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Brian Gaze
16 April 2020 16:38:41


Raab’s five tests for the easing the lockdown in 3 weeks time are:
1). NHS can cope across the UK
2). Sustained fall in daily death rates


3). Rate of infection decreasing


4). Supply of testing and PPE able to meet demand 


5). No risk of a 2nd peak
——-
4) is going to be a problem and 5) I would say is impossible.


Originally Posted by: John p 


How on earth is that determined?


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
fairweather
16 April 2020 16:40:24


Raab’s five tests for the easing the lockdown in 3 weeks time are:
1). NHS can cope across the UK
2). Sustained fall in daily death rates


3). Rate of infection decreasing


4). Supply of testing and PPE able to meet demand 


5). No risk of a 2nd peak
——-
4) is going to be a problem and 5) I would say is impossible.


Originally Posted by: John p 


Indeed. Usual over optimistic Government outlook. They said that about 4). 4 weeks ago.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Chunky Pea
16 April 2020 16:41:37

UK lockdown extended for 3-weeks

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Same over here. I don't think people are going to tolerate this much longer. And some of the footage I have seen from the UK and US in particular just shows that cops are, and always have been, former school bullies. One law for them, another for the plebs. 


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Northern Sky
16 April 2020 16:43:06


I’d say yes AF can be a  very dangerous heart condition if left untreated as yours is treated and managed the risk is greatly reduced like medicines like metoprolol to control the heart rate 


we can’t call heart conditions the so called normal at any stage of life weather that’s young or elderly.


 


Originally Posted by: Polar Low 


My Mum is on warfarin for AT and heart failure. She has had a letter telling her to shield for 12 weeks but today I had to take her to the hospital for her INR test. I know some hospitals are sending out staff to do the tests at home but not here. It seems a bit crazy that the letter says she shouldn't even go out for exercise yet she has to take a trip to the hospital. I suppose they have no staff to send out.

picturesareme
16 April 2020 16:43:17


I'm all for employee rights, but I'm hearing some bloody annoying stories of people taking the p*ss.


My missus works in admin for the NHS. It's only a small team she works on - 4 people. The manager's father (almost 90) died in February (not through CV); she's been off sick since then - two months. I know the death of a parent hits hard, but that is ridiculous, especially given how hard-pressed the NHS is at present. Worse, the manager's daughter is a nurse (and trained ICU nurse to boot) and she's been off the same length of time - because her near-90 year old grandfather has died. FFS!!! Then there is another team member who is now entering her 5th week of 'self isolation' because first she had a cough, then just as she was due back, her husband developed a cough, and this week after the expiry of another 14 days, her son's developed a cough so she says she's taking another 14 days.


My missus - who's not been there a year - apart from taking a day's hol off to extend Easter weekend, hasn't missed a day through this. Her other colleague lost her husband in January to a sudden heart attack and has an 11 year old lad (and two daughters in their 20's) and whilst she took 6 weeks off in the aftermath, this is pretty understandable in the circumstances, and she has returned and worked since.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


I see thing's within the NHS haven't changed. Sickness was a massive burden on costs during my 13 years within. So many would abuse the sickness for the full sick pay ip to 6 months at a time. 

fairweather
16 April 2020 16:43:25


I’d say yes AF can be a  very dangerous heart condition if left untreated as yours is treated and managed the risk is greatly reduced like medicines like metoprolol to control the heart rate 


we can’t call heart conditions the so called normal at any stage of life weather that’s young or elderly.


 


Originally Posted by: Polar Low 


The numbers with AF are thought o be in the millions so it possibly can be a norm, although like everything it varies person to person. I'm on an anti-coagulant to lower the stroke risk but it isn't life threatening as such.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Gavin D
16 April 2020 16:43:57
R is below one in the community though they're not entirely confident it's low enough yet by the sounds of it another couple of weeks will help no doubt.
Gandalf The White
16 April 2020 16:47:18


 


 


I'm expecting to read this a lot more from you over the coming months/years.


 



Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Actually I think Keir Starmer is a decent guy and an improvement. Mind you, it was a pretty low bar to get over.


You seem to forget that I am not currently a supporter of the Conservatives and certainly won't be supporting or voting for the New Brexit Party.


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


xioni2
16 April 2020 16:48:10

91% of Brits support the extension of the lockdown. 78% disapproves of Trump's handling of CV19

Brian Gaze
16 April 2020 16:48:16

New York locking down for another month. Not sure how their lockdown compares to the ones in the UK and other parts of Europe.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Polar Low
16 April 2020 16:48:32

You can apply for funding for a INR machine (still have his one in garage I can’t part with it) I had one and managed my boys from home I used to have a book and phone the readings in ever night it was up to me how much I gave him. 
The hospital were happy with it once dad was trained and what to look out for in fact I did a better job.


