WX temp charts show some very cold conditions bumbling around over S Russia, indeed well below norm there, but not making an impression on W Europe which remains mild for the next two weeks, if anything milder than shown yesterday. Rain (probably not snow except over mountains) as usual for Atlantic coasts in week 1 plus some stretching down across the Alps and into the EMed; in week 2 generally drier with the wetter areas from Scotland up to Norway.
FAX shows the current LP with showery troughs dominating for a couple of days then the classic warm front - cold front - transient ridge for Tue and again Thu, nicely picked out on the MetO rainfall chart too.
JET - the stream is ever stronger, waving across Britain for the next 10 days; it suddenly subsides on Sat 21st but resumes in a much more buckled form a couple of days later
GFS Op - procession of LPs originating near Greenland and passing near Scotland driven by the Jet, presumably, until Fri 20th when a ridge of HP in the Atlantic allows LP to settle over Finland 985mb and again Tue 24th S Norway 1000mb with a N-ly influence for Britain.
ECM - as GFS to Tue 17th then slows down the procession with the last LP 995mb Scotland moving SE to France and N-lies beginning a couple of days earlier
GEFS - mean temp up and down near norm until Fri 13th after which the mean drops to a little below norm and stays there but not very meaningful as so much disagreement between ens members. Rain in most ens members at some time or other, heaviest in S & W, not much in N & E and quite dry in far NE. Snow row figures only significant for the Highlands, and that mostly after Mon 16th.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl