Agreed. 
Some classic blocking hints on the 12z

240 GFS 

300 GFS

384 GFS

lots of blocking around as mentioned - seems to tie in with the lack of zonal winds as Gav has mentioned and per Tally's post 

ECM 240 Shows the blocking that's in agreement with the Met update 

16-dayer keeps W Europe cool for the next couple of weeks, and arin to the west (esp the UK week 2). Big blob of blue appears over N Russia week 2 as well - winter on its way. http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/temp4

GFs - current LP passes by followed by that Atlantic ridge of HP as yesterday - but more short-lived than previously forecast with area of LP in N Atlantic affecting all UK Fri 16th moving steadily S past W Ireland to Spain over the following week, and S/SE winds for the UK (gales for the E Coast later)

GEFS - temps dropping off (in the S 7C below norm by Sun 11th) gradually recovering to norm by Fri 18th. Fair agreement to that point but although mean is still on the norm, uncerainty sets in with op & control amongst the warmest. Rain from ca Tue 13th increasing in probability, both frequency and amount, esp in S & W.

ECM - yesterday 12z looked like GFS does now but this morning's 0z takes a different course from Wed 14th with quite deep LP over Belgium that day gradually linking up with Atlantic to set up broad trough of LP France- Greenland by Sat 17th which on the Sun converges on the GFS model with the trough becoming localised off W Ireland.

I seem to recall that there was a marked tendency to blocking last October also until some point in November when the Atlantic started to crank up.

indeed almost as soon as Nov ended Atlantic cranked up, who knows if it will be different this year. If you want a cold one the best thing is hope as no model can predict!!

hopefully we get some decent cold early on 

There was , lets hope its not a repeat , hopefully the forecast of a quieter Atlantic will help our cause ?

Lets hope this can continue 

for 4 months would be ideal

"Europe is expected to have warmer than average temperatures over most of the continent...

...The British Isles and Scandinavia could have more unsettled winter, as the jet stream positions over these regions, bringing behind more stormy weather."

Triffic 

Personally I wouldn't bother with any website, app or social media that has words like "severe, snow, thunderstorm" in its title. I could be doing a disservice. 

Actually it's a reasonable analysis and their forecast doesn't mention any of the words you've quoted.

Their summary says 'Europe is expected to have warmer than average temperatures over most of the continent.'

They look at the ECM, UKMO and CFS seasonal models and the European models point towards high pressure to the south or south-east. One chart looks horribly like the result of a repeated Bartlett pattern, although of course it's a 3-month snap shot.

quote=Gooner;1263672]

There was , lets hope its not a repeat , hopefully the forecast of a quieter Atlantic will help our cause ?