Careful posting charts like this as you might tempt Quantum into posting his annual record breaking July cold, never before seen sub zero 850's  over UK, etc etc threads 🤣😂 

A number of known unknowns as well as unknown unknowns as ever. However, on balance I think the pessimism is being over played. When I looked at the ensemble data in depth a coupe of days again there was a signal for an improvement and that continues to be the case.

Some modest improvement in temps over the next two weeks shown on wx maps, esp in the SE; but remaining damp mainly in the NW and along the S Coast.

GFS looks rather different and better than yesterday; the current LP to the SW fills and there is a general though rather uncertain rise in pressure over the UK through to Thu 1st when a depression near Iceland arises and moves to Norway bringing in first W-lies and N-lies though not nearly as strong as yesterday.

GEFS temps cool at first and in the S rising to norm around Sun 20th and then a little above but dipping sharply in many runs Sun 4th. Rain in the S tomorrow and again a patch around Sun 27th, a little damp after that. In the N temps recover sooner (23rd) and again staying a little above norm but with more uncertainty. Rain on and off, not as heavy as in the S but more continual esp in NW.

ECM similar to Fri 25th but the HP after that though more intense is centred to the W of the UK allowing some cool air to spill down the N Sea then and again around Wed 30th. ECM synoptics do not suggest much rain and especially not around the 27th

Decent amount of high pressure around this morning.  3 or 4 more days of unsettled then it should settle down quite nicely and become pretty warm again. West looks best 

Nothing guaranteed yet , but looks like the Azores high wants to push in over the UK . If it can build right over the UK it could get quite hot.

You should get some play today not much rain around. 

You need to come to Bolton if you want to learn about rain.

 And TallyHo, the obsessive snow lover, lives on the south Devon coast. One of the mildest places in Northern Europe! 

Plumey goodness from the ECM 12z. Very hot by the end.

Hope so as those cold temps today really the most boring type as we see those temps most of the time in the year so having hot temps a lot more interesting to record.

The heat by day 10 in the western Mediterranean is astonishing.  30c 850s.

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=18&model=ecm&var=2&run=12&time=240&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=24#mapref

It needs the pesky low that could sit over the UK to end up just to the west of Portugal.  Possible but probably unlikely. 

The heat have to go somewhere after that and that go north to UK via France and we haven't got a proper heatwave yet here.  This year E Med not having extreme hot summer like last year and Nicosia had recorded 59 times 40C plus day temps but this year 0 so far and expect cooler with local thunderstorms there.

That looks like 34 uppers near Turkey that could be 50c,,, world record currently 56.7c I think Death Valley 1913

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=19&model=ecm&var=2&time=240&run=12&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=24

Only 23C in Cyprus so that high 30's which is nothing special but very close shave to get those 30C uppers again over the island, highest record uppers was 31C when 46.6C recorded on 1st August 2010 in Nicosia.  Last year was 30C uppers that give out 46.2C.

With so much heat around UK cannot avoid it but get it hard and much welcome same time.

I like the 12z MetO tonight. 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/UKMOPEU12_144_1.png

Met UKV looking quite warm in the south by the end of the week.