 


 



 


My Mum is on warfarin for AT and heart failure. She has had a letter telling her to shield for 12 weeks but today I had to take her to the hospital for her INR test. I know some hospitals are sending out staff to do the tests at home but not here. It seems a bit crazy that the letter says she shouldn't even go out for exercise yet she has to take a trip to the hospital. I suppose they have no staff to send out.


Originally Posted by: Northern Sky 

John p
16 April 2020 16:49:25
Just something minor that’s annoying me and seems to have started today - why have they started calling the R0 (R Naught), the ‘R’?

*pedantic mode off*
Camberley, Surrey
John p
16 April 2020 16:49:59


New York locking down for another month. Not sure how their lockdown compares to the ones in the UK and other parts of Europe.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Trump will go insane!


Camberley, Surrey
Chunky Pea
16 April 2020 16:50:29

UK police accuse this lad of 'killing people', yet there they are, outside themselves, moving about freely and dictating to others to 'go 'ome' and not killing people at all.. 


https://twitter.com/ezralevant/status/1250740565978775557


 


 


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
nsrobins
16 April 2020 16:50:46
Way too many cars on the roads today - more than yesterday.
Surely all these aren’t essential workers and deliveries?
And I haven’t seen one police car stopping people and making enquires.
They need to tighten up on people bring out for non essential reasons.
Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Gandalf The White
16 April 2020 16:52:22


 


How on earth is that determined?


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


They can't because any meaningful relaxation of the restrictions will cause an uptick in cases; the greater the relaxation the greater the risk and the larger the uptick.


That's why I agree with those who say it's going to be a slow incremental easing. The government will need at least 4-6 weeks after making any changes to see the effect because of the multiplier/exponential.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Polar Low
16 April 2020 16:57:17

I’d still say yes imo taking AC is not normal either but I do understand your point of view.



 


The numbers with AF are thought o be in the millions so it possibly can be a norm, although like everything it varies person to person. I'm on an anti-coagulant to lower the stroke risk but it isn't life threatening as such.


Originally Posted by: fairweather 

westv
16 April 2020 16:59:14


 


Trump will go insane!


Originally Posted by: John p 


I thought he already was.


At least it will be mild!
Phil G
16 April 2020 17:00:44

Way too many cars on the roads today - more than yesterday.
Surely all these aren’t essential workers and deliveries?

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


My wife jested that the drug dealers are using delivery vans as a disguise, but I would not be surprised.

Gandalf The White
16 April 2020 17:02:57


UK police accuse this lad of 'killing people', yet there they are, outside themselves, moving about freely and dictating to others to 'go 'ome' and not killing people at all.. 


https://twitter.com/ezralevant/status/1250740565978775557


 


 


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


I watched the video and don't see where you think there's a problem. The guy videoing was asked to move on and it was explained why.


You seem to have an issue with the police enforcing the law. If you don't like the law it's really not the police you should be whinging about, is it?


 


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


CreweCold
16 April 2020 17:03:04

Way too many cars on the roads today - more than yesterday.
Surely all these aren’t essential workers and deliveries?
And I haven’t seen one police car stopping people and making enquires.
They need to tighten up on people bring out for non essential reasons.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Yep noticed that too. I live on a main road and it was noticeably busier today.



Crewe, Cheshire
55 metres above sea level
westv
16 April 2020 17:07:53

I've now asked for refunds for my train tickets up to and including 7/5. I still have tickets for weeks beginning 11/5, 18/5, 25/5, 1/6 but I do wonder if I'll be asking for these to be refunded too.


It's all money going back in my account.


At least it will be mild!
Quantum
16 April 2020 17:08:21

JFF model update.


As before I'm modelling pillar 1 only.


 


Daily confirmed Pillar 1: 3869


Modelled Pillar 1: 3787


 



 


Full image: https://i.ibb.co/Gx1P5Pk/jff1604.jpg


 


So things are back on track with the model able to very accurately predict the number of pillar 1 cases.


Tommorow 3495 pillar 1 cases projected.


Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Chunky Pea
16 April 2020 17:14:55


 


I watched the video and don't see where you think there's a problem. The guy videoing was asked to move on and it was explained why.


You seem to have an issue with the police enforcing the law. If you don't like the law it's really not the police you should be whinging about, is it?


 


Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


I am asking why the police are outside also spreading the virus and killing people? Why are they not 'enforcing the law' on themselves? 


There is a nice way and a not so nice way to 'ask', and they choose the latter. They deserve no respect. 


Also, did you see that one cop violating the 2m 'social distancing rule'? He practically invaded the cameraman's personal space to show what a big man he is. 


 


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Polar Low
16 April 2020 17:24:48

Because they never do 


 



 


I am asking why the police are outside also spreading the virus and killing people? Why are they not 'enforcing the law' on themselves? 


There is a nice way and a not so nice way to 'ask', and they choose the latter. They deserve no respect. 


Also, did you see that one cop violating the 2m 'social distancing rule'? He practically invaded the cameraman's personal space to show what a big man he is. 


 


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

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