That's the about to be retired OP - going out in style!
More runs needed? 😂

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

That's the about to be retired OP - going out in style!
More runs needed? 😂

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

The overall pattern on the parallel run is not that different. It's still a very interesting outlook in the medium term with the potential for anything from average and relatively settled conditions to something a good deal more wintry. Too early to say which will prevail just yet but the seemingly never ending milder than average conditions of late look like coming to an end.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

That spoiler low shows how hard it is to get a clean easterly in this country, especially for the south. I remember Darren's thread about mid winter easterlies from a few years back. I dont think we have had one since Dec/Jan 97

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

This is true but there is a lot of water (and runs) to go under the bridge before this becomes anything more than a hypothetical discussion of possibilities. When the day comes we could be in roaring southwesterlies or biting easterlies given the timescale. The current trend is for blocking in areas conducive to cold for the UK but as we all know it's never that simple.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Sadly the press have already jumped the gun, lets hope it does come off this time

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

I notice every time the Press printed this nonsense we lose the cold spell.  In the past when I used to buy newspapers they never put this nonsense headlines but only mentioned of any events for today or next day or yesterday reports.  There was no mentioned of Feb 1991 big freeze on the way 2 weeks or 1 week to that, only the day before it arrive and reports what happening every day that it.  More accurate and no curse on that.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Sounds like one of your chat up lines. 😃

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Hell of a ECM Op and mean! What could possibly go wrong😁.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Interesting ECM 12z.

Originally Posted by: David M Porter 

When all of that late warm air was pumped North, there was always potential like this. Be interesting how it could impact the jet stream if it could make it go south as a semi permanent feature or if it could induce the stratosphere temp to alter 

Originally Posted by: ballamar 

This is one of those 'chicken or the egg' questions.  I think it's at least partly the case that it's the jet stream buckling that creates the warm air advection: it has been the stalling low pressures that have driven the warm air north on their eastern flank. The question, I think, is for how long that upper block then influences the jet stream pattern because we've all seen situations where the block is driven aside by a strong surge of the jet.

 

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White