They postponed a general election fairly recently due to foot and mouth – 2001? Presumably that would be on the cards if the forecast really is 'bad'* for 12 Dec?

* Using BBC lingo, apologies 

Actually we do not have to check back on winter general elections to find snow falling somewhere in the country on polling day.  Snow did in fact fall in many areas on May 3 1979 at the dawn of MT's reign.

How do you switch off autocorrect????

You type ‘Barty’ and your iPad thinks it knows better.

It's funny you should say that. I've been thinking the same thing and, these charts we're seeing are not without support. This afternoon's ICON has moved towards the GFS operational as well.

Just imagine the rainmaker we had earlier in autumn that gave inland England a months worth of rain... as snow 

Malcolm
Wakefield & Gothenburg, SWE

The way I see it, should that pattern continue, it should in theory track more south as the Jet does so.  Alot of the rainfall we had through autumn was only a couple of degrees above being snow.  i'm thinking as the winter cold grows and the Jet head south, we might be lucky.

Hence my thoughts on this 

That's a typically arrogant Apple trait

Back to the models, I wouldn't push the 12z GFS out of bed with a longer lasting and cold unstable NE airflow over the SE by mid-month and the Atlantic incursion taking longer to make its move. However, at 260 hrs and beyond, it's all in FI land anyway. 

by 312 the low elongates to the SW and we get colder (-8C at 850hpa) air drawn in from the SE

The GFS 12Z Op ends with a Scandi High and cold Easterlies

That's some chilly air

Although not a outlier, the Op is at the bottom of the pack in the Ensemble in terms of 850hpa temps, but I'd say it IS an outlier in terms of 2m temps at the end

If only there was a 'like' button on here.  The ECM will make interesting viewing

ECM 12z looks decent so far, IMO.