November 2006 wasn't a cold month here, from what I recall of it, other than a bit of frost at times at the start of it. It was a predominantly wet and mild/very mild month here, very much a precursor to what followed during the 2006/07 winter.

As do I. And as far as the latest synoptics are playing out I don't think his comments are out of the ordinary.

Hmmm, possibly 2007 then, I'll have to check through old photographs when I get home

I always get pessimistic seeing output like this so early in the season, as in the past couple of decades we've seen great looking charts in November on a few occasions, only for them to be followed by crap & snowless Dec/Jan/Febs.

Saying that, I was bemoaning and worrying about the early onset of summer this year and that managed to sustain itself until just beyond the halfway point before petering out. If we could get great winter weather in the late-Nov to late-Jan period, I'd be over the moon. But then I remember the times where excitement has been disappointingly premature...

we have just beaten 1976 Summer so why not

Very telling ENS Steve.

I've been tracking them since they started picking up the initial northward regression to Scandinavia last week (264 at that stage). They have held rock solid and are now at 120 hours with the initial easterly a banker.

There is no reason to dispute the latest signal for retrogression to Greenland.

This pattern is stable. The background signals are strong. 

The atmosphere fired out a warning shot at the end of October.

A cold easterly to a snowy NE'ly has become a distinct possibility. Dismiss this potential at your peril would be my advice today.

you should write film intros! 

There we go...

Every picture tells a story and that one is impressive. Still time for things to go pear shaped, but such a strong signal from the MO is very encouraging for cold winter weather fans.

Good support for that far out. Nice grouping around the Control. Even among the stragglers there’s only two that are having none of it.

Worth remembering though that although -5 850s signal the arrival of winter compared to where we’ve been, it’s not exactly guaranteed snow either. 

Still, the possibility of snow arriving in late November is good to see. To be honest, it would be about ‘on schedule’ anyway. Despite recent October treats, mid November is normally when you can realistically hope for the first flakes I guess. Bring it on!

Very interesting indeed. And as the mean shows, the op and control have significant support.

Putting my 'coming back in my tardis' hat on, I wouldn't be surprised to see temps going further into the freezer with more -10s showing up by the end of the period.

I think this says it all. Hopefully, it will pan out.

Pedants' Corner; Hibernation is a winter sleep, aestivation is a summer sleep. So the welcome return of our winter contributors means they've come out of aestivation.

Maybe their motivation is a Beastivation?

Moves off swiftly, followed by toys flung out of pram

Lovely looking chart from GFS 12z

You’ll need it 😉

The persistence and ongoing strengthening of the signal for Mid to HLB and the virtual obliteration of the NW based vortex has to turn even the most hardened sceptics. There’s something brewing folks.

Interesting to see what comes from the North

This could be a belter for so early in the Season of chart watching …...cant say Winter because it isn't