Some insane numbers coming out of the 12z suites... both in terms of wind next week and total rainfall.
For the former, the 12z GFS has 51 mean gusting to 71 mph across a large swathe of Kent on Thursday, including here. That would cause utter chaos and a large number of trees to come down. It's by no means alone on the ensembles, with a third having similarly strong - or stronger - winds. The worst one is perturbation 17, which has peak gusts of 92mph here - the only time in living memory it's been windier than that around here is in 1987.
https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_table.php?x=338&y=147&run=12&ext=1&mode=13&sort=0 Thankfully it's still 6 days out, and we all know what the accuracy is like at that range. Still, with a westerly regime (which models perform better in), and with a strong jet blasting the UK - somewhere's going to get hit, but whether it's on Thursday or not, and whether it's England, or Wales, or France... remains to be seen.
As for the rain, there's a yellow warning out down here for torrential rain over the weekend, with the main focus being the southern coasts. There was a sample of that earlier, when a 5-minute shower dumped a few mm of rain and some hail, the peak rate being 55mm/hour. I guess it's convection enhanced by the warm English Channel - something which looks like extending into next week too.
As the GFS 12z accumulated chart shows, there's to be a very strong gradient - soaking on the south coast, but much less rain just a little way inland. With the potential gales on Thursday, that could get very messy indeed.
https://images.meteociel.fr/im/94/8948/168_777UKxrc6.GIF Scotland, meanwhile, has problems of its own - 5 inches of rain over the mountains, and a similar picture for much of Wales too.
All in all - pretty grotty, with no great changes in sight. I have a hunch that the payoff for this will be a settled spell later in November, but we'll see!