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If we only get cold rain from the proposed set-up then it's time to pack up !
Originally Posted by: Shropshire
ok... for the first time this year.. or this winter
time for the emoticons...
6z run - my oh my...
Originally Posted by: Russwirral
It all goes Pete Tong by 360 hours. Pass the razor blades!
Originally Posted by: Rob K
Mild outlier by then Rob !
Don't think I've ever seen such a prolonged northerly!
Originally Posted by: ITSY
Weren't you around in December 2010?
Originally Posted by: Saint Snow
you couldn't make this up, but I was living in Israel then - the only winter I lived away.
The control is SPECIAL
Looking on the positive side the GFS op has a cold spell rather than a cold snap with -4 to -8 uppers over Uk from 144h to 324h.
I concur. The 06z GFS control is VERY special indeed ❄️
GEFS6z update.
Why was the last posts almost 40 minutes ago - there have been 3 posts since by different members and I can see them on this thread!?
Originally Posted by: tallyho_83
check your browser
Mine shows just fine.
Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze
Your ensemble graph is correct - the WZ one seems to pick the wrong run out as the op run, and doesn't show the mild end to the run.
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
INSANE control- bit of an outlier at the end- but what a run for cold lovers.
At this rate I'm gonna have to hibernate
Just don't read/look too far beyond 7 days.
Originally Posted by: Sinky1970
Why?
Day 10 from the 06z is almost as good as you could want in terms of the northern hemisphere pattern
Beyond that is pretty irrelevant except for trends. The Op delivers a milder end of the run but also one of those classics where high latitude blocking still delivers westerlies...... But on the ensembles the Op was an outlier at the end - if you look at the other runs very few of them show a mild breakdown.
The key for now is what happens from around Tuesday next week.
How many times have we seen charts offering almost 5 ice days for London?
Originally Posted by: JACKO4EVER
Actually I don't like the way the Control run ends - that looks wose than the Op in terms of what happens next. Assuming you are looking for cold weather to continue, of course.
Temperatures widely down to -3c nationwide by 6pm next Thursday, if this materialises:http://max.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20160106/06/204/maxtemp.png
looks crap imby
Originally Posted by: picturesareme
imby?
In My Back Yard
