It is cold today, 5 degrees max here today, and tonight they expect my area to get down to 1 degree and zero degrees, this mean the cold spell is begun. Overcast and murky skies have been prevalent for three weeks now, with just a couple of days that brought frost and clear skies day and night.
This cold weather is expected to break by Friday next week.
There is clearly some interesting cold weather from Monday evening to upto Thursday 24th Jan. There could be a mix of rain sleet and hill snow, and cold NW winds or lighter cyclonic Low Pressure winds.
It settles down by Friday the 25th to Sunday the 27th, but out in the NW Atlantic the next PV Low Vortex feature is ready to plung ESE towards the West and North UK I would say maybe hit the UK come Monday and Tuesday 28th and 29th January, with heavy rain sleet plus maybe snow for some lucky ones- but this Low Pressure with cold air pushing SE from Canada's SE side, and Newfoundland NE USA- through NW Atlantic is one to watch!.
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I hope that the ECMWF this evening for it's 12z run can support the GFS and ICON's predictions.
On the ICON it is interesting to see Low Pressure enter NW UK this coming Friday the 25th Jan. 2019.
Climate is warming up, Scotland and N Ireland and North England still often gets some Winter frost, ice and snow, November to March, but the SE and South UK including S Central England and Wales, together with the West and North through the year, they sometimes get more rain than London and S SE England, where some longer dry fine spells without much heavy rain is seen every year.
The North Atlantic Sea often gets some much Colder Wintry conditions from November to March Months, and Mild SW and South winds tend to be more frequent over the East and SE of North Atlantic Sea, as the Azores High tends to stay in charge.
With this warmth and heat, the Central and South UK has become mostly free of snow and frost.