Yes, it looks like some decent summery weather at times across most of the models in the coming week to ten days. I will just be glad to see the back of the SEly muck.

Yes maybe 90f Wednesday/Thursday. But still remaining low 80s until Sunday. But a more settled look longer term this morning from most models.

Looks pretty much par for the course to me and consistent with the trend for warmer than average conditions we have been seeing in recent years.

I remember July 1990, when it got up to 90F once and it was a major news event. BBC journalists were dispatched to fry eggs on car bonnets etc

1990 saw widespread temps around 95F.

Time for an unalloyed concession from you! 

Writing off whole months is just silly - it ruins the forum and makes it misleading for newcomers.

We don’t want to end up with the hysteria and hyperbole that has made the other channel unreadable.

Go back to the mid 80's and it was an 'event' when the temperature circles on the BBC forecast turned a red colour when it reached 25c ! 

Effortless heat these days.

Here in the SE a few cloudier and showery days like this offer some welcome relief from the generally very warm, settled and parched theme of many summers since 2013. 

Oh the memories Steve. I used to get so excited when you saw the first orange 25C on the chart. Nothing more frustrating than a yellow 24C

With this SEly it is so foggy here that I’d be happy to be able to see a forecast through it.

Boom boom ! 

Some good humour here this morning.

Fingers crossed you lose the SE'ly Doc and Moomin gets the extended heatwave he is desperately craving. 

Funny thing is though, the average summer temperatures have not risen that much compared with some other seasons, particularly autumn and late winter / early spring. And particularly night minima. This despite the daytime peaks being higher.

Look at last year: none of the months were that much above average, and indeed June 2019 where we saw French records tumble, 25otherm over southern England and 24C in London was only 0.2C above average for the UK as a whole.

It's an interesting - and predicted - feature of climate change in Western Europe. The continent warms more rapidly than the oceans, so when we're under maritime influence our weather isn't that much warmer, and if it's Pm air from the Greenland-Iceland sea it may even be cooler, but when we get a plume of Tc advection we are importing air that is a couple of degrees hotter than before.

1990 (August) saw the UK max temperature record broken, with 37.1C (98.8F), so it was a bit more than “one day of 90F)!

It's 12z time. Always remarkable how relatively little excitement a potential summer heatwave gets in here compared with a potential winter snow event. I think I must just be wired differently to most of you.

Iconic scenes from ICON, which as usual is first out of the blocks:

Only goes up to next Saturday but you can see there are at least 2 more days of heat left in that pattern before any breakdown, if not more.

GFS so far is similar to 06z, but it's early days. Same mini-cooldown on Thursday:

UKMO also similar to 00z, and very different to GFS (see SLP map for GFS same time below). Looks like a quicker heat up then breakdown on UKMO

Brilliant output tonight so far. 

T+72 through to T+144 showing increasingly settled and very warm weather for the whole period. 
Best weather in the SE with more in the way of cloud and rain in Northern Ireland and Western Scotland, especially earlier in the period, but improvements here later. 

Looking good.

I wonder if we're in for a 2 or 3 week warm/hot spell.