Im at a complete loss tbh,
Originally Posted by: Retron
It's been pointed out several times that MOGREPS is trending colder and ECM is as clear as day:
http://www.weathercast.co.uk/services/ensemble-forecast.html
It's clear from the Met Office text forecast that they don't care for G(E)FS' milder outcome. Even that's not especially mild though, just a degree or so above average! NAEFS is just a combination of GEM and GFS ensembles as far as I can work out, it doesn't contain any ECM data. As such, it's not a surprise to see it backing the GEFS at the moment.
The only thing which puzzles me is why there are a few people on here who won't look beyond the GEFS for whatever reason!
And see my post from the other day. You, along with everyone else, have access to selected elements of ECM-15, ECM-32, MOGREPS etc. And for the bits you *don't* have access to, see the NW forums where people who *do* have access are posting about what they show.
The post earlier today was interesting too, regarding the discussion nickl and I were having. A few months ago GLOSEA wasn't used in the extended MetO text forecast, it was solely the ECM-32 driving it. However, that seems to have changed - they are now using something else as Ian F mentioned on NW, but he's not said what. AFAIK, the only other thing they have that goes out that far is GLOSEA, so it's likely to be that.
Originally Posted by: Quantum