More NAVGEM madness!

38C!

Caz, so sorry to hear about your mum. Sending loads of love and best wishes. 

As for summer being over? Isn't it nice when the trolls aren't spoiling this thread. 

I love NAVGEM. 

At the moment Wednesday is looking OK for us if we get 25c. 

I think that sounds about right based on current output Caz. Very sorry to hear of your loss and I hope Wednesday goes OK. 

They were pretty accurate 2 years ago - Looks mad - but I reckon now we will see some memorable temperatures over the next few weeks.

Jusr seen the lunchtime Weather for the week ahead and it appears the end is nigh for our hot spell. The peak of the heat should be Monday (32c possible in S.E. but with an increased risk of afternoon downpours). A gradual cooling trend evident for Tues/Wed before another plume of heat pushes up from across the Channel on Thurs. Then a potent cold front pushes across all parts on Friday introducing a period of cooler less settled Atlantic domination. 

The heat will be back soon though.

 I feel a bit selfish for wanting a midweek cool down but I'd feel less guilty if it did heat up again!  

If anyone was listening to that dipstick cold weather whatever his name was last week, we'd be in a cool, northerly flow now with a high set up in the mid atlantic. 

What is for sure is despite so called model upgrades, they are as useless as they've ever been at 5+ days. Hopefully the heat hangs around. Until this time next year

He's always on a down beat Matty.

We're gotten used to it by now.

If anything the breakdown to cooler appears to be pushed back until next weekend and a week is a long time off.

I wouldn't be at all surprised to see it staying pretty warm in the south for a long while. I was just commenting on what the 12z was saying.

How one has fared with the weather this past week will have depended upon where one has been. I spent a week on Fort William last week and had only one fully dry day; the rest if the time it was either frequent showers persistent rain. I returned home yesterday to much drier, brighter and warmer weather though.

The models to my mind don't indicate the mother of all heatwaves at the moment but neither do they indicate a re-run of the horror show some parts of the country were experiencing this time in 2007. Fairly typical British summer fayre is how I would interpret the models at the moment.

Arpege 00z plugging in a 35C in the south west on Wed.

Completely agree that the outlook is not as bad as 2007. It’s worse. I can see this catastrophic horror show of a summer finishing far wetter for E/NE Scotland than both 2007 and 2012. It is just unrelentingly awful.

There has been one fully dry day here all month and "fairly typical British Summer Fayre' are the last words that come to mind when viewing this ghastly precipitation chart http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec4.html. 50-60mm for Central & Eastern Scotland over the next weekClose to 20mm now predicted on Wednesday when a few days ago it was looking dry.  Even 2007 and 2012 were nowhere near as persistently wet as this abysmal month has been.

Should those predictions come off that will be 150mm+ here for this month, easily beating June 1997’s record total of 140mm. In fact we will pretty much have had the entire seasonal average in just one month. The number of rain days is also on track to set a new record. Beyond dreadful 

I wonder what you'd have made of Fort William's weather last week my friend. I was there from last Sunday until Saturday just gone and in that time we had a grand total of one mostly dry day! All the others saw either one shower after another or persistent rain/drizzle.

Aberdeen was at least due to have a rather better weekend than NW Scotland was due to get.