theweatheroutlook

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tallyho_83
25 January 2015 12:37:56


 


That changes with every GFS run Tally


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


Sure - was just posting the description -always like to read his and Mr Keeling's  =forecasts.

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gooner
25 January 2015 12:40:49

Tommy boy doing the CF later


Off to BBC for another pm/evening shift. forecast later & already scratching my head about the icy blast later in week


 

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Sinky1970
25 January 2015 12:45:58


 


To repeat a number of previous posts: The charts posted and often labelled JFF (Just for fun or Just for frustration) are generated ppn type based on raw modelled parameters. They have had let's say a 'chequered' history and their performance should be taken with a big pinch of salt.


I would look as them as a very rough guide and when the time comes (within 48 hours), use the E4 and WRF ppn models as they are high resolution and get a much better handle on events.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

I don't take them seriously they're just annoying as i can usually go by past history in similar situations for a more accurate outcome.

nsrobins
25 January 2015 12:50:15


I don't take them seriously they're just annoying as i can usually go by past history in similar situations for a more accurate outcome.


Originally Posted by: Sinky1970 


Ah, pattern matching? Some people swear by it but I have to say it's lost some of it's significance lately
Take the OPI for instance . . . .
Coat grabbed and exit identified.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Sinky1970
25 January 2015 13:23:20


 


Ah, pattern matching? Some people swear by it but I have to say it's lost some of it's significance lately
Take the OPI for instance . . . .
Coat grabbed and exit identified.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

Well it is for this country.

doctormog
25 January 2015 13:38:06
I see there are already snow warnings out for Wednesday and Thursday in N and NWern parts of the UK in association with the cold cyclonic NWly expected at that time period.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1422144000 

Some NWern parts should do very well. Here? It will be dry, bright and breezy as has been the case for much of the last few weeks. Some eastern parts may do a little better beyond then but that is still a long way off
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
bledur
25 January 2015 13:59:27

BBC weather just now .Mild today , Colder tomorrow temps 4-8 c , even colder later in the week....LoveLOLLOL

BaryBazz
25 January 2015 16:56:17
This looks good to me , Daily Express so must be true !!!

Sack of salt but a good read

http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/554183/Britain-red-alert-displaced-Polar-vortex-unleash-weather-hell-next-week 
nsrobins
25 January 2015 17:07:09

This looks good to me , Daily Express so must be true !!!

Sack of salt but a good read

Originally Posted by: BaryBazz 

">http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/554183/Britain-red-alert-displaced-Polar-vortex-unleash-weather-hell-next-week


“Such is the severity of this situation I have written to the Government’s Cabinet Office Briefing Room (COBRA) committee urging them to take immediate action.”


That's OK then. For a moment I didn't think PC was taking this seriously enough


As big a pile of steaming horse manure as I have come to expect of this excuse for a publication.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
doctormog
25 January 2015 17:09:54
I did think "sack of something" with 4 letters beginning with 's' and ending in 'h' but it wasn't salt.
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
moomin75
25 January 2015 17:18:18

I did think "sack of something" with 4 letters beginning with 's' and ending in 'h' but it wasn't salt.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

This is an absolute disgrace to journalism. I didn't think they could sink any lower with their constant armageddon forecasts but this one is just outrageous. 


It makes me so angry. I'm sorry but Nathan Rao James Madden et al are a complete and utter disgrace.

Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Gooner
25 January 2015 17:23:16


This is an absolute disgrace to journalism. I didn't think they could sink any lower with their constant armageddon forecasts but this one is just outrageous. 


It makes me so angry. I'm sorry but Nathan Rao James Madden et al are a complete and utter disgrace.


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


I agree, tomorrow at work I will be asked about planning deliveries due to the severe drifting snow forecast

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Osprey
25 January 2015 17:58:45

Washington Post


Quote:


‘Potentially historic’ snow storm takes aim at Northeast (USA) this week'


http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/01/25/potentially-historic-snow-storm-takes-aim-at-northeast-this-week/

Nobody likes a smartass, especially another smartass...
If it ain't broke, don't fix it!
tallyho_83
25 January 2015 18:02:33


Washington Post


Quote:


‘Potentially historic’ snow storm takes aim at Northeast (USA) this week'


http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/01/25/potentially-historic-snow-storm-takes-aim-at-northeast-this-week/


Originally Posted by: Osprey 


But every year and time there is a snow storm it's historic - I mean what about the 6ft of snow over Buffalo that fell in the space of 2 DAYS!? Was that not historic!?


 

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Osprey
25 January 2015 18:08:45


 


But every year and time there is a snow storm it's historic - I mean what about the 6ft of snow over Buffalo that fell in the space of 2 DAYS!? Was that not historic!?


 


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Potentially!


Plus the yanks like the word "historic!"

Nobody likes a smartass, especially another smartass...
If it ain't broke, don't fix it!
nsrobins
25 January 2015 18:10:01


 


But every year and time there is a snow storm it's historic - I mean what about the 6ft of snow over Buffalo that fell in the space of 2 DAYS!? Was that not historic!?


 


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Actually probably not. The area often sees extreme snowfall rates and I suspect it's been worse in past years.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
tallyho_83
25 January 2015 18:12:48


 


Potentially!


Plus the yanks like the word "historic!"


Originally Posted by: Osprey 


They had 2 metres of snow in November - was that not enough!? Or historic?


Yet there is me sitting here in Devon - just happy to see a flake or a snow flurry or shower.


 

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


nsrobins
25 January 2015 18:14:12

 



http://www.msn.com/en-gb/weather/topstories/uk-weather-snow-to-fall-next-week-with-sub-zero-temperatures-to-last-until-early-february/ar-AA8z3YR?ocid=LENDHP


 


a sensible story and headline.


Originally Posted by: sizzle 


It is?


The northerly flow of Arctic winds and cold air streams, which are expected at this time of the season, would follow a very mild and wet start to the year.


Weird term there - cold air streams. I know what an airstream is, but an air stream. Is that like a river without water?


I do wish these publications would seek some editorial input before issuing these articles.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
dagspot
25 January 2015 18:28:21
whats with the term 'screaming northerly' ?! OTT?
Neilston 600ft ASL
hammer10
25 January 2015 18:31:18
*****Corbyn and madden in the excess. Tell of Armageddon,why do they do it their even saying the nhs is not ready and telling cobra to get there act together.i wish forecasters would get it right and not speculate scaring the public.
sizzle
25 January 2015 18:39:13

bbc weather just confirmed a raw northley blast weds onward they didn't give much detail but cold snow ice.

nsrobins
25 January 2015 19:00:42


bbc weather just confirmed a raw northley blast weds onward they didn't give much detail but cold snow ice.


Originally Posted by: sizzle 


Detail - such as they can give - to follow shortly on the Countryfile piece.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Gooner
25 January 2015 19:08:31

I am not sure why there is surprise over the lack of specifics , snow is hard to predict 24-48 hours out let alone 120

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gooner
25 January 2015 19:22:58

Tommy Boy


Rain moving away on Monday from the SE, ends up decent " best day of the week"


Tues not much happening average temps generally


Wednesday Cold air moving in SE temps start at 10c, ends up at 5c


Thursday Temps feeling  like below 0c


Friday / Sat / Sun " Viking winds" lol


Risk of disruption right across the country


 


 

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


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