I concur. Next Tues/Weds a persistent signal for a high end wind event.

I'm here and always lurking , naff all to discuss , up to now .

I think quite a few could see some white stuff next week and for sure roads further North will be blocked.

Blizzards for some without a doubt 

High level routes cut off - blizzards and extremely stormy 

Many would be pleased with that - we ( Banbury ) can do quite well in a NWLY 

Run from west to east and you’ll be fine. 

And Marcus Aberdeen shows up nicely on those charts. 

Gfs really ramps up the mph. A hell of a storm if it comes off.

Didn’t we have a cold zonal spell a few years back with the cold air racing across the Atlantic without much modification?

(and I love Steve Murr’s posts  )

Don't get too excited there!

Remember, those GFS charts count one flake of sleet as being worthy of snow shading. And even then, the snow vs rain field can be highly dodgy.

https://xcweather.co.uk/forecast/leysdown

The GFS for me, for example, has some lovely snow at 5C next Monday, along with full sunshine. We all know that's just not going to happen.

Use a more reliable model like ECM and you'll see the snow is generally over high ground (so no surprises there).

https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/united-kingdom/snow-accumulated/20200210-1200z.html

Personally I'll be sticking to Euro5 via WeatherOnline and the ECM. Those GFS snow charts are next to useless!

I completely agree but on this occasion the snow depth charts are of interest too. IMHO mid-Feb is looking like the best chance so far this winter (don't laugh!) for at least a few flakes of falling snow in the south.

PS: I agree with the comment earlier about strong winds being the main weather news story for most of the UK.

(Snow depth charts here https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=12&charthour=132&chartname=uksnowdepth&chartregion=uk&charttag=Snow%20depth )

I see the Melton Mowbray snow shield is working so well it’s extending its influence into East Anglia and The South East 

Down here it’s likely to sink your boat.......

Oh dear Darren , you have been on here long enough to know these are Just For Fun , I don't think for one minute there will be widespread lying snow - but I do  believe my area will see falling snow , if it comes heavy enough over night we might just see some on the floor in the morning , along way off and of course can and every chance will change 

One thing for sure is the weather will get lively and for some very exciting 

Better to have the winds at night howling outside while we are cosy inside than in the middle of the day when people are out and about potentially getting injured. 

ECM has the strongest winds quite a lot further north and delayed into Wednesday. 

More likely to sink your boat, Ian

I don't mind the odd blast of really strong winds. My mindset might change if ever I'm directly affected, obviously, but I like that feeling of us arrogant humans being humbled and cowed by nature.

GFS 0z; A day of northerlies in the east, then high pressure for the rest of this week. Winds freshen from the SW on Saturday, then non-stop gales for the whole week following - cold NW on a broad front on Mon with the controlling LP near Iceland; a deep depression to run across the UK on Wed 12th (750mb N England with damaging winds in the SW; calming down with lighter SW-ly by Sat 15th. A Less intense depression over the UK on Tue 18th before a ridge of HP to Scandi appears  (don't get too excited - the E-lies on its southern flank are over the Alps, and not particularly cold).

ECM the same at first, but takes Wed's storm further north, and keeps cold NW-ly going into the weekend.

Ens pattern matches the synoptics. Snow row figures progressively ranging from a string of 22s for Inverness down to a 5 for Plymouth on the 12th.

 That’s quite a storm!

Sorry, typo for 950, should still be 'interesting'. and a daytime storm, too - Ian gets his wish

I've been wondering what happened to the AMOC shutdown, which was the fashionable talk not so long ago.

Meanwhile, the models seem to have caught a nasty dose of isobaritis, with no area of the UK immune to severe symptoms at some stage. Let's hope this prognosis is moderated nearer the time.

Given the timescales it’s more likely than not the system expected next Tues will undergo quite a bit of revision as we get towards the five day threshold (my invisible line for calling more certainty on an event rather than just the idea of the pattern). 
That said it’s persistent and once it comes into UKM range we’ll have a better idea.