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JMM2005
29 June 2024 19:36:02
As we step into July, the statistically warmest month of the year, the question on everyone's mind is: what does the weather have in store for our little corner of the world?
June, for a while, looked like it might post the first below-average month in a long time. However, the last seven days have seen the CET rise by 1.3c, and it's expected to be bang on or fractionally above average. For the second month in a row, we have all gone in the wrong direction. In May, we all predicted too low, and in June, we all predicted too high.  
July Data 
All-time Average 15.99c
1991 - 2020 Average 16.78c
All time Warmest 
2006    19.80
1983     19.40
2018     19.20
1783     18.80
1852    18.70
All time coldest
1816   13.40
1695   13.50
1802   13.50
1879   13.50 
1888   13.40
1991-2020 
Warmest 
2006   19.80
2018   19.20
1995   18.50
2013   18.40
1994   18.00
Coldest
1993   15.10
2000   15.30
2009   15.30
2011   15.30
1998   15.34
What will July bring? The models are not providing any clear signals, making the forecast for July quite unpredictable. A coolish start is likely, but I suspect warm to hot weather will assert itself during the month. Maybe for a change, it will coincide with the schools breaking up. Who knows? I am going for an uninspiring 16.85c for July. 
As always, can I have predictions in by midnight on the 30th of June? Please 
regards

Justin 


Justin
Brighton seafront
Webcam of the beach and Brighton's palace pier
https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton-pier.html 
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
30 June 2024 04:35:49
Looks like the upgrade bug has struck Justin. 
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Ally Pally Snowman
30 June 2024 05:34:43
First 10 days looking cool then maybe a warm up. No guarantees though another disappointing summer month?
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Roger Parsons
30 June 2024 06:27:55

Looks like the upgrade bug has struck Justin. 

Originally Posted by: Caz 


Good grief! It does.
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
lanky
30 June 2024 10:29:05

Good grief! It does.

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 


I saw Gavin P's written forecast for the week ahead yesterday before he binned it and it did exactly the same thing as Justin's (i.e. left a whole load of wraparound html in the text)

I think it has something to so with copying and pasting text from another source into the TWO posting as opposed to just typing it in directly but I can'r be 100% sure. Maybe Brian should take a look


Martin
Richmond, Surrey
Brian Gaze
30 June 2024 10:43:58
Either paste in as plain text or use the remove formatting button or paste into the source view to avoid the formatting issues when html is used.
Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
30 June 2024 13:00:52
Just bumping this up until HT sticky’s it. 
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Hungry Tiger
30 June 2024 20:44:47

Just bumping this up until HT sticky’s it. 

Originally Posted by: Caz 


Cheers Caz. Just stickied it.   🙂 
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Hungry Tiger
30 June 2024 20:47:43
Hi Justin, 
Hi - just stickied this for you. I think this July I'll go for 16.0C.
Cheers. 
Hungry Tiger.    🙂 
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Gavin D
30 June 2024 22:41:44
17.3c please
ozone_aurora
01 July 2024 07:07:55
I think a mostly unsettled month but maybe an odd short lived hot spell.
Anyway, I'm going for an uninspiring 15.7 C, please.
ARTzeman
02 July 2024 10:30:06
IMANSF143            13.0c             Nicks'1BATH75           14.3c
Metcheck                13.28c                 Anomaly               -3.18c
Netweather             14.35c                Anomaly                -1.63c
Peasedown St John  14.35c               Anomaly                -2.46c.   




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
02 July 2024 12:45:48
Hadley
13.4 to the 1st

2.6c below the 61 to 90 average
2.5c below the 81 to 10 average
ARTzeman
03 July 2024 12:39:17
IMANSF143      16.5c          Nicks'1BATH75        14.6c
Metcheck          13.36c       Anomaly                  -3.10c
Netweather        14.78c      Anomaly                  -1.72c
Peasedown  St John   14.47c     Anomaly          -2.34c.    




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
03 July 2024 12:49:41
Hadley

14.0 to the 2nd

2.0c below the 61 to 90 average
1.9c below the 81 to 10 average
ARTzeman
04 July 2024 09:54:25
IMANSF143         13.4c            Nicks'1BATH75    14.4c
Metcheck            13.6c            Anomaly             - 2.82c
Netweather         14.79c         Anomaly              -1.71c
Peasedown St John   13.01c   Anomaly              -3.08c




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
04 July 2024 12:29:28
Hadley

14.1 to the 3rd

1.9c below the 61 to 90 average
1.8c below the 81 to 10 average
ARTzeman
05 July 2024 09:21:48
IMANSF143              13.9c         Nicks'1BATH75    14.7
Metcheck                  13.6c          Anomaly       -2.6c
Netweather               14.81c       Anomaly       -1.7c
Peasedown St John   14.78c      Anomaly       -2.03c.




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
05 July 2024 13:16:04
Hadley

14.0 to the 4th

2.0c below the 61 to 90 average
1.9c below the 81 to 10 average
ARTzeman
06 July 2024 09:03:44
IMANSF143     14.1c            Nicks'1BATH75       14.7c
Metcheck        14.03c            Anomaly      -2.44c
Netweather     14.92c           Anomaly       -1.59c
Peasedown St John   14.78c  Anomaly      -2.03c.            




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
06 July 2024 13:34:15
Hadley

14.2 to the 5th

1.8c below the 61 to 90 average
1.8c below the 81 to 10 average
JMM2005
06 July 2024 14:57:00
Sorry it's a bit late, but here we go with July predictions 
Another narrow set of predictions, only 2.32c, separates the highest and lowest predictions, and the way the weather has been is not surprising. where will the month will end? Who knows? It's been a cold start, that's for sure. 
stormchaser                        15.33
hungry tiger                        16.00 
lanky                                   16.06
ap snowman                       16.10
windywillow                        16.39
gezm                                  16.40  
taylor1740                          16.50
kendalian                            16.60
Splinter                               16.63
bolty                                   16.80
Spring Sun Winter Dread   16.80 
artzeman                            16.81
jmm2005                            16.85
snowshoe                           16.90
Dickieboy68                       17.10         
grandad                              17.10
Saint Snow                         17.10  
col                                      17.14
scillydave                          17.15
caz                                    17.20
dingle rob                         17.20
frank h                              17.25
rickm                                 17.25
Gavin D                            17.30   
Sussex snow magnet         17.60 
redmoons                         17.65

Bertwhistle said he would be back for the August competition. 

June results will be posted later today 

Justin
Brighton seafront
Webcam of the beach and Brighton's palace pier
https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton-pier.html 
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
07 July 2024 06:55:39
7 days in and we are on 11.9C (-3.2C)
ARTzeman
07 July 2024 10:27:09
IMANS143           14.05c             Nicks'1BATH75   14.1c
Metcheck             13.77c             Anomaly       -2.69c
Netweather          14.63c            Anomaly        -1.97c
Peasedown St John  14.36c       Anomaly        -2.36c.




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
07 July 2024 13:02:04

Hadley

14.2 to the 5th

1.8c below the 61 to 90 average
1.8c below the 81 to 10 average

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


I wonder what Hadley is now. Doesn't surprise me. I had a single figures minimum last night. 
The last July CET under 14C was in the 1960s.    🙂 
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


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