There are 9 million people over the age of 70 in the UK. Let’s assume that half the population comes down with Covid-19. That would mean 4.5 million elderly people would get sick. WHO figures suggest that 30 per cent of the over 70s have symptoms serious enough to require hospitalisation.
In the UK in what is not the Govt’s ‘worst case scenario’, that would be 1.35 million elderly people requiring hospital treatment. And 8% or 360,000 of those over 70s would be likely to die.
No wonder the Govt and NHS want to smooth the peak of the epidemic.
Originally Posted by: Justin W