It seems to me that the whole feature is moving incredibly slow which is at odds with the revised warnings.

Intensity lessening atm - not increasing according to Meteoradar

Certainly not producing snow up here in the north east despite the air temp not over 1C. Just cold rain with the odd small flake mixed in at times.

It's been raining all morning in Swansea, but it's now turning to snow. Wasn't expecting this but it's been heavy rain and not much wind, so assume it's evaporative cooling? I'm close to sea level so it perhaps bodes well for other areas.

Edit: slightly higher parts (50m plus) reporting the classic huge flakes you get in marginal situations

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You’re looking at Thursday but I’m still pinning my hopes on tonight and tomorrow morning.

EURO4 and GFS have consistently modelled a small but intense streamer pushing through parts of Merseyside, Manchester and the Peak District from about 3am, peaking about 6am, and potentially lasting into mid morning. 

Your commute could be interesting, or, knowing how fickle these events can be, it could be extremely boring. 😃 I’m using this as a right royal test for this model. GFS (para) too. 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSPARAUK06_27_43.png

 

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The automated forecast for here says sleet between 7pm and 8pm turning to moderate snow sometime after 9pm, tapering off sometime after 1am.  It may be just that you're a 100+ metres lower.

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It's been alternating between light sleet and snow for a couple of hours here. Problem has been lack of intensity which has been frustrating to watch on the radar.


Seems to be a more sustained and heavier switch to snow now. Temp on the way down and hopefully the snow line too which is currently just above 200m.

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I think its still likely to be a rain->snow event for most but cold air is going to undercut the front so I fully expect the rain->snow transition to shorten as the band moves SE.

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I usually find the @LondonSnowWatch account on Twitter to be quite close to the mark with snow risk. East is best today:

 

Forecast remains quite tricky especially wrt exactly where we see a transition to all snow

Most of us will see rain initially

I've taken blue shading right to the coast for spell of snow late eve until around 2 or 3am

Included separate one for settling snow

Over to nowcast pic.twitter.com/kOCBGuV5pp

— Southern England Weather⚡☔❄💨 (@LondonSnowWatch) 29 January 2019

 

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This is the dividing line between the cold and milder air. Behind it colder air is undercutting and I would expect the precip to be mostly falling as snow (except in the SW, coasts, lighter bits e.c.t.). Ahead mostly rain at this stage.

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I still expect ~10cm on the Downs tonight roughly above 150m.

Now raining from the bit that has come up from the south in front of the main band. 4.5c with a dew of 2c

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This is the problem with cold occlusions. In fact, ironically, any front with 'cold' in it sucks when it comes to snow potential.

And this is one of the better ones!

Nevertheless it does seem most places are still going to see snow today. Going to be very wet though.

 

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Love drawing fronts on such an unusual synoptic chart.

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If only we had some decent cold air in place or a high to the north instead of this persistent low.
(Apologies for my if only moment)
Thurs pm looks much better for snow chances for a larger area.

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Rain behind your line in northeast England at approx 140m... Some earlier sleet in heavier bursts about an hour ago  

Well for what it's worth there's a bit of sleet mixed with the rain here, not a lot but it's slowly changing. My guess is this band of precipitation will be mainly rain for here but may turn to snow for you guys further east. temperature is currently 3.7C which has dropped from 5.9c at 12:30pm. Good luck.

 

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Only miserable rubbish cold rain here in Worcestershire so far.

But I never expected today's miserable affair to deliver anything.

Thursday into Friday is the only hope and then it won't last more than a day or two if the ECM has its way.

 

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A brief heavier burst at the moment is bringing with more sleet but I think the front is soon to clear so I've given up now on seeing snow cover whilst up here.

Raining heavily here in mid-Sussex. Now 3.5c after a high of 4.3c at 12:53pm. DP of 2c. Some sleet in the heavier bursts. The conditions look well set for something more than predicted after dark.

Jeff

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Rain turned to snow but too warm/light to settle at the moment.
1.5c

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RE Thursday

ICON 12z pushes the front further north which is good IMBY - however the pennines begin to create a rain shadow effect. Still more time to resolve this.

Fingers crossed.

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Rain beginning to turn to snow, Still a fair bit of rain but we've some chunky flakes coming down. Temp now 2.7C.

Edit, now nearly all snow.

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The SNOW doth fall here in Peasedown St John. 

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Not snow related but I note the Met Office are forecasting an ice day tomorrow here.

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Steady rain here now, the temperature shows no signs of dropping though 4.2c

sorry mis read the gauge- it is dropping now 3.3c