It's a bit more than just a "corner", but we'll agree to disagree on that one I guess. (Even Great Yarmouth, 90 miles north of here, has the same picture as down here in relative terms).
You don't pick the SW for warmth, btw, being a peninsula stuck out into the ocean, and it genuinely baffles me why it's so popular with sun-seekers... if that's what you're after it's a guaranteed disappointment. You pick it for its scenery and mix of rocky and sandy beaches rather than the climate!
You're far better off in the SE, which again has always been the case - Eastbourne used to trade on being the sunniest resort in the UK, and as you'll know we get the warmest conditions in general - along with the humidity too. The sea is shallower too, so heats up very quickly (SSTs are 19C off Sheppey, for example, 18C off Eastbourne, compared to as low as 14C off north Cornwall -
https://www.meteociel.fr/accueil/sst.php )
The MetO still has 30s this morning, and I fully suspect another 31 if not 32 will be found somewhere in the London area on Wednesday.
Beyond that, GFS does what it's done through the summer, showing some heavy rain, while MetO shows nothing but the odd bit of cloud... and, as usual, GFS is a couple or more degrees below the MetO output generally. GFS has temperatures a degree either side of the mean, while MetO is resolutely above, only reaching normal by next Sunday. And that, of course, is never going to be the most accurate forecast... I mean who would take a T+180 chart as gospel? Not many, I'd wager!
Originally Posted by: Retron