A much better run IMBY! One thing that does seem certain is that much of Scotland is going to be hammered with snow early next week... I can imagine there'll be some fantastic pictures doing the rounds on the news (and on here, hopefully).
In other news, I see that sea ice is at its highest level for 20 years - every little helps, as Tesco says, especially when a northerly is involved.
Originally Posted by: Retron
Yep we nearly get an all snow event from that LP at T228, it just fails and looks to turn back to rain at the end though.
There's also a fun little feature/LP that runs into Scotland that's largely all cold air at a similar time as the LP wanders over the far south. The pattern then gets quite slack under LP which screams cold nights over any snow cover.
Clearly all very much just for amusement value as all this run really shows is the larger pattern is consistent, the detail is not.
As an aside and from many a disappointment over the years this pattern often seems to end up in one of a couple of scenarios:-
1) LP is forecast to run somewhere to the south of the UK. It does and I end up with mostly rain, north of the M4 gets buried. The next LP runs further north, I get warmer rain, northern England gets buried.
2)LP is forecast to run somewhere to the south of the UK and bring snow to some parts of the UK but mostly rain for me, it corrects south and any precip stays mostly in the channel, maybe grazing the far SW. The next LP corrects further north rather annoyingly and I get all rain and northern England gets buried.
Scotland usually stays cold either way.
It's a lot more entertaining though than mild and wet for all!
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