

Heavy rainfall is, as I recall from my observation days, approx. at a rate of 8mm p/h. I still believe the main band will be lighter than this. We'll soon see.

Convection didn't exactly explode on Wednesday - which had been forecast. Norway have many such systems and I noticed whilst there that heavy, prolonged showers on a SW to NW'ly dumped much ppn on W fringes but failed to penetrate too far inland. Prone areas eg Bristol channel, Cheshire Gap etc will see plenty of showers but I would be surprised to see too many extend across C areas and further eastwards. Again, we'll soon see.

I understand the cumulative impact... and hence the EA warnings.

As I said, this is just my opinion. I will admit my error of judgement and failings should this come about.
😊

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Pompey is south coast. Simply stating what MetO App is showing. Mean winds in the 30s, gusts up to 57mph.

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