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Frostbite80
17 February 2016 18:36:26
Starting to turn to sleet over northern France now
idj20
17 February 2016 19:13:38

I think you're right, guys, as the dewpoint is rising ahead of the slowly approaching rain belt.

Folkestone Harbour. 
The Beast from the East
17 February 2016 19:31:24

Sunday is what we should be concentrating on. Looking more interesting with every new run


 

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Zubzero
17 February 2016 19:33:37


Sunday is what we should be concentrating on. Looking more interesting with every new run


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Yep just like Today did 100 hours away 

The Beast from the East
17 February 2016 19:34:39


 


Yep just like Today did 100 hours away 


Originally Posted by: Zubzero 


Eventually we will get lucky!

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
idj20
17 February 2016 19:40:52


 


Eventually we will get lucky!


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 



Yup. In June.

Folkestone Harbour. 
Frostbite80
17 February 2016 20:21:03
Turning to snow in northern France lucky b******s
idj20
17 February 2016 20:57:35

Turning to snow in northern France lucky b******s

Originally Posted by: Frostbite80 



It's their low dewpoints, innit. Seems that doesn't want to transfer over the Channel under the southerly wind. Like our Weather Idle said, it's too much of a long trek over the sea. And I know it's now a lost cause at this end as the dewpoint had shot up to 0.6 C (actual air temp is 5.6 C so it's the rising humidity that had cause the dewpoint to be above freezing) and is spitting with rain but the wind had fallen lighter.

Folkestone Harbour. 
Frostbite80
17 February 2016 21:03:19




It's their low dewpoints, innit. Seems that doesn't want to transfer over the Channel under the southerly wind. Like our Weather Idle said, it's too much of a long trek over the sea. And I know it's now a lost cause at this end as the dewpoint had shot up to 0.6 C (actual air temp is 5.6 C so it's the rising humidity that had cause the dewpoint to be above freezing) and is spitting with rain but the wind had fallen lighter.


Originally Posted by: idj20 

just like the cape in summer preventing any decent storms 

Whether Idle
17 February 2016 21:07:17




It's their low dewpoints, innit. Seems that doesn't want to transfer over the Channel under the southerly wind. Like our Weather Idle said, it's too much of a long trek over the sea. And I know it's now a lost cause at this end as the dewpoint had shot up to 0.6 C (actual air temp is 5.6 C so it's the rising humidity that had cause the dewpoint to be above freezing) and is spitting with rain but the wind had fallen lighter.


Originally Posted by: idj20 


  The wind is still South, so dragging cold dps off France as you say, and Dover being 7 miles east of you, is colder at 4.4c but still way too warm for proper wintriness.  The situation around 6am though is fascinating as the little lp that forms on the front runs through the Dover Straits.


This means the wind will go SE for about an hour or 2 around 7am and this could produce a sneaky window for snow fall at somewhere like Whitfield, not IMBY (where I expect nothing) , before the wind switches almost immediately to a NWly and the low centre tracks eastwards and precip dies quickly.  Fascinating...


6am GMT dps:



10m wind:



Precip type:



 

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Whether Idle
17 February 2016 21:14:37

Look at the little bar-steward here @ 6am GMT:


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Gusty
17 February 2016 21:28:16


Sunday is what we should be concentrating on. Looking more interesting with every new run


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Great news..the brilliant thing about winter's 13/14, 14/15 and 15/16 is that potential is normally only 5 days away ! 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Whether Idle
17 February 2016 21:29:02


 


Great news..the brilliant thing about winter's 13/14, 14/15 and 15/16 is that potential is normally only 5 days away ! 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Frostbite80
17 February 2016 21:35:44
Precipitation starting to turn wintry to the ne, Lincoln way according to the radar
picturesareme
17 February 2016 22:27:28
Don't know about snow but it's been bucketing down now for quite a while here on then south coast. There seems to be a localised area between the IOW up into new forest and across towards Portsmouth that's producing fairly heavy rain but not moving inland.
Bertwhistle
17 February 2016 22:36:13

Don't know about snow but it's been bucketing down now for quite a while here on then south coast. There seems to be a localised area between the IOW up into new forest and across towards Portsmouth that's producing fairly heavy rain but not moving inland.

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


Oh, it's further inland to be sure; miserable out there. But we all know it'll all turn to snow about 4a.m.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
phlippy67
17 February 2016 22:50:17
Heavy ppn seems to be turning sleety here...after 12hrs of rain...!
Frostbite80
17 February 2016 22:53:18

Heavy ppn seems to be turning sleety here...after 12hrs of rain...!

Originally Posted by: phlippy67 

yes radar is showing it as sleet up your way 

Gooner
17 February 2016 22:54:57

Rain band just about through now, nothing wintry

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


picturesareme
17 February 2016 22:55:25


 


Oh, it's further inland to be sure; miserable out there. But we all know it'll all turn to snow about 4a.m.


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


4am 😏 be lucky if it's still raining by 1am. That front has a lovely tidy back edge to it now. Snow 😂 I admire such optimism. 

Frostbite80
17 February 2016 23:04:10


Rain band just about through now, nothing wintry


Originally Posted by: Gooner 

not much hope for the rest of us when you were in the 'sweet spot' 

Gooner
17 February 2016 23:28:24

 A Deakin " those hoping to wake up to a covering of snow will be disappointed" obviously aimes at the more Southern contingent

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Weathermac
17 February 2016 23:31:56
Very disappointing here not even a single flake mixed in with rain and it has moved away from here.
Frostbite80
17 February 2016 23:36:27


 A Deakin " those hoping to wake up to a covering of snow will be disappointed" obviously aimes at the more Southern contingent


Originally Posted by: Gooner 

now that does surprise me 

Retron
18 February 2016 05:23:53
In the middle of the rain band here - air 3.4, dew 3.1C. May as well be on Venus for the likelihood of snow down here!
Leysdown, north Kent

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