WX temp summary keeps the existing pattern of a mild/very mild Europe for week 1, with cold weather hovering in the far NE. In week 2, unlike yesterday, the cold in the NE expands only to a limited extent, only just as far as W Russia, though some ultra-cold does appear in the far N. Elsewhere, some modest cooling across Europe, most visible in the N incl N Scotland. Rain on Atlantic, fringing Britain in week , moving in to cover all of Britain in week 2 as well as much of France and S Scandinavia.
GFS Op; mostly a procession of LP. At first these tend to be to the N (965mb Wed 9th, Rockall; 970mb Iceland Fri 11th) but after HP appears briefly and somewhat distantly for the weekend (1035mb S Germany), the LPs take a more S-ly track (965mb Iceland Wed 16th with secondary over England the next day, 960mb Hebrides Mon 21st, and another approaching in the same latitude 950mb Thu 24th)
ECM; like GFS to the weekend when the HP is more pronounced but then collapses more quickly - LP 960mb NI Tue 15th, separately 970mb N England Thu 17th, while a general area of LP lurks N of Scotland.
GEFS; showers at first, very mild and dry Thu 10th - Mon 14th, then temp down to norm abruptly and lots of rain esp in S.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl