theweatheroutlook

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sizzle
15 December 2014 18:01:17

LMAO Joe B what a JOKER  LOL

Matty H
15 December 2014 18:35:39


quite interesting from Joe B


https://mobile.twitter.com/BigJoe******i/status/544539464098660352/photo/1/large?utm_source=fb&utm_content=544539464098660352&utm_campaign=BigJoe******i&utm_medium=fb


 


hes been banging on about this pressure pttern over the US for about 2 weeks now.


Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


Didnt he forecast a cold snowy UK winter last year?

Yate, Nr Bristol
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JACKO4EVER
15 December 2014 18:41:36


LMAO Joe B what a JOKER  LOL


Originally Posted by: sizzle 


LOL didn't know he was still peddling his self styled carp. Not one on my Christmas card list lol

David M Porter
15 December 2014 18:47:16


LMAO Joe B what a JOKER  LOL


Originally Posted by: sizzle 


The cold ramper's version of Ian Brown, IMO.

Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
White Meadows
15 December 2014 19:43:56


 


LOL didn't know he was still peddling his self styled carp. Not one on my Christmas card list lol


Originally Posted by: JACKO4EVER 


you mean like the peddling carp from the Guiness advert a few years ago?

JACKO4EVER
15 December 2014 19:52:03


 


you mean like the peddling carp from the Guiness advert a few years ago?


Originally Posted by: White Meadows 


yeh, or more like a polite way of typing CRAP

tallyho_83
15 December 2014 21:47:04


quite interesting from Joe B


https://mobile.twitter.com/BigJoe******i/status/544539464098660352/photo/1/large?utm_source=fb&utm_content=544539464098660352&utm_campaign=BigJoe******i&utm_medium=fb


 


hes been banging on about this pressure pttern over the US for about 2 weeks now.


Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


 


I can't get to the link - it's broken!??


 


Meanwhile don't forget the nightly weather forecast for the week ahead - (if you can bare it). BBC N24 21:55.

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
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Nordic Snowman
15 December 2014 22:26:47


 


 


I can't get to the link - it's broken!??


 


Meanwhile don't forget the nightly weather forecast for the week ahead - (if you can bare it). BBC N24 21:55.


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


The link doesn't work for me too but then I wondered what the hell I was doing anyway! I haven't read articles from him for an eternity. Don't intend to start now as I value my time.

Bjorli, Norway

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Stu N
15 December 2014 23:40:06


 


The link doesn't work for me too but then I wondered what the hell I was doing anyway! I haven't read articles from him for an eternity. Don't intend to start now as I value my time.


Originally Posted by: Nordic Snowman 


 


Hahaha the link is broken because the forum has automatically censored his name!


 


Bastar-d-i may be persona non grata in forecasting circles, but it's going a bit far to say his name is a swear word. Oh, I see what's happened. 

tallyho_83
15 December 2014 23:50:33


 


 


Hahaha the link is broken because the forum has automatically censored his name!


 


Bastar-d-i may be persona non grata in forecasting circles, but it's going a bit far to say his name is a swear word. Oh, I see what's happened. 


Originally Posted by: Stu N 


 


Yes he does have a unique surname!??

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


marting
16 December 2014 13:17:38

MET Office must have changed this after 7am this morning as I had a look and still saying cold option at that time.


Martin


 

Martin
Greasby, Wirral.
Gavin P
16 December 2014 14:10:05

I've heard from a couple of people on Twitter that the ECM seasonal model has gone cold for Jan to Mar.

Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Solar Cycles
16 December 2014 15:14:52


I've heard from a couple of people on Twitter that the ECM seasonal model has gone cold for Jan to Mar.


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 

Yes always a worry when it shows a cold set up as invariably the opposite generally happens.

White Meadows
16 December 2014 15:57:14
This afternoon's update remains pretty much the same, with no mention of cold weather developments in general:

UK Outlook for Wednesday 31 Dec 2014 to Wednesday 14 Jan 2015:
There is no strong signal in weather patterns during this period. However, the most likely scenario is for a continuation of unsettled and, at times, windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around, or a little above, average for the time of year. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places - this will be more likely across northern areas where there is also a chance of some snow on higher ground.

Updated at: 1427 on Tue 16 Dec 2014
Brian Gaze
16 December 2014 16:16:28

This afternoon's update remains pretty much the same, with no mention of cold weather developments in general:

UK Outlook for Wednesday 31 Dec 2014 to Wednesday 14 Jan 2015:
There is no strong signal in weather patterns during this period. However, the most likely scenario is for a continuation of unsettled and, at times, windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around, or a little above, average for the time of year. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places - this will be more likely across northern areas where there is also a chance of some snow on higher ground.

Updated at: 1427 on Tue 16 Dec 2014

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 


I've highlighted the notable part of the forecast. I think this is the first time the Met have forecast slightly above average (rather than slightly below) temperatures for several weeks. It would be interesting to know what this is based on, especially as the background 'noise' on the Internet has all been about a potential cold spell. If the MetO are right most of us are likely to be on the home run to spring without seeing a single flake of snow.

Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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Gooner
16 December 2014 16:31:09


 


I've highlighted the notable part of the forecast. I think this is the first time the Met have forecast slightly above average (rather than slightly below) temperatures for several weeks. It would be interesting to know what this is based on, especially as the background 'noise' on the Internet has all been about a potential cold spell. If the MetO are right most of us are likely to be on the home run to spring without seeing a single flake of snow.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Give me a break

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Brian Gaze
16 December 2014 16:35:05


 


Give me a break


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


The MetO forecast takes us to the end of the first half of winter. The forecast could of course be wrong, but Exeter have upped the game with their 30 dayer significantly in the last couple of years. There have been a number of occasions when they've identified a trend several days before it has become visible in the GEFS. 

Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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weathercold
16 December 2014 16:37:47


 


I've highlighted the notable part of the forecast. I think this is the first time the Met have forecast slightly above average (rather than slightly below) temperatures for several weeks. It would be interesting to know what this is based on, especially as the background 'noise' on the Internet has all been about a potential cold spell. If the MetO are right most of us are likely to be on the home run to spring without seeing a single flake of snow.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


I'm sorry but the above highlighted in bold has to be one of the least helpful/informative and least accurate quotes I have read so far this winter and that's going some.  ''The home run to spring''.....at the juncture of mid Jan...really?

White Meadows
16 December 2014 17:03:45


 


 


I'm sorry but the above highlighted in bold has to be one of the least helpful/informative and least accurate quotes I have read so far this winter and that's going some.  ''The home run to spring''.....at the juncture of mid Jan...really?


Originally Posted by: weathercold 


I have to admit this is a rather assuming comment, not to mention misleading. 


The 30 day forecasts, especially the back end of them come with their own low-confidence warnings. To say we're looking at Spring on the horizon by the first half of Jan is pretty wild. 

Brian Gaze
16 December 2014 18:13:37

Goodness! If I'd said the 'MetO forecast takes us through to mid-October and then we're on the home run to winter', there would have been either no response or these...  


Some folk really need to chill out. If it snows it snows. If it doesn't it doesn't. Spring will be here before you know it, of that I'm certain. 

Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
llamedos
16 December 2014 18:32:03

Perhaps the most relevant part of Brian's quote from the Met is " It would be interesting to know what this is based on, especially as the background 'noise' on the Internet has all been about a potential cold spell " .


The home run to Spring is mid January onwards, so there's no suggestion from anyone that Winter will be a write off, nor that there won't be colder interludes.


Too many knee jerk posts IMHO..........

"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator
Essan
16 December 2014 18:42:38


Perhaps the most relevant part of Brian's quote from the Met is " It would be interesting to know what this is based on, especially as the background 'noise' on the Internet has all been about a potential cold spell " .


Originally Posted by: llamedos 



GloSea5 - which had a signal for more blocked conditions to develop but has now backtracked on this (per Ian Fergeson on Netwx) However, that doesnt mean a brief north or northwesterly incursion cant occur.


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

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SEMerc
16 December 2014 18:53:38

Darren 'At Least It Will be Mild' Betts earlier said 'at least it will be mild'. That man really irritates me.

Solar Cycles
16 December 2014 18:58:36

I'll start panicking when 1947 gets mentioned.

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