WX temps showing little change with N Europe including Britain between a cold Iceland and a very hot Mediterranean. For the next two weeks, for Britain, cool in the north, hanging on to the warmth in the south; perhaps a little cooler overall in week 2. In week 1, rain for N Atlantic (incl NW Britain), W Russia and the Alps; ditto in week 2 substituting Scandinavia for Russia.
GFS Op - HP over Britain slowly collapsing as LP 980mb sets up between Scotland and Iceland Sat 3rd. It hangs around in that general area for the following week to Fri 9th, perhaps positioned a little further north than yesterday and not really affecting S England except possibly Tue 6th. HP then revives from the south briefly before another LP appears off Scotland Sun 11th, this time short-lived and HP firmly in charge of the whole country by Fri 16th.
ECM - similar to GFS but models ex-hurricane Debby off Carolina on Wed 7th (not shown on GFS), running up the US coast before moving into the Atlantic and adding oomph to the LP Sat 10th.
GEM - similar to GFS but throws in a trailing trough on Fri 9th as the LP departs
GEFS - In the S, warmer pulses on 1st, 5th and 9th after which minimal agreement of ens members though mean near norm, and rain in small amounts at any time, one or two runs with thundery peaks. In the N, temp peaks and troughs are levelled out, cooler overall; dry for a few days then some rain on most days with amounts more variable in NE.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl