WX temp summaries for two weeks show freezing weather more or less static east of Poland (and including Scandinavia) and N of the Black Sea. W Europe mild and above norm in week 1, cooler and close to norm week 2. Pptn for Atlantic coastal countries and down through France to the Alps, all clearing away in favour of a large dry area (new; Spain, France, Britain, even Denmark) in week 2. Any rain is around Sicily.
GFS Op - current LP W of Ireland 960mb pushing E-wards across Britain, filling and breaking up as it goes, eventually 995mb N Ireland Tue 12th before diving SE-wards and allowing HP to establish with 1040/1045mb somewhere over Britain starting with a ridge E-wards to Europe Sat 16th but slowly re-arranging to a N-S axis Wed 20th. Finally the HP declines Fri 22nd, even then pressure still fairly high though menaced by LP in Scandinavia.
ECM - similar to GFS, though with a tendency for the HP to be centred further S, i.e. over the English Channel/France.
GEFS - temps near norm (milder earlier, cooler later) with some rain until Fri 15th with good ens agreement, after which a wide spread of temp forecasts either side of a level a few degrees above norm esp in east but dry for most places at most times.
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Chichester 12m asl