NOT LOOKING GOOD - Mean stays above -5c @ 850hpa once this weekend is out of the way!?

Yes the odd hint of northern blocking trying to nose in here and there 

More colder runs for my location in the GEFS than in the 00Z run. From the 24th, seems to be more runs in the -5 to -11 850hpa range than there was previously

Interesting. The 6z GFSP is out to t210 and the jet is raging over the top of the the Azores/UK ridge up into Svalbard. From that run at least, there appears no obvious route to Northern blocking in the foreseeable future!

Look at the 06z para  @ 240 with LP directly over the N. Pole:

LP approaching Greenland and Iceland etc..!?

The only good thing is that the azores is no longer there!!

So no hard frosts either!

For Low pressure to go around the high and topple over and then dive down into central Europe and give them the snow when they have already had weeks of it? hmm!! Brexit - Weather doesn't want to include us and really is making us feel like we have left already!

Well that's alright, then.

Snow Rows show less snow forecast in Scotland (more a case of it being drier, rather than too mild), increases in the SE.

This is the point where I tend to embarrass myself...

The big split on the GEFS begins on the 22nd/23rd. Most Ens members show the low sinking S or SE over the UK, albeit with slight variations on the tracking options. With GFS, it's the next low steaming out of Newfoundland and how that is modelled. Most Ens members force it through over the top of the mid-North Atlantic ridge, which topples the high, initially over the UK.

ECM, on the other hand, also has the low sinking S'wards on the 22nd, but then doesn't develop the Newfoundland low to anything like the same extent. The result is that the mid-North Atlantic ridge develops into a more cut-off high directly north of the UK by 216.

Take the ECM to 240 and there's actually some [what looks like the beginnings of] retrogression, as a low to the UK's ENE builds and extends SW'wards.

I'm going off the TWO chart:

Hmm, my fingers must have malfunctioned 

S'ok, I double-checked when I did it, got a different figure from my first, checked again and got another figure entirely. Twas then I cranked up the old abacus.

102 the current record Rob, 06z Sunday.

So indicative of HP to our north and if this is the case then the ECM @ 240 could be the most accurate of all models? I look forward to seeing what the ECM has to say on the 12z run!

How do you gtet the data?

From the main TWO site - https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/datmdlout.aspx

Select the 'GEFS' option, then click on each individual location and count up the snow rows for each. The old fashioned way

Erm... it's the Model Output Discussion thread.