The simple fact is that many won't take heed until someone they know dies. By then, it's far too late.

Originally Posted by: Ulric 

The simple fact is that many won't take heed until someone they know dies. By then, it's far too late.

Originally Posted by: Ulric 

The age  VS death graph is a blunt tool.  The  meaningful parameter is physical condition  that  often happens  to roughly track age.

The biological condition (age) of  a 40 something that has  all kinds of underlying conditions or has let their physical condition   deteriorate  for decades through lack of   exercise, a bad diet and  being over weight will not be immune  being severely  affected by this bloody thing.  On the  other side of the coin a 60 something in good health  may fare much better.

Originally Posted by: Bugglesgate 

I think that is the cumulative total although the trend is unpleasantly clear.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Yes, the morality count is cumulative on that table I posted and I should have stated that. 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

I made the test count 5842.

Total today:  72818
Total yesterday:  66976

If I'm right the figures are even worse. (Fewer tests, same number of positives)

It seems to be ripping now and I think we have a catastrophe on our hands. Do hope I'm wrong.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Lombardy really is an anomaly in terms of deaths and I do wonder what could be behind it:

• is it just the overwhelmed local ICUs?


• Is/was contagion so much more widespread?


• could it be true after all that there is a more aggressive streak of the virus? (nothing proven so far)

Originally Posted by: xioni2 

It's quite likely that most people won't end up knowing someone who has died which is probably part of the reason governments have been obliged to introduce measures to force people to comply.

Originally Posted by: westv 

To help you and others keep some perspective try and remember the uk`s population is around 70 million so as a % of the total population the figures are tiny.

Originally Posted by: springsunshine 

Isn't that a bit judgmental. 

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

The figure for new infections in the RoI today was 109. That's against 126 yesterday and over 190 on Thursday. Those are encouraging figures for us in so far as the trend is downward. Perhaps we may escape the worst of it.

Originally Posted by: Lionel Hutz 

Breakdown of the Italy deaths by age group.

https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/bollettino/Infografica_21marzo%20ITA.pdf

Have heard numerous reports of people heading off to their second/holiday homes to wait it out (taking their stockpiled food with them?). Makes some sense but if these people do get into trouble then they may find the local hospitals aren't equipped to deal with these extra people? (although in summer there would be loads of people in these areas I suppose)

Originally Posted by: JHutch 

The figure for new infections in the RoI today was 109. That's against 126 yesterday and over 190 on Thursday. Those are encouraging figures for us in so far as the trend is downward. Perhaps we may escape the worst of it.

Originally Posted by: Lionel Hutz 

Some good points there but the opening sentence is just plain wrong. Pandora's box was already open because the Chinese visitors brought Covid-19 with them and somehow it became established in northern Italy unseen until it suddenly burst out.

I can understand the desire to play the political EU card but it's boll***s and completely fails to grasp the realities of the behaviour of this virus. If it was in northern Italy in mid-January it's inconceivable that it wasn't in other countries as well at around the same time. Chinese people didn't just visit Italy.

Ditto the comment about the US: banning flights from Europe hasn't contained their ballooning problem.  

Sorry, but this annoys me: simplistic, ill-considered actions that don't reflect the evidence.

If we wanted to make certain of keeping Covid-19 out of the UK we needed to close the borders in mid-January.  Did anyone ever think that was an appropriate response 10 weeks ago?

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

In the bluntest of terms it seemingly really is "survival of the fittest". Horrible but biology at its rawest.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

I wonder if that has anything to do with being an island next to an island next to the "mainland" of Europe??

Originally Posted by: westv 

How does the UK trajectory look after today's update? I've not got a link to the live tracker on my phone. Gut feel is it is bad. Spain too. 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze