theweatheroutlook

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ARTzeman
26 June 2024 09:57:27
IMANSF143          16.3c          Nicks'1BATH75         14.0c
METCHECK           14.11c         Anomaly                  -0.03c
Netweather          14.35           Anomaly                   0.26c
Peasedown St John   14.12c    Anomaly                   -1.08c.




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Quantum
26 June 2024 10:15:37

Well we just about managed it today 30.0c in Chertsey.  As you say a fairly average time to do it late June. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


I'm kinda annoyed, have lost motivation to continue looking at this! Was hoping for a late one
Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Gavin D
26 June 2024 12:53:09
Hadley
13.6 to the 25th
0.5c below the 61 to 90 average
0.5c below the 81 to 10 average
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
26 June 2024 15:14:39

I'm kinda annoyed, have lost motivation to continue looking at this! Was hoping for a late one

Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Why were you hoping for a late one?
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Retron
26 June 2024 17:58:11
30.3 at Heathrow today, FWIW, making it the warmest day of the year so far.
Leysdown, north Kent
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
27 June 2024 04:11:49
It’s looking like we might just hit the all time average and Windy Willow’s prediction is very close to the target. 
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
+1
ARTzeman
27 June 2024 12:03:05
IMANSF145    16.7c      Nicks'1BATH75   14.5c
Metcheck     14.37c     Anomaly      0.23c
Netweather   14.6c      Anomaly      0.53c
Peasedown St John     14.86c   Anomaly  -0.4c.           




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
27 June 2024 12:53:27
Hadley
13.8 to the 26th
0.3c below the 61 to 90 average
0.4c below the 81 to 10 average
ARTzeman
28 June 2024 10:57:40
IMANSF145            16.6c         Nicks'1BATH75         13.7c
Metcheck               14.46c           Anomaly                0.31c
Netweather            14.73c          Anomaly                0.64c
Peasedown St John 14.62c         Anomaly                -0.58c. 




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
28 June 2024 13:01:42
Hadley

14.0 to the 27th
0.1c below the 61 to 90 average
0.2c below the 81 to 10 average
Rob K
28 June 2024 13:25:12
Looks like yet another above average month, will they ever end?
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
28 June 2024 13:48:50

Looks like yet another above average month, will they ever end?

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


I’m not sure it will be that much over, if at all.  14.1c is the average and we might just end slightly over that.
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Bertwhistle
28 June 2024 14:12:02
Remarkable turnaround. Saturday will help for 2 of the stations at least. Current MetO forecasts suggest a final 3 day average of about 15.5°C which might nudge the final outcome up another point 1 but would at least protect the 14.
Outlook into July is unsettled currently- but to harp on once again about 1995, that didn't really get going until about day 7. Fingers crossed.
Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
springsunshine
28 June 2024 15:08:59

Looks like yet another above average month, will they ever end?

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


I very much doubt they will. It is almost impossible now to get a below average month,the most likely being December.
I don`t know why Hadley still use 1961-90 as the benchmark,it is completly out of kilter and no representation of the current climate.
Its a bit ridiculous seeing every month above average which therefore makes the period `61-90 below average.
+1
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
28 June 2024 15:12:19
Whether we are just above "average", or just below or bang on is a moot point as far as the competition goes. We all predicted higher so we already know how much we lost compared to Willow. This is the case whether the final CET is 14.3 or 7.3C
I do agree with Spring though that we should be using a more representative average now 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
28 June 2024 18:37:32

Whether we are just above "average", or just below or bang on is a moot point as far as the competition goes. We all predicted higher so we already know how much we lost compared to Willow. This is the case whether the final CET is 14.3 or 7.3CI do agree with Spring though that we should be using a more representative average now 

Originally Posted by: GezM 


Justin does post the all time average figure as well.  Although Justin uses older figures. The all time average is 14.3c. 
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Bertwhistle
29 June 2024 10:02:06

Whether we are just above "average", or just below or bang on is a moot point as far as the competition goes. We all predicted higher so we already know how much we lost compared to Willow. This is the case whether the final CET is 14.3 or 7.3CI do agree with Spring though that we should be using a more representative average now 

Originally Posted by: GezM 


Still interesting to discuss though. After all, the thread was I think originally analysis and discussion, the competition part of the title being added later (although there always was the competition even in GW's day). Well done to Willow in advance!
Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
ARTzeman
29 June 2024 13:11:10
IMANSF143           16.6c           Nicks1BATH75         14.5c
Metcheck               14.47c               Anomaly            -0.32c
Netweather            14.76c              Anomaly            0.67c
Peasedown St John  14.6c              Anomaly            -6.c      




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
29 June 2024 13:11:56
Hadley
14.0 to the 28th
0.1c below the 61 to 90 average
0.3c below the 81 to 10 average
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
30 June 2024 08:30:27
It will close on 12.6C (-0.7C) here.
North York Moors weather 
ARTzeman
30 June 2024 10:10:55
IMANSF143           16.6c            Nicks'1BATH75         14.6c
Metcheck              14.52c                Anomaly             0.37c
Netweather           14.82c                Anomaly             0.73c
Peasedown St John  14.53c             Anomaly            -0.67c.  




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
30 June 2024 13:05:15
Hadley

14.0 to the 29th
0.1c below the 61 to 90 average
0.3c below the 81 to 10 average
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
30 June 2024 16:02:17
Looks like we actually will have a below average month!  
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
johncs2016
30 June 2024 16:40:34

Looks like we actually will have a below average month!  

Originally Posted by: Caz 


... and it just had to happen in the summer as well, which is just like the thing!!🤢
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
+3
Gavin D
01 July 2024 12:50:04
June confirmed as 14.0c, coming in 0.1c below average, making it the first below average month since December 2022.
+3
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